复合期权模型在矿业工程投资决策中的应用

本文介绍了复合期权的基本概念及国内外研究情况,就复合期权理论在矿业工程投资决策中的应用进行了探讨,采用geske模型并结合实例对此进行了验证。研究表明,运用复合期权理论进行矿业工程投资决策,在某种程度上能更好地反映不确定性和管理灵活性的价值。     

实物期权法在高新技术项目投资决策中的应用

文章分析高新技术项目投资的期权特点，根据其具有的复合期权的特性，引入复合期权的定价模型——Geske模型，并举例说明该模型的应用。     

企业R＆D项目投资中的期权决策研究

文章研究了企业R＆D项目中的实物期权特征，介绍了基于复合期权的企业R＆D项目价值的期权定价方法，并把Geske模型应用到实际投资决策中，得出复合期权的Geske模型可避免传统评价方法造成机会损失的结论。     

多阶段风险投资项目评价

对于风险投资项目的投资决策是以对项目的科学评价为基础,通过研究传统风险投资评价模型和指标,基于风险企业的特点-阶段性投资,探讨复合实物期权定价模型在风险投资项目评价方面的应用。复合实物期权定价模型解决了传统方法在风险企业投资价值评价方面的灵活性不足,但忽略了不同阶段投资的期权价值。     

基于平行复合实物期权的人力资源价值评估研究

将人力资源看作企业的一种期权,通过构造平行复合实物期权,运用实物期权的定价理论对其进行价值评估,计算出人力资源的价值,从而论证了平行实物期权在人力资源价值评估中的应用。利用平行复合实物期权对人力资源的价值进行评估,拓展了实物期权在人力资源的价值评估中的方法,从一定程度上弥补了传统人力资源价值评估模型的局限性,有利于更加灵活、准确地对人力资源的价值进行评估。     

复合期权定价理论在R＆D项目投资决策中的应用探讨

期权定价理论（OPT）是现代金融理论最为重要的成果之一，它为评价不确定性环境下的投资项目决策提供了新的思路和量化工具。本文借助于Geske的复合看涨期权定价公式建立了R＆D投资项目的决策模型，并对其在一个R＆D投资项目案例决策中的应用进行深入分析，详细讨论了阶段性投资中蕴含的复合期权的价值，旨在探索R＆D投资项目的合适的期权构模及求解方法。     

多阶段人力资本投资:基于复合实物期权理论

在知识和信息时代,人力资本投资面临各种不确定因素的影响,往往具有复合实物期权特性.传统的DCF理论忽略了人力资本投资的柔性价值,并且连续型复合期权定价模型也无法适用于具有多标的资产变量和多重不确定性来源的投资.为此,本文以高等教育投资为例,借鉴决策树分析法,提出了一个基于二叉树网格法的多阶段人力资本投资的复合实物期权决策模型.实例应用表明:这一模型很好地弥补了DCF的不足,可以为不确定条件下个人人力资本投资决策提供非常清晰的逻辑分析框架和评价模型.高等教育投资蕴含着复合实物期权投资机会,因此个人接受高等教育投资是值得的.     

基于多变量因果复合期权的高科技企业IPO定价研究

本文采用复合期权理论分析了高科技企业的价值特征。将高科技企业价值分为期权价值和实体资本价值,利用三叉树模型对多变量和多个不确定来源的复合期权进行定价。在计算标的资产当前价值时引入经济增加值现值,提高了估值的准确性。对含有多变量复合期权的高科技企业进行定价。     

基于复合实物期权的高校人力资本价值评价

人力资本是高等学校办学的重要组成部分，只有准确地评价高校人力资本的价值，才能为高校留住人才、培养人才提供保障。本文针对目前高校人力资本价值评价方法的不足，将复合实物期权思想运用到人力资本价值的评价当中，建立了一种新的评价人力资本价值的模型，即复合实物期权模型来评价高校人力资本价值。     

商业地产分期开发期权价值分析

开发企业采取分期开发方式,可以利用项目未知信息中蕴涵的机会给项目带来进一步选择的灵活性,以扩大项目价值。传统投资决策方法只适用于短期的、确定性高的一次性投资项目,而实物期权理论却是探讨分期开发投资的一种有效工具。采用Geske推导的复合看涨期权定价公式以及B-S简单看涨期权定价模型,构建分期开发期权价值计算模型,求解分期开发期权价值大小。该模型合理地评估了商业地产分期开发期权价值的大小,可以作为商业地产开发商进行投资决策的依据。     

针对含有价值漏损的实物期权定价模型的调整

价值漏损改变了标的实物资产价值的演化路径,它是实物资产定价中经常会出现的现象。主要会影响到期权的价值和最优报资决策的时间。我们要想在工作中对期权的价值做出正确的估计,就要针对标的资产的价值漏损对期权定价模型进行相应的调整。     

公司流动性价值的复合实物期权定价法研究

公司流动性是指公司或企业持有的流动性资产,它除了账面价值外,还含有某种潜在价值。对公司流动性价值进行科学的评估,对于投资者、公司管理者等各方都非常重要。采用实物期权理论对公司流动性进行定价,是目前公司金融理论的前沿课题。本文首次揭示了公司流动性的复合实物期权性质,并用复合实物期权模型进行了定价的尝试,为公司财务管理决策提供了一种量化的工具。     

A network of options: Evaluating complex interdependent decisions under uncertainty

The present article provides a novel framework for analyzing option network problems, which is a general class of compound real option problems with an arbitrary combination of reversible and irreversible decisions. The present framework represents the interdependent structure of decisions by using a directed graph. In this framework, the option network problem is formulated as a singular stochastic control problem, whose optimality condition is then obtained as a dynamical system of generalized linear complementarity problems (GLCPs). This enables us to develop a systematic and efficient numerical method for evaluating the option value and the optimal decision policy.     

实物期权无形资产会计涵义研究

随着知识经济的到来及金融全球化的发展，企业无形资产的内涵和外延已拓展到智力资本及实物期权。在智力资本研究的基础上，把实物期权无形资产列入无形资产确认与计量的范畴，将有利于企业价值的真实反映。因此，本文将对实物期权无形资产的范畴、内涵和外延进行分析，以顺应知识经济形势下对无形资产会计制度进行改革的现实要求。     

Joint dynamic modeling and option pricing in incomplete derivative-security market

In this study, we evaluate the option prices on two assets under stochastic interest rates when the stochastic process that underlying asset prices follow is depending on a correlated bivariate Markov-modulated geometric Brownian motion model with jump risks. More specifically, we conduct the joint dynamic modeling by identifying two independent compound Poisson processes with the log-normal jump sizes to describe both individual jumps and systematic cojumps. Facilitating the cojumping behavior this way with the time-inhomogeneity of the volatility, option pricing expressions are readily obtainable since the Gerber–Siu’s approach is employed to determine a pricing kernel. The empirical results and numerical illustrations are provided to show the impact of cojumps and stochastic volatilities on option prices.     

The strong sequential core for two-period economies

The strong sequential core for two-stage economies with a possibly incomplete set of assets in period zero and trade in commodities in period one consists of those goods allocations that are in the classical core and moreover, after realization of the state of nature, in the core of the economy where executed asset contracts serve as initial endowments. The strong sequential core coincides with the classical core when all possible state-contingent contracts may serve as an asset. For finance economies it is shown that the strong sequential core is generically empty when there is an incomplete set of assets. Outside the setting of finance economies, we show that the strong sequential core can be empty even if there is a complete set of assets. If the set of constrained feasible allocations resulting from trading in assets, is enlarged to include also allocations outside the agents’ consumption sets, then a complete set of assets is sufficient for the equivalence of the resulting semi-strong sequential core and the classical core.     

Shadow costs of incomplete information and short sales in the valuation of the firm and its assets

This paper presents a simple framework for the valuation of compound options within shadow costs of incomplete information and short sales. The shadow cost includes two components. The first component is the product of pure information cost due to imperfect knowledge and heterogeneous expectations. The second component represents the additional cost caused by the short-selling constraint. Information costs are linked to Merton's (1987. Journal of Finance 42, 510) model of capital market equilibrium with incomplete information, CAPMI. This model is extended by Wu et al. (1996. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 7, 136) who propose an incomplete-information capital market equilibrium with heterogeneous expectations and short sale restrictions, GCAPM. This model is used in our paper to provide for the first time in the literature analytic solutions for derivatives in the presence of both shadow costs of incomplete information and short sales.When deriving the compound call option formula, we consider a call option on a stock, which is itself an option on the assets of the firm. Our methodology incorporates shadow costs of incomplete information and short sales on the firm's assets as well as the effects of leverage in the capital structure. The formula can be useful in the valuation of several corporate liabilities in the presence of information uncertainty and short sales constraints about the firm and its cash flows. Our analysis can be used for the valuation of several real options.     

Compound real option valuation with phase-specific volatility: A multi-phase mobile payments case study

Multi-staged R&D projects are copy-book cases of compound real options. Traditional compound option models assume a constant volatility over the lifetime of the project. Building on the n-fold compound option model of Cassimon et al. (2004), we extend this model to allow for phase-specific volatility estimates, while preserving the closed-form solution of the model. We illustrate the extended model with a case study of a real option valuation of a multi-stage software application project by a large mobile phone operator and we show how project managers can estimate phase-specific volatilities.     

论企业财务管理中的资产质量管理

目前北京市有相当一部分国有工业企业在资产管理上存在很多问题 ,资产是企业生产经营的物质基础 ,是偿还债务、获取利润的物质保证 ,企业必须将资产质量管理作为企业财务管理的基础工作。企业的资产按其质量可以分成三类 :不能为企业带来未来经济利益的不良资产 ;能够为企业带来未来的经济利益 ,但是因某种原因暂时不能正常循环和周转的沉淀资产 ;既能够为企业带来未来的经济利益 ,又能够正常循环和周转的良性资产。作为企业的经营管理者 ,在企业的财务管理中应认真分析资产质量 ,分类管理。只有做到“家底清” ,才能在管理中处于主动位置 ,并防止决策失误。