郭玉红推进先进文化发展的天使

在西柏坡的山岭上,在张家口农户的土屋旁,在工厂的车间里,在社区的空地上,在医院的病楼前,在电视机的荧屏上,许多次的演出都少不了一个人的身影,她就是活跃在河北省文艺战线上的一名年轻的战士,河北省政协委员、河北省青联常委、河北省歌舞剧院著名民族歌唱演员,推进先进文化发展的积极实践者郭玉红.     

文化产业行业界定与发展水平

世界各个国家对文化产业的概念界定及分类方法不尽相同,创意产业、文化产业、内容产业等不同的名称下蕴含着文化产业的不同内涵,创意产业倡导的是附加于产品中的创造性,文化产业渲染的是产品的文化内涵,内容产业强调的是产品的丰富内容。     

对上市公司会计处理机会主义行为的思考

上市公司(以下简称"公司")会计处理的机会主义行为是指公司在追求自身利益的过程中,利用会计准则的不完善,对相关经济业务进行扭曲甚至进行虚假的会计处理,从而损害社会利益的行为.会计准则自身的"缺陷"是机会主义行为存在的条件之一.会计准则是其制定者在与公司不断博弈的过程中得到完善的.因此,提高会计准则自身的科学性,是减少公司会计处理的机会主义行为的有效方法.     

中国古代著名秘书系列之三高参型秘书——冯谖

秘书工作需要较高的文化水准.在春秋战国之前,由于贵族对教育的垄断,只有为数很少的贵族子弟可以在国家办的贵族学校接受教育,史官的地位得以保持.到了春秋后期,孔子率先创办私学,主张"有教无类",招收学生不分出身贵贱,他的学生有三千人.此后的墨子、孟子、淳于髡等,弟子都在千人以上.私学的发展促进了文化的普及,使文化人的数量激增,于是秘书队伍发生了根本的变化:文化人(主要是"士")大量补充进秘书队伍,有的充当了国君的顾问、谋士,成为官方秘书的重要组成部分,另一些人则成为达官贵族的门客,他们是我国历史上最早的私人秘书.     

置信区间 估算流行病潜伏期的统计方法

流行病学是与统计学关系非常密切的一门学科领域.统计学家们通过处理相关的概率分布,并估计这些分布的参数,就可以帮助卫生官员估计受感染的人数,从而为制定有效的公共政策服务.艾滋病的平均潜伏期是怎样估算的呢?有多大的把握确信真值会落在所估计的区间里?我们不妨从统计学史中寻找答案……     

古人是怎样进行督查的?

督查是对领导的重要决策或工作部署的贯彻执行情况进行督促检查.古代没有与今天的督查工作完全对应的专门机构,但历代统治者为了维护自己的权威,使自己的决策得到贯彻执行,也需要对行政系统内的衙署和官员进行督促检查,为此还设置了相应的机构,配备了相应的官职,建立了相应的制度.需要说明的是古代对政令贯彻情况的"督查"与对官员本身的"监察"是结合在一起进行的.     

数据挖掘技术及工具的发展和应用

进入21世纪,通信、计算机和网络技术正改变着整个人类和社会.随着数据库技术的迅速发展以及数据库管理系统的广泛应用,人们积累了大量数据信息.人们希望能够了解激增的数据背后隐藏着的重要信息,以便更好地利用这些数据.而目前的数据库系统可以实现高效地数据的录入、查询、统计等功能,但无法发现数据中存在的关系和规则,从而无法根据现有的数据对未来的发展趋势进行预测.缺乏挖掘数据背后隐藏的知识的手段,导致了"数据爆炸"但"知识贫乏"的现象.面对这一挑战,数据挖掘和知识发现(DMKD)技术应运而生,并显示出强大的生命力.     

企业财务管理目标体系新论

企业财务管理目标的确立将体现可分解性、可操作性和可控制性.企业财务管理目标的研究是直接为企业理财实践服务的,除了考虑理论上的完备性外,还应充分满足在实际应用中的可行性.本文从合理的财务管理目标应具有的特征出发,通过对财务管理目标的定位、内涵及层次等一系列基本问题的分析,从一个全新的视角对构建现代企业财务管理目标体系提出了自己的见解.     

坚持诚实守信原则促进经济社会发展

近年来,诚信问题受到政府和社会的广泛关注,成为大众媒体和社会议论最多的焦点问题之一.社会上出现的严重的失信行为和假冒伪劣的泛滥,严重破坏了正常的经济秩序,影响社会主义市场经济的健康发展.为了实现党的十七大提出的全面建设小康社会的宏伟目标,应在全民族大力倡导坚持诚实守信理念,促进经济社会发展.     

关于道路绿化中应注意的几个问题

道路绿化是一个城市绿化的重要组成部分,是城市品味的体现,其美化、净化及空间隔离的作用是不可代替和忽视的.但其所处的位置、环境的条件往往比整块绿地的条件来得恶劣,不仅有纵横交叉的地下管线、基层土质等方面的不利,更多的是人为的破坏及污染环境的影响.为了更好地做好绿化工作,本文仅从观赏效果、资金投入等方面着手论述自己的几点看法,供大家参考.     

Input/output ranges and performance: an examination of US machine tool producers

Despite the establishment of high-tech multinational enterprises (MNEs) in Ireland since the late 1950s, the country did not succeed in closing the technological gap with most of its EU counterparts. The weak National System of Innovation (NSI), and in particular low business and government R&D levels, combined with a lack of research and technology linkages between MNEs and indigenous firms, explain these poor results. However, the Shannon region in the West of the country presents some specific institutional characteristics that could theoretically make the region a strong technological enclave. The various actors in the region - i.e. the administrative, financial, political and research institutions, as well as the business organizations - have indeed infused a new type of economic development. After a brief review of the available concepts and models articulated around these actors and their interrelationships, the paper analyses whether the Shannon region, taken as an illustrative example, mirrors a specific economic and technological localized setting. The study is based on a survey of indigenous and foreign firms.     

计算机信息化管理在食品药品检验领域中的应用

信息化是当今世界发展的大趋势,是推动经济社会变革的重要力量。大力推进信息化,是覆盖我国现代化建设全局的战略举措,计算机信息化管理在食品药品检验领域的应用,是构建社会主义和谐社会的迫切需要和必然选择。利用信息化加强食品药品监管工作力度,做到监督到位,处理措施得当,避免安全事故的发生。信息化应用与科学检验相辅相成,为人民群众生命安全负责,为社会安定、和谐发展保驾护航。本文对计算机信息化管理在食品药品检验领域中的应用进行一个分析阐述。     

A retrospective on the subprime crisis and its aftermath ten years after Lehman’s collapse

This paper reviews the interactions between policymaking, the financial system and the U.S. economy before, during and after the subprime crisis, with particular attention to current controversies about the policy decisions that led to Lehman’s downfall and their lessons for the future. The first part of the paper documents and analyzes the interactions between policy, financial markets and the economy during the acute and subsequent moderate phases of the crisis as well as during the later gradual exit from the zero lower bound and the extremely slow reduction in high powered money and bank reserves. The remaining parts develop alternative aspects of the thesis that mutual uncertainties inflicted by financial institutions on policymakers and by the latter on financial markets were at the root of the non-negligible surprises that the crisis inflicted on everybody. In particular, it discusses the political economy of bailout operations, reviews and evaluates recent controversies about the reasons for not rescuing Lehman Brothers, and informally presents the structure and policy lessons from a general equilibrium model of the financial sector highlighting the consequences of policy actions that have raised (Knightian) bailout uncertainty. The last section takes a brief look ahead and discusses some longer term consequences of the crisis.     

Slumdog cities: rethinking subaltern urbanism

This article is an intervention in the epistemologies and methodologies of urban studies. It seeks to understand and transform the ways in which the cities of the global South are studied and represented in urban research, and to some extent in popular discourse. As such, the article is primarily concerned with a formation of ideas - "subaltern urbanism" - which undertakes the theorization of the megacity and its subaltern spaces and subaltern classes. Of these, the ubiquitous ‘slum’ is the most prominent. Writing against apocalyptic and dystopian narratives of the slum, subaltern urbanism provides accounts of the slum as a terrain of habitation, livelihood, self-organization and politics. This is a vital and even radical challenge to dominant narratives of the megacity. However, this article is concerned with the limits of and alternatives to subaltern urbanism. It thus highlights emergent analytical strategies, utilizing theoretical categories that transcend the familiar metonyms of underdevelopment such as the megacity, the slum, mass politics and the habitus of the dispossessed. Instead, four categories are discussed — peripheries, urban informality, zones of exception and gray spaces. Informed by the urbanism of the global South, these categories break with ontological and topological understandings of subaltern subjects and subaltern spaces.     

Towards a Theory of Serendipity: A Systematic Review and Conceptualization

Serendipity – the notion of making surprising and valuable discoveries – plays a major role in the success of individuals and organizations alike. Previous research has established the importance of serendipity and identified important individual- and organizational-level antecedents. However, the literature has been dispersed and the boundaries of the concept have been blurry, leading to a lack of conceptual clarity and structure, and thus limiting validity and managerial actionability. Based on a systematic literature review, I synthesize existing management-related research on serendipity and explicate the emergence and composition of serendipity in the organizational context. I first identify three necessary conditions that differentiate serendipity from related concepts such as luck or targeted innovation: agency, surprise, and value. Then, I draw from the literature on sensemaking, event-based theorizing, and quantum-based approaches to management to conceptualize the process of cultivating serendipity in the organizational context as a process of enabling potentiality and materialization, and develop a multi-level theory of (cultivating) serendipity. This conceptualization contributes to our collective understanding of how, why, and when (i.e., under what conditions) organizations can leverage the value in the unexpected, which opens up fruitful avenues for further research.     

Sixty years of discrimination and diversity research in human resource management: A review with suggestions for future research directions

This article reviews discrimination and diversity research published in Human Resource Management (HRM) over the past 60 years. While discrimination and diversity are very different constructs, it is often informative to study them together, because when people recognize each other's diversity, this can result in bias, stereotyping, and discrimination. We conducted bibliographic searches for terms related to discrimination and diversity as well as a manual search through every title and abstract published in HRM over the last 60 years to assess article relevance. The search resulted in 135 research articles with 136 unique studies (i.e., samples) which are reviewed in this article. Sex and race are the demographics that have been examined the most in HRM, while religion has been examined the least. Moreover, the number of studies examining lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, and queer (LGBTQ) employees in the workplace in HRM has grown quickly within the past 10 years, culminating in a recent meta‐analysis. Our review looks at some of the earliest research published, the most recent research published, and the overall trends we identified in the research over the years for both discrimination and diversity articles. We then make future research suggestions and recommendations to advance the study of discrimination and diversity in the coming years.     

科技是绿色建筑发展的基础

近年来,全球气候恶化,温室气体效应危害了全人类的生存环境。随着我国城市化进程的加速,相应的建筑物和设施将大幅增加,建筑能耗随之加大。一种能节约能源及资源、减轻环境负荷的绿色建筑应运而生,成为我国建设小康社会的必由之路。文章认为,日新月异的科技进步必然是绿色建筑发展的坚实基础和唯一途径。     

浅议企业人力资源管理

随着社会的进步和企业的发展,企业的高层都认识到,人力资源是企业最为关键的资本,是企业介入市场竞争之根本,人力资源的管理与开发是企业成功的关键。企业也日益深刻的体会到培养核心竞争力是制胜的法宝,而这种竞争力无疑与人力资源的正确开发和合理利用有着密切的联系。本文通过对企业人力资源开发与管理存在的问题与原因的分析,提出了相应的对策和措施。企业人力资源开发与管理是研究对企业各类人员的录用、开发、维持和使用进行计划、组织、指导和控制的一项系统工程。     

Analysis of high dimensional multivariate stochastic volatility models

This paper is concerned with the Bayesian estimation and comparison of flexible, high dimensional multivariate time series models with time varying correlations. The model proposed and considered here combines features of the classical factor model with that of the heavy tailed univariate stochastic volatility model. A unified analysis of the model, and its special cases, is developed that encompasses estimation, filtering and model choice. The centerpieces of the estimation algorithm (which relies on MCMC methods) are: (1) a reduced blocking scheme for sampling the free elements of the loading matrix and the factors and (2) a special method for sampling the parameters of the univariate SV process. The resulting algorithm is scalable in terms of series and factors and simulation-efficient. Methods for estimating the log-likelihood function and the filtered values of the time-varying volatilities and correlations are also provided. The performance and effectiveness of the inferential methods are extensively tested using simulated data where models up to 50 dimensions and 688 parameters are fit and studied. The performance of our model, in relation to various multivariate GARCH models, is also evaluated using a real data set of weekly returns on a set of 10 international stock indices. We consider the performance along two dimensions: the ability to correctly estimate the conditional covariance matrix of future returns and the unconditional and conditional coverage of the 5% and 1% value-at-risk (VaR) measures of four pre-defined portfolios.     

高密度电阻率法在高速公路岩溶路基勘察中的应用

介绍高密度电阻率法的原理、特点及应用,分析基于静电场理论的高密度电阻率法,岩溶地段各种土洞、溶洞及断裂等不良地质现象的地球物理特征,结合某高速公路的高密度电阻率法勘探资料,给出了不同地电模型异常分布情况,提出一些提高探测能力和解析精度的数据处理分析方法.通过实例的应用,证明这些方法的正确性及在实际应用中的良好效果,展现了高密度电阻率法在工程地质勘察中的重要作用和优越性.