共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 296 毫秒
1.
Marcel Naujoks Kevin Aretz Alexander G. Kerl Andreas Walter 《Financial Markets and Portfolio Management》2009,23(1):3-29
We employ an innovative methodology suggested by Bernhardt et al. (J. Financ. Econ. 80:657–675, 2006) to examine the herding (or anti-herding) behavior of German analysts regarding earnings forecasts. This methodology avoids
well-known shortcomings often encountered in related studies, such as correlated information signals, unexpected common shocks
to earnings, systematic optimism or pessimism, or forecast target mismeasurement. Our findings suggest that German analysts
anti-herd, that is, they systematically issue earnings forecasts that are further away from the consensus forecast than their
private information indicates. Furthermore, we analyze the association between herding behavior and different characteristics,
including the size of the brokerage, general or firm-specific experience, and the coverage of firms on the Neuer Markt. We mainly confirm findings for the United States, for example, that anti-herding is more severe in cases of higher competition
among analysts. Contrary to anecdotal evidence, we also find anti-herding behavior in earnings forecasts for Neuer Markt firms during the “new economy” bubble.
相似文献
Andreas Walter (Corresponding author)Email: |
2.
Li-Chin Jennifer Ho Chao-Shin Liu Thomas F. Schaefer 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2007,28(3):307-326
This study examines whether reported values for firms’ research and development (R&D) affect analysts’ annual earnings forecast
revisions following quarterly earnings announcements. Because R&D introduces uncertainty into earnings forecasts, analysts
may benefit from additional information searches in an effort to increase forecast accuracy. Also, accounting standards mandate
an immediate expensing of R&D, in essence projecting a zero value for the R&D. To the extent that R&D will produce future
payoffs, the expense treatment reduces the informativeness of reported earnings for forecasting future earnings. Thus, the
marginal benefit of analysts’ efforts to produce more information may increase with the magnitude of the R&D component of
earnings announcements and trigger additional forecast revisions. Alternatively, if the cost of information searches exceeds
the benefit, analysts’ forecast revisions may decrease.
Our results show a positive relation between R&D expenses and analysts’ forecast revision activity. We also find a positive
and significant association between the level of R&D expenses and the magnitude of analysts’ forecast revisions following
quarterly announcements. These results point to a greater amount of analyst scrutiny when reported earnings are accompanied
by high levels of R&D expenses.
相似文献
Li-Chin Jennifer HoEmail: |
3.
Our study analyzes market reaction to the entire content of a large sample of analysts’ reports from the period 2002 to 2004
for the German market. In particular, we explore whether the three summary measures in the reports, i.e., recommendation revisions,
earnings forecast revisions, and target price forecast revisions are acknowledged by the market. Additionally, we investigate
if stated justifications in the written text of analysts’ reports contain information value beyond the three summary measures.
We find that earnings forecast revisions and target price forecast revisions contain valuable information, both unconditionally
and conditional on the rest of the information in the report. Our findings also reveal that justifications made by analysts
are of high salience to market participants. These justifications provide valuable information, both unconditionally and conditional
on all other types of information in a report. Our findings also suggest that business ties between banks and the analyzed
companies do not affect market reaction to dissemination of an analysts’ report.
相似文献
Andreas Walter (Corresponding author)Email: |
4.
Landsman and Maydew (J Acc Res 40:797–808, 2002) document that the information content of earnings announcements has increased
over the past three decades, and Francis et al. (Acc Rev, 77:515–546, 2002) conclude that expanded concurrent disclosures
in firms’ earnings announcements, especially the inclusion of detailed income statements, explain this increase. We posit
and find that the temporal increase in the intensity of the market’s reaction to Street earnings offers a competing explanation
for the Landsman and Maydew finding. We also find that expanded concurrent disclosure of GAAP-based information contributes
to the temporal increase in the information content of earnings announcements. However, unlike Francis et al., we find that
the temporal increase in concurrent balance sheet and cash flow statement information dominates concurrent income statement
information once we control for Street earnings.
相似文献
Hong XieEmail: |
5.
Ruey S. Tsay Yi-Mien Lin Hsiao-Wen Wang 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2008,31(4):331-358
The paper uses Ohlson (Contemp Account Res 11:661–687, 1995) and compares the relative predictability of the proposed simultaneous
model for contemporaneous stock price with a traditional single equation model used by the previous studies. The paper also
explores how residual income and value-relevant information affect firms’ equity price. The main results of the paper suggest
that the predictive ability and estimation efficiency of the simultaneous models in explaining contemporaneous stock prices
are better than those of the traditional single models. Moreover, investors will use the value-relevant information beyond
accounting earnings, namely analysts’ earnings forecasts, bankruptcy cost and agency cost, in equity valuation to make decision.
Note particularly, the higher the bankruptcy or agency cost is, the more important the role it plays in equity valuation and,
on average, the higher the accuracy of price prediction is.
相似文献
Hsiao-Wen WangEmail: |
6.
Rewriting earnings history 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Research on the usefulness of financial information generally focuses on the innovation in the information examined, such
as an earnings surprise or cash flow growth. Consequently, prior research sheds little light on the role of the rich historical
record of financial information in users’ decision-making. Using a sample of published restatements of earnings, we show that
the revision of the historical pattern of earnings, distinct from the magnitude of the restatement and its impact on current
earnings, significantly affects investors’ decisions and predicts class action lawsuits. Specifically, we find that restatements
that eliminate or shorten histories of earnings growth or positive earnings have significantly more adverse effects for investor
valuations and the likelihood of lawsuits than other restatements. This evidence about the value-relevance of refreshing the
historical record of earnings is pertinent to the FASB’s recent cautious expansion of the scope of circumstances that require
a restatement of financial information in FAS 154.
相似文献
Min WuEmail: |
7.
This paper looks at the reaction by industry insiders, industry analysts and competing firms, to the announcement of M&As
that took place in the European Union financial industry in the period 1998–2006. Analysts covering firms involved in an M&A
transaction do not significantly alter their recommendation. This is consistent with the hypothesis that the transaction on
average is “fairly priced” and that stock market prices reflect all relevant information on the assets. We also find that
the correlation between excess returns for merging and competing firms is positive and, in some cases, significantly higher
for domestic mergers than for international deals. This is consistent with the idea that domestic deals are more likely to
have a negative impact on industry competition.
相似文献
Ignacio HernandoEmail: |
8.
We provide an alternative explanation for the previous finding of analysts’ overreaction to extreme good news in earnings.
We show that such finding could be a result of analysts’ rational behavior in the face of high earnings uncertainty rather
than their cognitive bias. Extreme earnings performance tends to be associated with higher earnings uncertainty that generally
leads to more forecast optimism. Once this effect is accounted for, the univariate result of analysts’ overreaction to extreme
good news in earnings is subsumed, leaving only their underreaction in general.
相似文献
Jian XueEmail: |
9.
Using a sample of seasoned equity offerings (SEOs), this paper examines the association between the choice of financial intermediary
and earnings management. We contend that with more stringent standards for certification and intense monitoring, highly prestigious
underwriters restrict firms’ incentives for earnings management to protect their reputation and to avoid potential litigation
risks, while firms with greater incentives for earnings management avoid strict monitoring by choosing low-quality underwriters.
Consistent with our predictions, we find an inverse association between underwriter quality and issuers’ earnings management.
In addition, we find that underwriter quality is positively related to SEOs’ post-issue performance, even after controlling
for the effect of earnings management. We also find that firms with low-underwriter prestige and high levels of earnings management
under-perform the most. However, the effect of underwriter choice on post-issue performance does not last long.
相似文献
Myung Seok ParkEmail: |
10.
Publicly traded versus privately held: implications for conditional conservatism in bank accounting 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Compared with privately held banks, publicly traded banks face greater agency costs because of greater separation of ownership
and control but enjoy greater benefits from access to the equity capital market. Differences in control and capital market
access influence public versus private banks’ accounting. We predict and find that public banks exhibit greater degrees of
conditional conservatism (asymmetric timeliness of the recognition of losses versus gains in accounting income) than private
banks. We predict and find that public banks recognize more timely earnings declines, less timely earnings increases, and
larger and more timely loan losses. Although public ownership gives managers greater ability and incentive to exercise income-increasing
accounting, our findings show that the demand for conservatism dominates within public banks and that the demand for conservatism
is greater among public banks than private banks. Our results provide insights for accounting and finance academics, bank
managers, auditors, and regulators concerning the effects of ownership structure on conditional conservatism in banks’ financial
reporting.
相似文献
James M. WahlenEmail: |
11.
The contextual nature of the predictive power of statistically-based quarterly earnings models 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0
We present new empirical evidence on the contextual nature of the predictive power of five statistically-based quarterly earnings
expectation models evaluated on a holdout period spanning the twelve quarters from 2000–2002. In marked contrast to extant
time-series work, the random walk with drift (RWD) model provides significantly more accurate pooled, one-step-ahead quarterly
earnings predictions for a sample of high-technology firms (n = 202). In similar predictive comparisons, the Griffin-Watts (GW) ARIMA model provides significantly more accurate quarterly
earnings predictions for a sample of regulated firms (n = 218). Finally, the RWD and GW ARIMA models jointly dominate the other expectation models (i.e., seasonal random walk with
drift, the Brown-Rozeff (BR) and Foster (F) ARIMA models) for a default sample of firms (n = 796). We provide supplementary analyses that document the: (1) increased frequency of the number of loss quarters experienced
by our sample firms in the holdout period (2000–2002) vis-à-vis the identification period (1990–1999); (2) reduced levels
of earnings persistence for our sample firms relative to earnings persistence factors computed by Baginski et al. (2003) during earlier time periods (1970s–1980s); (3) relative impact on the predictive ability of the five expectation models
conditioned upon the extent of analyst coverage of sample firms (i.e., no coverage, moderate coverage, and extensive coverage);
and (4) sensitivity of predictive performance across subsets of regulated firms with the BR ARIMA model providing the most
accurate predictions for utilities (n = 87) while the RWD model is superior for financial institutions (n = 131).
相似文献
Kenneth S. Lorek (Corresponding author)Email: |
G. Lee WillingerEmail: |
12.
James S. Linck Thomas J. Lopez Lynn Rees 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2007,28(4):327-352
Firm management typically claims that voluntary accounting method changes (VACs) are made to enhance the informativeness of
earnings by better matching accounting practices with economic reality. In contrast, skeptics argue that managers adopt new
accounting procedures to opportunistically manage earnings and influence their firm’s stock price. In this paper, we investigate
these alternative motives for VACs. Specifically, we investigate whether VACs cause equity prices to deviate from their fundamental
values in the short-term by studying the long-run stock-price performance for a sample of firms that voluntarily change accounting
methods. In addition, we investigate changes in earnings informativeness by examining the behavior of earning response coefficients
and the relationship between earnings and future cash flows in years surrounding the VAC event. In contrast to prior research,
we find little evidence that a strategy based solely on the earnings effect of a VAC can generate abnormal returns. While
we find weak evidence of post-VAC abnormal returns for extreme VACs, this result appears to be driven by the accruals anomaly
documented in Sloan [Sloan, R. G. (1996). The Accounting Review, 71, 289–315]. Our evidence further suggests that earnings informativeness is not significantly altered by voluntary changes
in accounting methods. Taken together, our evidence suggests the market recognizes the financial statement effects of alternative
acceptable accounting methods and efficiently processes the valuation implications of VACs.
相似文献
Lynn Rees (Corresponding author)Email: |
13.
We condition security price reactions to quarterly earnings announcements on whether firms disclose supplementary balance
sheet and/or cashflow information that can be used to estimate the consequences of earnings management. Disclosure of supplementary
information is voluntary, and thus, we consider the possibility that firms that disclose balance sheet and/or cashflow information
differ systematically from firms that do not disclose. Results indicate that investors discount evidence of earnings management
at the disclosure date when supplementary information is disclosed. Such results indicate more informed earnings interpretations
of quarterly earnings when firms provide balance sheet and/or cashflow information concurrently.
相似文献
William R. BaberEmail: |
14.
Firm diversification and earnings management: evidence from seasoned equity offerings 总被引:4,自引:3,他引:1
Chee Yeow Lim Tiong Yang Thong David K. Ding 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2008,30(1):69-92
Popular press suggests that diversified firms are more aggressive in managing earnings than non-diversified firms. We examine
this claim in the seasoned equity offering (SEO) setting, where firms have been shown to have the incentive to manage earnings
upwards. Using the cross-sectional modified Jones [(1991) J Accounting Res 29:193–228] model to measure discretionary current accruals, we find that discretionary current accruals
are higher among diversified firms than in non-diversified ones. Our evidence is consistent with the view that the extent
of firm diversification is directly related to the degree of earnings management. We further show that diversified issuers
with high discretionary accruals underperformed other SEO firms.
相似文献
David K. DingEmail: |
15.
We examine stock sales as a managerial incentive to help explain the discontinuity around the analyst forecast benchmark. We find that the likelihood of just meeting versus just missing the analyst forecast is strongly associated with subsequent managerial stock sales. Moreover, we provide evidence that managers manage earnings prior to just meeting the threshold and selling their shares. Finally, the relation between just meeting and subsequently selling shares does not hold for non-manager insiders, who arguably cannot affect the earnings outcome, and is weaker in the presence of an independent board, suggesting that good corporate governance mitigates this strategic behavior.
相似文献
Vicki Wei TangEmail: |
16.
Louis T. W. Cheng Hung-Gay Fung Tak Yan Leung 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2007,28(1):23-54
The literature has suggested that earnings and earnings forecasts provide stronger signals than dividends about future performance
of a firm. We test the information effects of simultaneous announcement of earnings and dividends in the Hong Kong market,
distinguished by three interesting features (concentrated family-shareholdings, low corporate transparency, and no tax on
dividends). Our results show significant share price reactions to unexpected earnings and dividend changes, but dividends
appear to play a dominant role over earnings in pricing, a result contrary to findings in the literature. The signaling hypothesis
works primarily for firms with earning increases, while the maturity hypothesis works mainly for firms with earnings declines.
相似文献
Tak Yan LeungEmail: |
17.
Rong-Ruey Duh Wen-Chih Lee Chi-Yun Hua 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2009,32(1):33-59
This paper examines whether non-audit service provision impairs auditor independence, and whether the degree of auditor independence
in Taiwan changed in the wake of the 2004 Procomp scandal. The auditors involved in the Procomp affair were suspended from
practice for 2 years and were sued, and we posit that these unprecedented sanctions and litigation affected subsequent auditor
behavior. Considering the measurement errors involved in discretionary accruals, we propose an alternative analytic approach
in which the dependent variable in the regression analysis is the difference between audited earnings and forecast earnings,
scaled by total assets, and the primary independent variable is the non-audit fees ratio. After controlling for the effects
of financial leverage, operating and market performance, industry, company size, audit firm size, management forecast error,
and management attempts to manipulate earnings, regression analysis indicates that the coefficient for non-audit fees ratio
is negative and significant in 2003 but not in 2004. Using non-audit fees instead of non-audit fees ratio to conduct the regression
analysis yields similar results. This finding is consistent with the notion that auditors make a trade-off between gaining
service fees and avoiding litigation and reputation loss. Limitations and policy implications are also offered.
相似文献
Chi-Yun HuaEmail: |
18.
An empirical assessment of the premium associated with meeting or beating both time-series earnings expectations and analysts’ forecasts 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0
Nicholas Dopuch Chandra Seethamraju Weihong Xu 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2008,31(2):147-166
Recent research provides evidence of a market premium accruing to firms that meet or beat analysts’ forecasts. We find similar
results for our sample of firms. However, we also find a market premium for firms that meet or beat time-series forecasts,
and that the highest market premium accrued to firms that meet or beat both analysts’ and time-series forecasts. These findings
are supported by assessments of future financial performance over the next two subsequent years. Our findings are consistent
with the notion that when time-series benchmark is used in conjunction with analysts’ forecasts, investors obtain a more reliable
(i.e., less noisy) signal regarding whether firms have actually met or beaten market expectations.
相似文献
Weihong Xu (Corresponding author)Email: |
19.
Economic consequences of financial reporting changes: diluted EPS and contingent convertible securities 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This paper examines the economic consequences of changes in the financial reporting requirements for contingent convertible
securities (COCOs). Using a sample of 199 COCO issuers from 2000 to 2004, we find that issuers are more likely to restructure
or redeem existing COCOs to obtain more favorable accounting treatment when the financial reporting impact on diluted earnings
per share (EPS) is greater and when EPS is used as a performance metric in CEO bonus contracts. These results provide new
evidence that managers are willing to incur costs to retain perceived financial reporting and compensation benefits. We also
present evidence of significantly negative stock returns around event dates associated with the financial reporting changes,
consistent with investor anticipation of the agency costs associated with the rule change.
相似文献
Christine I. WiedmanEmail: |
20.
Mine Ertugrul Özcan Sezer C. F. Sirmans 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2008,36(1):53-80
This paper studies the determinants of corporate hedging practices in the REIT industry between 1999 and 2001. We find a positive
significant relation between hedging and financial leverage, indicating the financial distress costs motive for using derivatives
in the REIT industry. Using estimates of the Black–Scholes sensitivity of CEO’s stock option portfolios to stock return volatility
and the sensitivity of CEO’s stock and stock option portfolios to stock price, we find evidence to support managerial risk
aversion motive for corporate hedging in the REIT industry. Our results indicate that CEO’s cash compensation and the CEO’s
wealth sensitivity to stock return volatility are significant determinants of derivative use in REITs. We also document a
significant positive relation between institutional ownership and hedging activity. Further, we find that probability of hedging
is related to economies of scale in hedging costs.
相似文献
C. F. SirmansEmail: |