金融支持地方特色产业结构升级的路径探析

“十一五”三亚产业发展取得较好的成绩,但金融助推三亚产业升级发展仍存在一些问题:一是金融在优化资源配置中未充分发挥其作用;二是金融创新不足,支持产业升级发展乏力;三是金融自身发展不足,在国民经济中的占比太小,对产业结构的优化贡献不大.在国际旅游岛建设大背景下,利用金融手段促进三亚产业升级发展可以从以下几个方面进行:一是...     

绿色金融投放与经济高质量发展--基于产业结构升级的中介与调节效应研究

金融机构绿色金融投放通过优化资金配置,促进产业转型升级,对经济高质量发展具有重要影响。本文以长三角核心城市群为例,运用面板数据模型研究了绿色金融投放、产业结构升级与经济高质量发展间的关系,并基于中介效应和调节效应检验方法探讨了产业结构升级的中介和调节效应。研究结果表明:绿色金融投放和产业结构升级均是经济高质量发展的直接动力;产业结构升级在绿色金融投放促进经济高质量发展的过程中起到部分中介效应,且为重要中介路径,但调节效应不显著。     

金融结构变化对产业结构升级影响的实证研究——以广东省为例

产业结构升级是经济结构调整和产业发展的重要内容,而金融是现代经济的核心。大部分研究理论上均认同金融结构转变对产业结构升级有支持作用。利用ECM模型对广东金融结构和产业结构升级相关关系进行了实证分析,分析表明,金融结构转变并不完全支持产业结构的优化升级,文章分析了原因,并提出了金融协调产业发展的政策建议。     

供给侧改革背景下产业集聚与金融扶持研究——以安徽省铜陵市为例

在供给侧改革和“三去一降一补”政策背景下,产业结构调整和转型升级依然是当前面临的重要任务.金融资源配置会对经济运行和微观企业的运行产生重大影响,产业结构的优化升级也离不开金融的支持与协同发展.以安徽省铜陵市为例,分析铜产业的产业集聚、金融集聚的形成以及金融支持铜产业转型升级面临的主要瓶颈,最后提出金融集聚与铜产业升级的路径和对策建议.     

我国金融支持产业结构升级的实证检验

以我国1978~2013年的数据为样本,对产业结构升级率、金融相关比率以及存贷款比率之间内在经济关系的实证研究表明：我国金融支持与产业结构调整之间存在长期协整关系,但这种协整关系均表现为负向作用;金融相关比率与产业结构升级率没有显著的因果关系,但存贷款比率即金融效率与产业结构升级率之间存在双向因果关系,这说明金融效率的提升可以促进第三产业的发展。金融业应大力支持产业结构调整,积极淘汰落后产能,引导资金更多地流向高新科技产业,推动产业结构的优化升级。     

金融支持产业结构优化升级的实证研究——基于江西省11市的面板数据分析

金融支持是区域经济发展的助推器,深入研究金融与产业结构优化升级的关系,对转型时期撬动金融要素、推动产业结构优化升级具有重要意义。本文运用江西省11市2004~2013年面板数据模型,实证研究了金融支持对产业结构优化升级的影响。结果表明:江西金融发展水平对产业结构优化升级具有明显的促进作用,不管是从金融相关率、金融市场规模还是金融效率上对产业结构优化都有正向影响。     

产业转型升级的金融支持研究文献综述

产业转型升级需要完善的金融扶持体系的支持,就此问题对相关的文献综述进行深入分析。本文主要从产业转型升级研究,金融对经济发展影响的研究,金融发展和产业结构转型升级关系的研究等国内外已有文献展开探讨,揭示金融发展影响产业转型升级的作用机制,为深入研究金融发展与产业转型升级之间的关系提供理论参考。     

广西产业结构与金融结构互动关系研究

本文对广西产业结构和金融结构发展情况进行比较,对金融在广西产业结构调整中的积极作用进行定性分析,并通过构建VAR模型对广西金融发展与产业结构升级优化进行实证研究,结果显示广西金融发展对产业化水平的提高及产业结构升级支持效果较为显著,但产业结构优化升级过程中对金融业发展的推动作用还不显著,经济金融之间的良性互动效应有待加强.文章对金融支持广西产业结构升级提出有针对性的建议.     

金融集聚、信息扩散强度与产业结构升级——基于我国31个省份面板数据的实证研究

产业转型升级成为我国现阶段经济建设的重点工作之一,而金融作为优化资本配置的核心与产业升级转型之间关系密切。基于此,本文从金融业集聚发展的作用机制出发,将地区间信息扩散强度这一因素纳入金融集聚和产业结构升级之间进行考察,分析了信息扩散如何影响金融集聚与产业结构升级之间的关系,并通过我国省级面板数据进行了验证。结论显示:金融集聚发展对于地区产业结构升级具有显著的促进作用,而地区之间的信息扩散能力会通过促进金融合约的形成而强化金融集聚对于产业结构升级的促进作用,并且随着信息扩散能力的增强,金融集聚对于产业结构升级的边际作用呈现递增趋势。     

产业结构调整与金融生态环境建设的关系研究——以张家口为例

调整产业结构,加快转变经济发展方式是现阶段我国经济社会发展的客观要求,是保持国民经济持续健康发展的必由之路。产业结构的调整升级,离不开巨额资金,离不开金融中介,金融是促进产业结构转换的直接动力,而金融的发展离不开金融生态环境。因此研究产业结构调整与金融生态环境建设的关系,深入分析二者的作用机理、共同特征,对加速产业结构优化升级,充分发挥金融支持产业结构调整的作用具有重要意义。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…