Brief Discussion on News Crisis and Reputation Risk Management in Banking Industry

随着新闻舆论环境的逐步开放,声誉风险管理作为银行全面风险管理体系的重要内容,受到了各家商业银行的普遍关注和重视。本文拟通过对新闻危机与银行声誉风险之间的关系进行实证分析,找寻新闻危机发生的规律以及找出商业银行可采取的应对措施,进而提高商业银行声誉风险掌控能力,确保银行业务和谐稳健发展。     

当前形势下商业银行加强声誉风险管理的重要性

近几年,商业银行声誉危机事件频发,给商业银行造成了巨大损失,严重损害了银行的形象和地位,也带来了多种负面影响。而面对国际金融危机、银行业全面对外开放、日益严格的监管环境以及商业银行自身经营发展需求等多重压力,声誉风险管理已成为商业银行不得不正视的新课题和新挑战。本文将对当前声誉风险管理的重要性进行探讨,并从建立和维护声誉、防止声誉风险、加强声誉风险管理机制和防范化解声誉危机等角度提出完善建议。     

当前形势下商业银行加强声誉风险管理的重要性

近几年,商业银行声誉危机事件频发,给商业银行造成了巨大损失,严重损害了银行的形象和地位,也带来了多种负面影响。而面对国际金融危机、银行业全面对外开放、日益严格的监管环境以及商业银行自身经营发展需求等多重压力,声誉风险管理已成为商业银行不得不正视的新课题和新挑战。本文将对当前声誉风险管理的重要性进行探讨,并从建立和维护声誉、防止声誉风险、加强声誉风险管理机制和防范化解声誉危机等角度提出完善建议。     

浅谈银行声誉风险管理

2009年8月25日,中国银监会对外发布了《商业银行声誉风险管理指引》,明确要求商业银行将声誉风险管理纳入公司治理及全面风险管理体系．主动、有效地防范声誉风险和应对声誉事件,足见银监会对银行声誉管理的重视及维护市场信心和金融稳定的决心。     

如何应对银行声誉风险

切实把声誉风险管理放在重要位置,全面、系统地培育声誉风险管理文化,强化声誉风险管理培训,树立全员声誉风险意识。建立声誉风险管理体系。对声誉风险管理进行明确的定位,将其纳入全面风险管理体系,确定其在银行管理中的重要地位。强化声誉风险危机管理。对未来可能发生的不利情况,要做好     

商业银行声誉风险及其防范研究

我国商业银行声誉风险管理刚刚起步,建立规范的声誉危机管理体系,将声誉风险纳入商业银行全面风险管理框架,防范和化解随时可能出现的声誉危机,是商业银行适应新时期市场变化的需要。本文回顾了我国商业银行近年来声誉风险管理的实践,分析了其中存在的不足,并提出了对策建议。     

商业银行经营转型下的声誉风险管理

商业银行声誉风险贯穿于经营管理的全过程中,几乎源于所有内部与外部风险,是其他风险发展的一种必然结果.国际金融危机之后,国内商业银行的经营环境发生了巨大的变化:监管日趋严格、金融“脱媒”加速、利率市场化进程加快等,在此背景下,各家银行不得不改变原有的发展模式,加快探索经营转型.银行若想提高声誉风险管理的效率和效果,有必要分析银行经营转型的趋势及其过程中潜在的风险点,这样才能有的放矢地进行声誉风险监测和防范.     

我国商业银行声誉风险问题研究

声誉风险管理是我国商业银行风险管理体系中的薄弱环节."过去摧毁一座金融帝国可能需要一个很漫长的过程,但是现在即便是经营了上百年的银行也可以在一夜之间倾塌."这句名言在2008年的美国金融危机中得以验证.声誉风险使大批国际知名商业银行遭受重创,甚至引发公众对金融业整体的信任危机.代价高昂的金融危机使国际银行监管机构认识到声誉风险的重要性,2009年1月,巴塞尔委员会新资本协议征求意见稿中明确将声誉风险列入"第二支柱",我国银监会也于2009年8月发布《商业银行声誉风险管理指引》,要求各商业银行应当将声誉风险纳入本公司治理及全面风险管理体系.因此如何加强和完善声誉风险的管理已经成为我国商业银行所面临的重要课题.     

商业银行的声誉危机特点与管理策略选择

商企银行声誉危机是商业银行声誉风险发生质变的一种表现形式,已经危及到商业银行的生存与发展。声誉危机管理既具有商业银行一般危机管理的共性做法,同时,由于声誉风险又具有不同于其它风险或其它引起商业银行危机的特征。因此,必须结合商业银行声誉危机管理特点,有针对性地采取管理措施,才能取得良好的管理效果。     

一月金融

银监会发布商业银行声誉风险管理指引 为引导商业银行有效管理声誉风险,完善商业银行全面风险管理体系,9月9日,银监会发布了《商业银行声誉风险管理指引》。《指引》共13条,包括六方面内容：一是首次明确了声誉风险的定义,指出声誉风险是指由商业银行经营、管理及其他行为或外部事件导致利益相关方对商业银行负面评价的风险;     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…