营造绿色金融生态环境促进区域经济金融稳健发展--海南省金融生态环境演变与启示

本文通过对海南金融生态环境的历史和现状的分析,有针对性地从区域角度提出营造绿色金融生态环境,促进区域金融稳健发展的新思路,旨在为全国特别是经济欠发达地区探索一条通过着力改善金融生态环境,吸引资金,促进地区经济健康发展的新路子提供借鉴。     

区域绿色诚信金融生态环境建设问题研究

区域金融生态环境是经济发展的软环境,对经济发展至关重要,绿色诚信金融生态环境是健康的、和谐的金融生态环境,对区域经济发展起着积极的促进作用。本文通过明确绿色诚信金融生态环境建设的目标和内容,从东北区域经济金融生态环境现状、存在的问题分析出发,对优化东北区域诚信金融生态环境提出了一些建议。     

边疆少数民族地区优化金融生态环境的思考

改善区域金融生态环境是人民银行分支行为地方经济发展服务的一项重要内容.金融生态环境相对较差的边疆少数民族经济欠发达地区基层央行应如何采取有效手段,促进改善区域金融生态环境,需要积极探索.本文以阿拉善盟为例,对边疆少数民族经济欠发达地区建设金融生态环境问题进行了分析.     

边疆少数民族地区优化金融生态环境的思考

改善区域金融生态环境是人民银行分支行为地方经济发展服务的一项重要内容.金融生态环境相对较差的边疆少数民族经济欠发达地区基层央行应如何采取有效手段,促进改善区域金融生态环境,需要积极探索.本文以阿拉善盟为例,对边疆少数民族经济欠发达地区建设金融生态环境问题进行了分析.     

优化青海金融生态环境思考

金融发展对经济增长最重要的作用在于其对长期经济平均增长的总体贡献,地区经济要实现长期、平稳发展也同样要依托良好的金融生态环境促进其发展。本文从青海省经济和生态环境发展的现状、存在问题以及如何改善青海金融生态环境等角度进行分析。     

吉林省金融生态环境建设问题研究

经济与金融的辩证关系表明，区域经济的发展程度与水平直接决定着区域金融生态环境的改善程度与优化水平，也就是说，有什么样的经济发展环境，就会有什么样的金融生态环境与之相对应；同时，金融生态环境的改善和优化程度，又反作用于区域经济的发展速度、质量与水平。良好的金融生态环境，对区域经济金融发展有着促进和催化作用；恶化的金融生态环境，对区域经济金融发展则起着阻碍与破坏作用。我国地域辽阔，人文地理、经济发展、历史沿革等因素差异性较大，金融生态环境也千差万别。     

河南省金融生态环境评价及优化研究

经济基础决定上层建筑,金融作为现代经济的核心,其生态环境的好坏关系到地区经济金融的发展、影响着区域竞争力的提升及良好社会信用的形成。本文立足河南省当前经济发展形势和金融生态环境现实,通过实证分析对河南省金融生态环境进行评价,针对研究结论提出优化河南省金融生态环境的对策和建议。     

制约边疆少数民族地区金融生态建设的瓶颈

边疆少数民族地区是我国经济基础相对薄弱的地区，也是金融生态环境相对落后的地区。加强少数民族地区的金融生态建设，对于少数民族地区吸引资金，合理配置金融资源，促进区域经济快速发展，具有十分重要而深远的意义。笔者以吉林省延边朝鲜族自治州为个案，分析少数民族地区金融生态建设的制约因素。     

对改善金融生态环境的思考

金融生态环境与经济社会发展联系得越来越紧密,甚至直接影响到该地区经济金融发展水平。改善金融生态环境是一项系统的社会工程,需要包括政府、金融及相关组织、单位在内的社会各界的共同参与。文章对金融生态环境的内涵进行引述,概括提出优良金融生态环境的架构,通过实例对本区域金融生态环境进行监测分析,并从几个方面提出治理金融生态环境的政策建议。     

区域经济发展中金融生态的作用与优化

中国金融发展和区域经济增长中的矛盾,就是贷款相关比率等金融发展指标明显有悖于区域经济增长由东至西由高到低的梯度分布,而金融生态环境的优劣是影响区域经济发展的重要因素.应结合我国的金融生态现状,探索出一条改善我国金融生态环境的具体路径,以此促进区域经济的快速健康发展.     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…