中国农业银行武汉培训学院学报2005年总目录

.特稿.论教育信贷市场风险及其防范…………………中国农业银行湖北省分行调研组(1-2)论工商管理核心课程学习与农业银行二级分行行长培训………………………………………………陈彦生(2-2)加强授权授信管理提高信贷综合效益………贾祥森(3-2)论货币政策有效性理论及其在我国的实践……董玉华(4-2)论树立科学发展观与提高审计监督水平………范来成(4-6)论建立现代商业银行资产负债管理体制………张云(5-2)论经济资本管理与商业银行经营………………中国农业银行武汉培训学院课题组(6-2)·党建研究·自觉践行“三个代表”始终保持共产党员先…     

狠抓“三基” 上质量增效益─—部分地、市分行行长访谈录

狠抓“三基”　上质量增效益─—部分地、市分行行长访谈录编者按：２月６日至９日召开的全区农业银行行长会议期间，本刊记者走访了参加会议的部分地、市分行行长，就如何“抓管理，上质量，增效益，为我区农业银行向商业银行转变打下坚实的基础”问题，请他们畅谈本地、...     

强化管理夯实基础 积极推进我省农业银行“两个转变”

强化管理夯实基础　积极推进我省农业银行“两个转变”中国农业银行福建省分行行长陈子诚１９９６年，我行工作的指导思想是：在国家宏观调控和金融政策指导下，紧紧围绕抑制通货膨胀这一首要任务，继续做好信贷支农，深化体制改革，加速集约经营，强化内部管理，改进金融...     

浅谈农业银行基层网点的营销工作

随着农业银行建立现代商业银行经营机制,和扁平化管理的实施,农业银行的经营管理出现了新的格局。即以二级分行为基本核算单位,省分行、二级分行的前台客户部门独立营销、牵头联合营销、协作营销直接开发和服务客户。城区支行的营业部和网点由二级分行直接管理,农村行则压缩管理部门和管理人员,充实前台部门。二级分行辖内的支行营业部和保留下来的分理处、营业所、储蓄所逐步转     

2008年《现代金融》目录索引

行长论坛苏北新农村建设中金融制度的建立与完善!!!步腾(1,3)实施流程管理——提升执行力的基础工程!!!郭春胜(1,5)农业银行支持新农村建设的现状及建议!!!!陈龙(1,7)如何进一步强化合规风险管理!!!!!!!!石选峰(2,3)着力发挥金融在苏北经济振兴中的职能作用!!王瑞华(3,3)基层行     

服务地方经济 创建精品银行—中国工商银行山东省聊城分行改革发展创佳绩

2008年度中国工商银行二级分行行长经营绩效考评第6名;山东省分行二级分行行长经营绩效考核第3名;连续5年进入全国工行二级分行经营30强,其中2008年位列第8位……在山东省,聊城地区的经济并不算发达。中国工商银行聊城分行主动融入地方经济发展的大环境,通过创新发展思路、增强营销力度、提高服务能力、强化风险管理、培育企业文化等一系列举措,在服务地方经济建设的同时,实现了自身的健康、快速发展。     

浅谈实行扁平化管理后的二级分行如何加强市场营销

随着二级分行扁平化改革的顺利完成,二级分行从单纯的管理机构逐渐转变为经营核算单位,以二级分行行长为核心的营销结构以显露出强大的竞争优势,农行的经营管理效率和市场竞争力不断提升.但随着扁平化管理的不断深入,二级分行的传统组织机构、考核机制等已不适应扁平化管理的要求,甚至有背于扁平化管理的初衷,影响了二级分行营销业务的快速发展.因此,本就当前农行二级分行实行扁平化管理后,如何做好市场营销作初步分析和探讨.     

以股改为契机 深层次融入海西建设——访中国农业银行福建省分行党委书记、行长刘桂平

2008年1月召开的全国金融工作会议确定中国农业银行将“面向三农、整体改制、商业运作、择机上市”,强调农业银行通过深化改革,巩固和发展在农村地区的网点和业务,进一步强化为“三农”服务的市场定位和职责。近期,本刊记者走访了中国农业银行福建省分行党委书记、行长刘桂平,请他就农业银行福建省分行作为地处沿海经济发达地区行和服务“三农”工作试点行,如何学习实践科学发展观,以股改为契机,深层次融入海西建设的若干问题作答。     

没有人不欢迎惠农卡——广西分行张军洲行长访谈录

中国有自己独特的国情,农行服务“三农”不能生搬硬套。支持“三农”毫无疑问将是一项长期的工作,所以风险如何防控？营销方式如何开拓？与政府部门如何取得合作？这些都是需要我们思考、整理的问题。本期“高管沙龙”,特邀农业银行广西分行张军洲行长,以及总行三农个人金融部农户信贷处王玮博士,与各位读者一起畅谈广西分行张军洲行长,以及总行三农个人金融部农户信贷处王玮博士,与各位读者一起畅谈广西分行惠农卡及农户小额贷款业务的方方面面。     

农业银行承德分行召开“银行卡业务研讨会”

为了适应银行卡业务的迅猛发展,不久前,农业银行承德分行组织召开了“银行卡业务研讨会”。承德市分行领导,所辖各行(部)行长(总经理)和机关各部(室)主要负责人参加了本次研讨会。农业银行承德分行召开“银行卡业务研讨会”$农业银行承德分行@于绍礼     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.