金融危机后的集装箱运输发展趋势初探

金融危机后,全球贸易下降,航运业受到重创,航运业为维持基本运营采取了多项自救措施来保证国际航运市场的发展。文中分析了金融危机后国际集装箱运输市场发展,同时提出了完善我国集装箱运输物流的建议。     

中国大型航运企业市场化面对的问题及对策分析

美国的次贷危机所引发的金融危机浪潮席卷全球．对世界经济产生了极大的负面影响．全球大宗商品价格出现大幅回落．世界经济增长减缓甚至出现衰退。而作为世界经济“晴雨表”的海运业首当其冲．新船订单接连出现撤销．BDI指数连创新低,世界海运业正面临着极其严峻的挑战。面对国际航运市场不断加剧的竞争,航运企业市场化的问题也已经摆到了中国航运企业的面前。文章就中国大型航运企业市场化所面对的传统问题和在金融危机出现时的应对对策进行了简要分析并提出了相应建议。     

航运企业筹资组合选择影响因素分析

航运企业资金运用特点是长期资金投资回收期长,而短期流动资金周转数量大。长短期资金使用差异形成了不同的航运企业的筹资组合模式。本文采用多元线性回归方法,以我国上市航运企业为研究样本,分析了影响航运企业筹资组合选择的主要因素。结果表明,固定资产比重、短期贷款利率提高使得航运企业短期负债比重上升,而汇率、财务费用因素提高使得企业短期负债比重下降。     

An exploration of factors influencing the choice of commodity price risk mitigation strategies

Most firms are exposed to price volatility associated with commodities, which can significantly affect the price paid for raw materials, energy, packaging, shipping, and component purchases. Commodity price risk represents the financial, operational and informational effects of commodity price volatility (CPV). The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the supply chain risk management literature by providing a taxonomy of commodity price risk mitigation strategies and factors that may influence the adoption of these strategies. A qualitative study was conducted using a grounded theory approach, based on case studies of companies with home operations in Italy, Germany, and the US. The paper provides some initial evidence for theory and practice as to: 1) how firms can mitigate the risk from CPV by implementing various sourcing, contracting, and financing strategies; and 2) the influence of commodity/product factors, buying organization factors, supply chain factors, and external environment factors on strategy capability and choice.     

后金融危机时代我国钢铁行业发展战略

对在目前全球金融危机中我国钢铁行业存在产能过剩、出口大幅下滑、进口铁矿石价格形成机制不合理、主要原材料不断上涨等广大钢铁企业所关心问题进行了深层次剖析;结合行业现状和国家对行业发展的新要求,探讨行业在后金融危机时代如何通过科技创新、产业结构调整和大力发展节能环保型循环经济来消除金融危机对行业的影响,为我国钢铁行业的科学、健康、可持续发展提供参考。     

我国乳业品牌危机管理的现状及对策探析

2008年9月,国内多个乳品品牌接连出现产品质量问题,使消费者对乳业品牌的信任度和忠诚度严重下降,乳业面临着严重的品牌危机困境,加强品牌危机管理已经成为乳品企业管理中的重要一环。文章主要分析了我国乳业品牌危机现状,并提出加强乳业品牌危机管理的相应对策,希望对国内乳业的发展起到一定的指导作用。     

Was the 2007 crisis really a global banking crisis?

We argue that the 2007 crisis was not a global banking crisis. Stock prices of banks in emerging countries faced a temporary shock but quickly recovered, while stock prices of banks located in industrial countries remained much lower than before the 2007 crisis. Our results also suggest that stock prices of large banks were affected more during the crisis than those of small banks. We also find that managerial efficiency, loan quality, leverage, and the volume of outstanding loans affect bank stock prices.     

Factors influencing bank risk in Europe: Evidence from the financial crisis

We use a dynamic panel data model to analyze bank-specific and macroeconomic determinants of bank risk for a large sample of commercial banks operating in the euro area. The selected time span, from 2001 to 2012, considers the impact of the on-going financial and economic crisis on the Eurozone banking system. Our results indicate that capitalization, profitability, efficiency and liquidity are inversely and significantly related to bank risk. However, the recourse to wholesale funding by banks seems to increase their risk. We also find that less-concentrated markets, lower interest rates, higher inflation rates and a context of economic crisis (with a falling GDP) increase bank risk.     

The 2007–2009 financial crisis,global imbalances and capital flows: Implications for reform

The paper discusses the currents that led to the 2007–2009 financial crisis. We discuss the crisis in a historical context and present evidence regarding the incidence and unit price of risk. Our results show that the unit price of risk prior to the subprime crisis is comparable to the price of risk prior to the great depression and similar to the price of risk at onset of the technology bubble. We then discuss global imbalances, the associated risks with regard to international optimal allocation of capital, and arrangements to minimize problems of global imbalances.     

后危机时代我国上市公司资本结构与融资偏好分析

后危机时代要求我国上市公司加快融资速度,以形成良好的资本结构。本文从后危机时代资本市场的特点出发,通过对上市公司资本结构与融资现状的分析,找出制度和非制度的因素,并从大力发展和完善债券市场的融资功能、优化股权结构、加强对"内部人"约束等方面提出了改善我国上市公司融资行为及优化资本结构的对策。     

浅析金融危机中我国国际贸易应对措施

2008年注定是一个不平凡的一年。一场全球性的金融危机席卷而来,对美国乃至中国都产生了巨大影响。美国30年代的经济危机仍历历再目,由于美国国会突然通过高额关税法案实施贸易保护主义,使国际贸易总额急剧收缩,使30年代的美国经济危机更加严重。我国应该吸取30年代的教训,采取有效的措施来应对这场危机。     

金融危机下航运企业联盟的经济分析及其对策

金融危机使全球经济受到前所未有的打击，同时也波及到航运业。以本次金融危机为背景，探讨危机下航运企业如何通过企业联盟渡过难关。首先分析了金融危机对国际航运市场的影响，介绍了金融风暴对航运金融市场，运输需求方面的影响。接着，从企业联盟的含义入手，从规模经济方面对企业的联盟作了理论分析，最后分析了金融危机背景下航运企业联盟的意义。     

浅议工程项目人力资源危机管理

工程项目往往具有建设周期长,投资大,回报期长,涉及多利益主体,存在多种风险因素的特点,在各类风险因素中,人力资源危机是其中一个很重要的危机源,文章分析了工程项目人力资源危机的原因、特点,并有针对性地提出了应对策略。     

Behavioural heterogeneity and shift-contagion: Evidence from the Asian crisis

In this paper, we propose an empirical model based on the heterogeneous agents literature. Price changes are induced by fundamental, technical, and international factors. The model is estimated for Hong Kong and Thailand surrounding the Asian crisis. We find that the three sources are relevant and that their relative price impact fluctuates conditional on price impact in the previous period. Results imply that the crisis is triggered in Thailand due to an increased focus on the fundamental price, followed by an increase in chartism and finally aggravated by a focus on foreign developments. Furthermore, the crisis deepens in Hong Kong because of increased attention for foreign markets.     

浅谈银行如何有效防范地方政府融资风险

在94年国家进行分税制改革之后,财政收入向中央政府集中,这加剧了各地方政府事权与财权不平衡的局面,政府融资平台为地方政府拓宽了融资渠道。进入2008以来,受国际金融危机的影响,我国实施了宽松的货币政策和积极的财政政策,推动了各地方政府融资平台飞速发展,在应对金融危机方面起到了重要作用。但是地方政府融资债务疯狂增长下其隐藏的风险已经逐渐凸显出来,值得我们关注。本文从银行的角度浅析了银行如何防范来自地方政府融资的风险。     

加快建设福建省湄洲湾港口航运市场服务体系

文章分析了湄洲湾港在港口航运体系建设中存在的主要问题,并针对存在的问题,提出应该从提高港航等企业的服务水平、加快集疏运系统的建设、加快信息化建设、加强船舶融资、海事保险等航运高端服务业建设等策略来建设湄洲湾港航运市场服务体系。     

Super-exponential growth expectations and the global financial crisis

We construct risk-neutral return probability distributions from S&P 500 options data over the decade 2003–2013, separable into pre-crisis, crisis and post-crisis regimes. The pre-crisis period is characterized by increasing realized and, especially, option-implied returns. This translates into transient unsustainable price growth that may be identified as a bubble. Granger tests detect causality running from option-implied returns to Treasury Bill yields in the pre-crisis regime with a lag of a few days, and the other way round during the post-crisis regime with much longer lags (50–200 days). This suggests a transition from an abnormal regime preceding the crisis to a “new normal” post-crisis. The difference between realized and option-implied returns remains roughly constant prior to the crisis but diverges in the post-crisis phase, which may be interpreted as an increase of the representative investor׳s risk aversion.     

Volatility spillovers among the U.S. and Asian stock markets: A comparison between the periods of Asian currency crisis and subprime credit crisis

This paper examines the changing nature of volatility spillovers among the U.S. and eight East Asian stock markets between two financial crises: the Asian currency crisis and the U.S. subprime credit crisis. Our empirical results suggest that volatility is not always spilled over from the directly affected markets to surrounding markets in crisis periods. The East Asian markets who directly suffered from the Asian currency crisis are the ones to which volatility is spilled over from other markets during the Asian currency crisis period, whereas uni-directional volatility spillovers from the U.S. market to other markets are observed during both crisis periods. This difference can be explained by a pre-determined hierarchy in which volatility spillovers tend to start from the U.S. market regardless of the geographical origin of the crisis. Furthermore, our results reveal that the markets in three major Asian financial hubs, i.e., Japan, Hong Kong and Singapore, are the markets to which volatility is spilled over uni-directionally from several other countries during the subprime credit crisis period, but not during the Asian currency crisis period. We attribute this difference to crisis-specific (currency or credit crisis), market-specific (credit derivatives market participation and foreign currency reserves), and time-specific (more integrated global market) factors.     

Deciphering the Libor and Euribor Spreads during the subprime crisis

This paper investigates the key role played by different factors, such as the use of Asset Backed Commercial Paper as collaterals in the short-term debt market, credit risk and the injection of liquidity by Central Banks through so-called unconventional measures, on the persistent spread during the subprime crisis bet. The empirical analysis shows that, in addition to credit risk, a relevant variable for explaining the interbank rate dynamics is the outstanding volume in the Asset Backed Commercial Paper market. In short, the large spread observed in the market is explained by the inter-relationship between collateralized short-term debt markets and the unsecured interbank market. It is also shown that Central Bank ⿿non-conventional⿿ intervention variables are relevant in affecting the spread both in the long-run but mostly in the short-run.     

Entrepreneurial financing in new business ventures: a help-seeking behavior perspective

How and from whom prospective entrepreneurs seek their start-up capital for new venture formation represent fundamental questions in entrepreneurial financing. Drawing on research of help-seeking behavior, we propose that apart from economic rationale entrepreneurs’ decisions to seek financing may be influenced by socio-psychological factors. Using a scenario experiment (venture risk x relational proximity) to investigate how prospective entrepreneurs considered funding from family and outsiders, it was found that they tended to seek family financing when the family was close and the risk was high, and inclined to seek outsider funding when the venture risk was high and the family was not close. The findings might seem paradoxical but they actually underscore the influence of socio-psychological factors in entrepreneurial financing decisions and offer novel contributions to the entrepreneurship, informal investment, and education literatures.