深圳车险公估市场调研报告

车险公估作为深圳公估业的重要组成部分,为深圳保险业服务经济社会发展做出了积极贡献。不仅在保险理赔、风险评估领域发挥着重要的中介作用,而且为促进公估业的经济增长注入了动力。但是进入2009年后,深圳车险公估总体呈现发展后劲不足的态势。为进一步摸清深圳车险公估市场发展现状,巩固深圳保险公估之都的地位,深圳保监局对深圳车险公估市场展开深入研究,分析目前车险公估发展现状和存在的问题,并对深圳车险公估的可持续发展问题提出相关建议。     

浅析我国保险公估业的发展

保险公估人是保险业发展不可或缺的重要组成部分。我国保险公估业经过这些年的发展,虽然已取得了一定的成绩,但仍然是保险中介三支柱中发展最不完善的。我国保险公估业存在着法律地位模糊、生存空间狭小、人才及资金制约严重等问题。如何进一步加快发展保险公估业,使其适应快速发展的保险业的需求,本文做了一些探讨。     

浅析我国保险公估业的发展

保险公估人是保险业发展不可或缺的重要组成部分。我国保险公估业经过这些年的发展,虽然已取得了一定的成绩,但仍然是保险中介三支柱中发展最不完善的。我国保险公估业存在着法律地位模糊、生存空间狭小、人才及资金制约严重等问题。如何进一步加快发展保险公估业,使其适应快速发展的保险业的需求,本文做了一些探讨。     

我国保险公估业发展问题之我见

保险公估作为保险中介的三大支柱之一,在保险市场上具有重要的地位。我国的保险公估业的正式形成始于2000年中国保险监督管理委员会公布《保险公估人管理规定》,并随之批准了六家保险公估公司筹建和开业。自此,中国保险公估业的发展步入了有法可依、正常运行的轨道。但是与任何新兴行业在发展初期     

我国保险公估业的现状、问题和发展建议

保险公估业的发展才刚刚起步,尽管速度很快,但是整体水平还很低下,发展壮大任重道远保险公估人与保险代理人、保险经纪人共同构成了保险中介市场的三大支柱,保险公估业的     

我国保险公估业的健康发展问题探析

我国保险公估业经过多年快速发展,已成为保险市场的重要参与力量,但在其发展过程中也面临着该行业特有的问题和困难。本文从我国保险公估业发展的现状出发,从公估机构的独立性、自身实力等方面深入剖析保险公估业发展中存在的问题,并从加强公估机构独立性、加强人才建设与管理、规范市场竞争环境等方面提出促进中国保险公估业未来发展的策略和建议。     

我国保险公估业发展存在的问题及其对策

我国的保险公估业自上个世纪九十年代产生以来,已经发展成对于我国保险业的发展起着至关重要的地位的一个保险市场主体。然而,我国保险公估业在快速发展的同时,也存在保险公估机构类型单一、市场认知度较低等,诸多问题,严重阻碍着我国保险公估业的进一步发展。文章在总结了我国保险公估业发展历史短,但发展速度快,经营效益稳步增长,越来越受到保险公司的认可等现状特点的基础上,提出了建立健全保险公估制度,培养保险公估专业人才等发展我国保险公估业的对策。     

建立我国保险公估人制度需要解决的几个问题

1、做好保险公估人发展的长远规划.我国保险公估人发展的长远规划应建立在"三有"基础上,即有目标、有计划、有步骤.所谓"有目标",就是从战略的角度,考虑和制定旨在推动保险公估市场发展的中、长期规划应该达到的目标;出台与保险公估人相关的法律法规,确立保险公估人的市场主体地位.把保险中介产业发展纳入保险业发展规划.应在战略的高度把保险中介作为一个产业来对待.保险中介产业既依附于保险产业,与保险产业密切相关,荣辱与共,又有不同的市场分工和市场职能,分工和产业的细化有利于市场的发展,也使保险中介逐渐成长为一个相对独立于保险业又服务于保险业的产业.积极探索适合我国国情的保险公估业发展模式.     

当前我国兼业保险代理制度运行中存在的问题及对策分析

保险中介是指伴随保险产业精细化分工而出现的以促成保险供需双方交易为目的专门化的经济实体。我国的保险中介主要包括保险代理人、保险经纪人和保险公估人。其中保险代理人包括专业代理人、兼业代理人和个人代理人。作为构成保险中介市场的重要组成部分,兼业代理人是指受保险     

促进江西保险专业中介市场发展的思考

保险中介是保险产业内部分工的产物,是保险市场不可分割的组成部分,是保险业实现专业化分工、集约化经营的根本条件。保险中介分为专业中介、兼业中介和个人代理三个方面。专业中介是专门经营保险中介业务的组织,包括专业代理机构、经纪机构和公估机构。目前江西省保险专业中介发展较快,但也存在着内部条件不足和外部环境欠佳等问题。这些问题不仅造成了保险中介组织自身发育不良,而且也限制了整个保险市场的健康发展。本文拟对这些问题进行深入分析,并提出促进江西保险中介发展的若干政策建议。     

博弈论视角下公估人的理性选择及外部约束

保险公估人是保险业发展不可缺少的重要组成部分,但“公估不公”始终是公估行业发展中的一个难题。作为一种典型的承揽关系,保险人与公估人之间存在着信息不对称,以及由此带来的道德风险。本文从博弈论的角度,构建公估人和保险人之间的策略型博弈,通过求解纳什均衡发现,公估人的理性选择并不总是诚实公正。因此,只有加强外部约束,才能实现...     

“The Time of Recovery and the Maximum Severity of Ruin in a Sparre Andersen Model,” Shuanming Li,October 2008

Abstract

In a first-party recovery scheme for automobile property damage, the first-party insurer compensates not-at-fault vehicular damage. In this scheme, adjusters may not have the incentive to assign liability when the driver is, in fact, at fault for the accident. This is due to adjusters not having to coordinate with a third-party adjuster, and, for insureds that carry collision coverage, the assignment of fault does not appreciably affect the compensation paid out. This in turn reduces the effectiveness of the experience-rating component of the insurance premium. Empirical evidence that supports the presence of incorrect fault assignment is provided. A stochastic model of experience rating analyzing the impact of incorrect fault assignment on driving record classes confirms that low-risk insureds pay more for insurance than if fault was correctly assigned.     

环境污染责任保险对企业债务融资成本的影响研究

在欧美发达经济体中,环境污染责任保险在实现经济与环境可持续发展中发挥着重要作用。环境污染责任保险在中国尚处于推广阶段,企业投保意愿不强,参保率较低,急需提高企业对环境污染责任保险的价值认同。环境污染责任保险是否具有资金融通效应,是企业主动接纳该类保险的重要驱动因素。为检验环境污染责任保险能否为企业带来资金融通的价值,文章以2014~2015年沪深A股上市公司为样本,基于前环保部2014及2015年公布的投保环境污染责任保险的公司名单,探究环境污染责任保险对重污染型企业债务融资成本的影响。研究结果显示,企业购买环境污染责任保险后债务融资成本显著降低。进一步研究发现,这一影响在民营企业及法制水平较高的地区中更为显著,并且企业环境信息披露行为在这一影响过程中发挥了部分中介效应。文章的研究结论为环境污染责任保险的资金融通价值提供了直接证据,更为推广环境污染责任保险,建立环境治理的市场机制提供参考。     

Empirical Evidence for Advantageous Selection in the Commercial Fire Insurance Market

De Meza and Webb (2001) indicated that individuals with a higher degree of risk aversion would demand more insurance and invest in self-protection to reduce risk probability when both the preference type and investment in self-protection are hidden from insurers. They referred to the negative correlation between market insurance and risk type as advantageous selection. However, the relationship between risk type and the degree of risk aversion is debatable in both theoretical and empirical research. This paper therefore proposes that advantageous selection could be supported from another angle by directly examining the relationships that exist among market insurance, self-protection, and risk probability. By focusing on the commercial fire insurance market, information on the purchase of market insurance, investment in self-protection, and fire accident records is hand-collected by means of a unique survey. It is found that firms purchasing market insurance have a greater tendency to channel efforts into self-protection. It is also found that firms expending effort on self-protection are less likely to suffer a fire accident. Furthermore, it is found that firms with commercial fire insurance have less chance of suffering a fire accident than those without such insurance. Each of the above three findings jointly supports the view that advantageous selection could play a critical role in the commercial fire insurance market.     

考察美俄保险市场的若干思考

美国是全球最大的保险市场,交易活跃,成熟度高。同时,美国也是此次全球金融危机的发源地,其保险业受到金融海啸的巨大冲击和影响。与此相对的,俄罗斯是全球新兴的保险市场,发展较快但具有鲜明的转轨经济特征,市场机制和监管制度都尚未成型。美俄保险业各具特点,是全球范围内不同发展阶段保险市场的重要代表。在全球金融危机爆发一周年前夕,我们对美俄两国的保险业及保险监管进行了考察,对金融危机造成的影响和两国政府的应对措施进行了分析研究,并在此基础上,结合中国保险市场面临的形势和问题,形成了若干思考和建议。     

The Hungarian Insurance Market: Economic Transition in the Insurance Sector

This article analyzes Hungary's insurance sector as an important part of the country's economic transition from a centrally planned economy to a market economy. It details the historic economic development of the Hungarian insurance market from a state monopoly to a competitive insurance market where foreign-owned insurance companies have a dominant market share.     

发达国家寿险次级市场的发展现状、比较及启示

寿险次级市场能够提高保险消费者的福利,促进整个保险业的发展。介绍发达国家寿险次级市场的发展概况,着重分析最早的寿险次级市场即英国市场、相对年轻的德国寿险次级市场以及规模最大的美国寿险次级市场,并对上述市场的目标保单、交易方式、监管规则、税收政策等进行比较和研究。在此基础上,明确提出中国应借鉴发达国家的经验,正确认识寿险次级市场的影响,从寿险初级市场规模、法律许可、中介机构、保险监管等方面为寿险次级市场的建立创造条件,并科学地进行寿险保单贴现交易的试点。     

股票市场非线性随机游走检验

中国股票市场指数收益率不服从正态分布假设，基本符合随机游走的特征，具有弱式有效性的市场特征，沪市指数收益率的时间序殊随机性略大于深市。造成这一现象的原因包括市场结构的非理性与投资行为的非理性等因素。     

Fraud Classification Using Principal Component Analysis of RIDITs

This article introduces to the statistical and insurance literature a mathematical technique for an a priori classification of objects when no training sample exists for which the exact correct group membership is known. The article also provides an example of the empirical application of the methodology to fraud detection for bodily injury claims in automobile insurance. With this technique, principal component analysis of RIDIT scores (PRIDIT), an insurance fraud detector can reduce uncertainty and increase the chances of targeting the appropriate claims so that an organization will be more likely to allocate investigative resources efficiently to uncover insurance fraud. In addition, other (exogenous) empirical models can be validated relative to the PRIDIT‐derived weights for optimal ranking of fraud/nonfraud claims and/or profiling. The technique at once gives measures of the individual fraud indicator variables’ worth and a measure of individual claim file suspicion level for the entire claim file that can be used to cogently direct further fraud investigation resources. Moreover, the technique does so at a lower cost than utilizing human insurance investigators, or insurance adjusters, but with similar outcomes. More generally, this technique is applicable to other commonly encountered managerial settings in which a large number of assignment decisions are made subjectively based on ‘‘clues,‘’ which may change dramatically over time. This article explores the application of these techniques to injury insurance claims for automobile bodily injury in detail.     

中国利率与股市间波动溢出效应的实证研究

采用多变量EGARCH模型分别对中国利率与沪深股市间的波动溢出效应进行的实证研究表明,股票收益率对利率收益率有着显著的短期动态影响;利率与沪深股市间存在着显著的双向波动溢出,除了利率对深圳市场的方向外,其他方向的波动溢出均存在着不对称性.