基于生态足迹模型的江苏省可持续发展状况分析

运用生态足迹模型研究了江苏省的可持续发展,比较了2001～2009年生态足迹变化,并基于生态足迹时序分析了江苏生态足迹的变化趋势;通过对生态足迹测度方法的理论再思考,评价江苏发展的可持续性问题。定量分析结果表明:江苏发展存在严重的生态赤字问题,发展模式处于不可持续的状态;针对江苏省严重的生态问题,建议江苏需要进行经济转型,走可持续发展的道路。

Analysis on the Jiangsu's Sustainable Development Based on the Ecological Footprint Model

Ecological footprint method is a measure of the degree of sustainable development in biophysical evaluation method.The ecological footprint is widely used in many areas.In Jiangsu province as an example,the paper expounds the ecological footprint theory and ecological footprint model.By using the ecological footprint model in Jiangsu province,comparing the ecological footprint of Jiangsu province changes from 2001 to 2009,and analyses the changing trend of ecological footprint of Jiangsu province based on the ecological footprint time-series.Meanwhile,the paper evaluates the sustainable development problem of Jiangsu province through the theoretical thinking about ecological footprint of the measure,then make a proposal.Through quantitative analysis,it finds that recently development in Jiangsu exists serious ecological deficit problems,the development mode is in the unsustainable state,which should be drawn attention.Finally,in view of the serious ecological problems in Jiangsu province,the paper puts forward related suggestions and emphasizes that Jiangsu needs to change the mode of economic development.