全球金融危机影响下的中国农村金融体系实践

一、全球金融危机对我国金融体系的影响 (一)全球金融危机现状.发端于美国并不断蔓延的金融危机受到了全球的关注,也引发了各界对危机的评估与推测.欧洲金融体系遭到感染以及次贷危机不断蔓延,美国金融危机暴露的四大突出问题,这些问题对美国的金融危机及经济衰退有着重要影响.全球金融体系密切相联,在美国金融漩涡越卷越深之时,欧洲银行无法独善其身,现有金融监管体系面对市场早期预警缺乏清醒认识,也缺乏相应监管手段,过于贪婪的资本家追逐利润最大化,金融危机已造成一种道德危机,以盎格鲁一撤克逊模式为代表的市场导向型经济体系遭到重创,需要进行重新评估.     

金融危机对我国经济及就业市场的影响

2008年9月中旬以来,美国政府接管"两房"(房利美和房地美)和美国国际集团,五大投行发生剧变,华盛顿互惠银行破产倒闭等一系列事件,表明美国次贷危机已经演化为金融危机,并迅速向欧洲、日本甚至全球蔓延,富通集团、德国地产融资抵押银行、英国布拉福德一宾利银行和冰岛整个金融体系等陷入危机,从而引发了这场全球性金融危机,而且向多国实体经济领域蔓延.     

对我国金融稳定立法的几点思考

2007年2月美国次贷危机引发的全球性金融危机,使全球经济陷入低迷期,金融稳定与监管立法的“空白”,成为危机产生的主要原因之一。当前,我国金融业与国际接轨的步伐不断加快,金融发展面临的不确定因素也越来越多,应汲取美国金融危机的经验教训,不断完善我国金融稳定和监管法律制度,从根本上建立起金融业稳定发展的法律保障,防范和化解潜在的金融风险。     

金融全球化对我国金融业的影响及对策

由美国的次贷危机所引发的金融危机在金融全球化的背景下迅速在全球蔓延开来,对各国经济产生巨大冲击,引发各国对于本国在金融全球化进程中所面临的机遇和挑战我的思考.为适应金融全球化的需要并促进我国金融业的持续发展,我国应改革和完善金融调控监管机制,积极参与国际货币体制改革,推动人民币区域化国际化,加快金融创新,以应对金融全球化带来的挑战.     

银行员工道德风险防范研究

<正>当前,由美国引发的次贷危机正迅猛演变为全球性的金融危机,进而对包括中国在内的各国经济影响已呈蔓延之势。国际金融危机对国内实体经济的影响也正逐步加深,金融危机不断蔓延,全球经济面临严重衰退风险。在经济全球化更加深入     

金融危机后美国经济状况和走向分析

2008年9月,美国次贷危机蔓延并恶化,爆发了自1929年大萧条后最严重的金融危机.这次金融危机表明,上个世纪70年代以来,采纳了许多金融自由化创新内容的现代金融体系缺乏制度规范.美国政府和联储会直接出面急救.虽然可以保全美国乃至全球的金融系统不至于毁于一旦,但是,随之而来的将是一场不可比避免的长痛.本文试图对美国经济未来走向进行一般性的分析.     

全球金融危机：影响、原因与启示

美国次贷危机已演变成为全球性金融危机，它深刻改变了全球的金融格局，打破了原有的国际金融体系，严重打击了实体经济.对其发生的原因解释有创新论、监管论、货币论等8种观点。此次危机启示我们，要提高金融监管的有效性和针对性，保证金融创新的有序和透明，审慎推进中国金融业的改革。     

AIG风险案例及启示

<正>自2007年以来,以次级房贷违约率上升为导火索,美国爆发了次贷危机,随着危机的不断蔓延,金融业及实体经济受到强烈冲击。作为金融服务业的重要组成部门之一,保险业在本次金融危机中也难以独善其身。有着长达89年的经营历史、总资产规模超过1万亿美元的美国国际集团(AIG)在此次金融危机中受到重创濒临破产。为防止AIG倒闭引发系统性金融风险,美国政府对其进行了救助。当前世界金融危机愈演愈烈,虽然我国保险业受次     

东欧银行业病体濒危

源于美国的次贷危机经过近两年的演变，现已转化为金融危机，进而引发了经济的全面衰退。近期次贷危机再生新触角，使东欧银行业成为全球金融业关注的焦点。     

东欧银行业病体濒危

源于美国的次贷危机经过近两年的演变，现已转化为金融危机，进而引发了经济的全面衰退。近期次贷危机再生新触角，使东欧银行业成为全球金融业关注的焦点。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…