专业价值评估促进上市公司并购重组健康发展

2010年度我国上市公司并购重组交易总规模达到1194亿美元,比2009年增长2.7%,上市公司并购重组交易规模占整体并购重组市场规模的比重已经超过50%。随着上市公司并购重组活动日益活跃,如何对企业资产合理评估定价已经成     

上市公司并购重组存在的问题及对策

近年来,我国上市公司的并购重组业务呈现出整体不断上升的趋势。并购重组具有优化资源配置、化解产能过剩和盘活存量资产等作用和功能,是提升上市公司竞争力和资产价值的有效方式。与此同时,并购重组也存在着交易力度不足、效率较低,标的公司评估增值率偏高、业绩不理想,股权支付及延期支付波动较大等问题,结合我国资本市场实际,本文从加强支持力度及扩大融资途径、明晰并购重组中的绩效保证和资产估值条款,提升上市公司并购重组支付手段的效能等维度提出了上市公司并购重组长远发展对策建议。     

上市公司并购重组事项中的业绩补偿制度相关问题研究——以A公司收购B公司为例

企业并购重组是随着经济全球化不断深入形成的一种必然趋势,通过资产重组,可以让企业强强联合,提升企业的核心竞争力。其中,上市公司并购重组中的核心问题,是交易双方能否在交易资产定价上达成一致,这是市场各方关注的重点,我国在上市公司并购重组中采用了业绩补偿制度,作为对交易定价公平性的一种法律约束。业绩补偿制度,是指在上市公司并购重组中,交易对方对标的资产的未来经营业绩作出承诺,在业绩目标未达到时对收购方进行补偿。本文将结合A上市公司并购重组案例分析,探讨业绩补偿的作用以及对上市公司的影响,希望本篇论文能够为上市公司并购重组中市场化定价方法的使用和发展起到推动作用,为今后的相关研究提供有用的信息。     

上市公司并购重组绩效实证研究——基于同行业与跨行业并购的比较研究

本文以2011年沪深A股市场59家发生同行业并购重组和28家发生跨行业并购重组的上市公司为样本,运用事件研究法对我国上市公司并购重组绩效以及同行业并购重组与跨行业并购重组的市场表现进行了实证研究,研究发现同行业并购重组创造的财富比跨行业高,但两者都不很理想,总体上并购重组活动没有给股东带来额外财富.     

上市公司并购重组业绩承诺实现情况分析

深证A股发生多起重大资产并购重组事件,约八成以上上市公司与交易对方签订了业绩承诺协议,业绩承诺已成为上市公司并购重组中不可缺少的环节。作者基于2013年至2017年深证A股上市公司并购重组资料,分析并购行业、业绩承诺签订、业绩承诺完成、业绩补偿方式等情况,探讨业绩承诺未完成的原因并提出增强对并购标的的识别能力,加快并购双方的融合进程等建议。     

企业关联并购如何选择资产评估机构——基于上市公司的实证检验

并购重组交易中资产评估结果为交易定价提供了价值参考,而评估结果很大程度上会受到资产评估机构选择差异的影响。文章以2011—2021年聘请资产评估机构的上市公司并购事件为样本,探究了上市公司关联并购中的资产评估机构选择行为及其经济后果。研究发现：关联并购更倾向于聘请低声誉的资产评估机构,并且相对于聘请高声誉的资产评估机构,聘请低声誉资产评估机构时的标的资产异常评估增值率更大。进一步研究发现：股权集中度越低、基金持股比例越高、政府与市场的良性互动越不理想,关联并购中越倾向于选择低声誉的评估机构,并且与聘请高声誉的资产评估机构相比,标的资产交易定价与评估值的偏差越大、企业并购后两年和后三年的价值也越低。据此本文提出加强并购关联交易审核、加大投机行为惩戒力度、完善公司内部治理机制等政策建议。     

上市公司并购重组企业价值评估方法选择研究

随着国内上市公司并购重组活动日益活跃,如何对企业资产合理估值定价已经成为社会和市场迫切需要解决的问题。只有真实客观的对并购重组中涉及的企业价值进行评估,才能在交易中确保各方利益得到     

完善上市公司重大资产重组制度

随着我国经济结构调整、行业整合和产业升级不断推进,未来中国企业的并购重组必将呈现迅速的发展趋势上市公司并购重组是促进资本市场优化资源配置,实现企业扩张的有效途径。境外成熟市场上,公司并购重组风起云涌,而我国随着资本市场的快速发展,借壳上市、整体上市、上市公司并购、重大资产重组等上市公司并购重组的案例也日渐增多,并购重组的方式也越来越灵活。目前,我国初步形成了     

上市公司并购重组定价问题研究

上市公司并购重组已经成为我国资本市场的一个主旋律.而上市公司并购重组中的定价问题又成为同一控制下的并购重组的核心与焦点问题,各方面争论较多,现实作法中也确实存在值得研究的问题.本文通过模型分析与模拟计算的方法对上市公司并购重组中的定价方法进行了分析论证,以此推导出上市公司股票定价及所购买资产价值可能存在的误差以及可能的人为操纵偏差.最后给出了并购重组中定价方面相应的机制设计和政策建议.     

上市公司并购重组标的资产价值评估与交易定价关系研究

并购重组业务中最核心、也是一直以来困惑实务界的问题就是标的资产交易定价问题。在实际工作中,评估价值和交易价格往往混淆不清。本文针对收益法评估值作为并购重组交易定价的合理性问题,对2009-2011年上市公司并购重组案例中收益法预测值与实际值进行了T检验,并结合实践经验,推导出以评估值为交易定价的唯一依据既不科学也不合理,并详细阐述了企业价值评估与交易定价是两种不同性质的工作,应促进企业价值评估与交易定价的有机结合,正确发挥评估在并购重组各阶段的作用。本文最后分别针对评估领域、并购交易主体双方以及监管部门提出建议:推动评估结论由单一绝对值向价值区间转变、注重博弈过程、精简行政审批以及并购重组市场化等。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…