外商直接投资对地区差距的影响与经济安全

随着我国对外开放程度的加大,流入我国的外商直接投资(FDI)持续增长,但是流入的FDI在我国东、中、西部地区的分布极度不平衡,FDI通过资本形成效应、产业结构效应和贸易拉动效应加剧了我国东、中、西部地区的经济差距.地区的差距不断扩大,影响了我国经济的持续发展.FDI加剧了我国的二元经济结构,从而引发了对我国的经济安全问题的思考.     

我国区域经济安全动态监测

实现各地区域经济的平衡发展是建设中国特色社会主义经济的重点之一。区域经济的协调发展影响着国民经济的发展。为了确保我国区域经济安全的发展,应该按照国家经济安全指标对我国各地的经济区域进行全面的动态监测。只有通过安全动态监测的评估,才能发现我国经济发展中存在着不稳定的因素。     

金融开放进程中我国的金融安全问题

一、开放条件下我国金融安全现状分析根据加入世界贸易组织的承诺,我国的金融市场即将全面对外开放,这也是我国建立现代金融制度的关键时期。由于境外金融机构将大举进入我国金融市场,对外资银行、证券、保险机构在华开展业务的地域和范围的放开,市场份额占有的结构将发生变化,金融风险的产生条件、形成机制和表现特征也将更加复杂。国内经济和银行体系正处于改革的攻坚阶段,将面临更多不确定性影响。这期间的国内、国际因素都有可能对我国的金融安全构成威胁,所以我们首先要对我国的金融安全现状有一个清醒的认识。(一)影响我国金融安全的…     

透过"力拓案"反观我国经济安全

力拓案进一步暴露出我国现行经济安全体系存在的问题,为我国经济安全敲响了警钟。力拓事件引起了各方关注,国家经济安全问题,已是一个关系到中华民族兴衰成败的战略问题。如何在今后的国际贸易中切实维护本国经济安全是摆在我们面前亟待解决的课题。通过对该案件的分析,重新明晰国家经济安全涵义,认清我国经济安全现状,并提出相应对策,对于避免国际市场的冲击,增强国家的竞争力,促进我国经济的健康发展有着重要的现实意义。     

卫生安全食品的“身份证”:QS标志

(一)QS标志制度主要内容QS标志制度即食品质量安全市场准入制度。我国的食品质量安全市场准入制度,是国家质检总局于2002年推出的,以确保食品的食用安全性,是根据我国企业现有的生产条件和管理水平,提出的一项强制制度,是目前消费者识别食品质量安全保     

国家经济安全视角下的我国对外投资战略选择

经济全球化愈演愈烈,使国家经济安全问题日益突出.在传统的国家经济安全理念下,学术界多从防御战略的角度研究外资对国内经济的影响.而新型国家经济安全理论强调国家经济安全的维护不仅仅是对开放条件下风险的防范和化解,还应在规避风险的前提条件下实现更高的对外开放收益.其理论核心就是在发展-国的国内经济和提高世界经济融入度的基础上建立国家经济安全体系.为此,本文从介绍新型国家经济安全理念入手,在分析-国对外投资与该国经济发展和世界经济融合的相关性基础上,针对我国国家经济安全问题,从微观企业预警、中观行业安全和宏观区位选择三方面提出了我国对外投资的战略选择,为构筑开放条件下的新型国家经济安全体系奠定了一定基础.     

跨国公司对我国装备制造业的投资及其对经济安全的影响(下)

在上篇(刊载于本刊上期--编者注)中,分别从通用设备制造业吸收外资的状况、外资控制情况、独资化趋势、投资动机和市场结构等方面,评估了跨国公司对我国通用设备制造业经济安全的影响.本篇集中研究跨国公司对我国专用设备制造业的投资和经济安全的影响.     

全球化背景下我国人才安全管理体系的构建

人才安全问题是关系到我国经济能否持续发展的战略问题。随着经济全球化的发展,人才作为战略性生产要素的大量流失,对我国经济安全构成了严重威胁。文章分析了全球化背景下我国人才安全面临的日趋严峻的形势,论述了我国保障人才安全的重要性,同时提出要通过强化人才安全战略观念、完善人才管理机制、加强相关立法、建立监测预警体系等途径来系统构建我国人才安全管理体系。     

论经济全球化条件下我国的经济安全

经济全球化已成为不可逆转的客观历史潮流。但在经济全球化条件下,由于各国在资源和产业等领域竞争的加剧,国家经济安全问题日益突出。本文首先从资源、产业、发展角度给出了国家经济安全的含义、核心以及本质表现。又分析了经济全球化对我国经济安全的影响,并提出提高我国经济安全度的相关措施。     

中国省级区域人力资本的收敛性分析

大量的理论和实证研究都表明,人力资本是一个国家或区域经济增长的重要因素,也是不发达区域赶超发达区域的重要条件。在我国实施区域协调发展的背景下,对我国人力资本的区域差异进行实证分析显得十分必要。通过σ-收敛和β-收敛检验了我国内地30个省份(为统计方便,将重庆归入四川)的人力资本增长情况,认为1990￣2004年我国各地区的人力资本是绝对收敛的,这将有利于缩小我国的区域经济增长差距。     

Host-country policy – commitment or no-commitment: a theoretical analysis

This paper develops a model of foreign entry strategy and examines welfare of the host-country under two situations - (i) where host-country government commits to the tax policy, (ii) where host-country government does not commit to the tax policy. It turns out that under the non-committed government policy the foreign firm does not prefer to hold equity share in the domestic project. The host-country welfare, however, is more under the committed government policy than the non-committed government policy when the foreign firm has sufficiently higher bargaining power. The possibility of technology choice by the foreign firm reduces the range of bargaining power of the foreign firm over which the host-country welfare is more under the committed policy compared to the non-committed policy.     

Joint venture instability in developing countries under entry

We explain the rationale for share adjustment in an international joint venture (JV) and opening up of a wholly owned subsidiary by the foreign JV partner. If the cost difference between the JV and other firms is small, the foreign firm opens a wholly owned subsidiary and completely sells-out its shares in its previously formed JV. If the cost difference is intermediate (large), the foreign firm adjusts (increases) its shareholding in the JV and opens (does not open) a competing subsidiary. JV instability may be the outcome of a friendly separation. There may also be situations with no share adjustment.     

Foreign investment and migration: analytics and extensions of the basic model

"This paper provides a unified approach to the basic model of international factor mobility. The use of new graphical techniques complements the algebraic exposition to underscore the persistence of the Ramaswami effect which pushes an active, home country toward a near 'buy-out' of the foreign country's internationally mobile factors of production. By generalizing the Ramaswami function, which identifies the gains associated with moving to near buy-out, we are able to explore the forces at work that mitigate such a strategy and lead to situations in which only a partial buy-out, or even no acquisition of foreign factors is optimal. These features are developed in a context in which (i) technologies differ between countries or (ii) there exists a third, immobile factor of production."     

我国积极财政政策拉动消费需求的实施效果

1998年以来,为了应对严峻的国内外经济形势,我国实行了以国债投资为主体的积极财政政策,产生了明显的效果,应进一步调整和完善该项政策,使其作用得到充分有效发挥。     

Financial constraints on export market exit of domestic firms versus foreign multinational corporation subsidiaries in South Korea

Using a Korean manufacturing firm-level data set covering a range of years from 2006 to 2013, this study investigates how the financial condition of firms, such as liquidity, leverage, and cash flow ratio, affects exit from export markets. It also analyses whether the financial status of foreign multinational corporation (MNC) subsidiaries differs from that of domestic firms with respect to the hazard of export market exit, especially during a global financial crisis. The empirical results confirm that, for domestic firms, the hazard of export market exit is affected by the firms’ financial condition only during a financial crisis. In other words, the financial vulnerability of domestic firms increases during the crisis, resulting in the hazard of export market exit. However, financial situations for foreign MNC subsidiaries do not affect exits from export markets, indicating a ‘finance-factor comparative advantage’.     

Profit Share and Partner Choice in International Joint Ventures

This paper suggests a new approach to the determination of profit allocation between the partners in international joint ventures (IJVs). We also examine the issue of partnership choice. The foreign firm gives a large share of profits to its partner and in return receives a better tax treatment from the host government. Under linearity of costs and demand functions, it would choose the more efficient domestic firm as an IJV partner, and the domestic firms would happily accept the offer of partnership from the foreign firm. However, the host government, under certain situations, may persuade the foreign firm, by a suitable lump‐sum transfer, to form a partnership with the less efficient firm.     

Do Psychological Fallacies Influence Trading in Financial Markets? Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Market

Research in both economics and psychology suggests that when agents predict the next value of a random series they frequently exhibit two types of biases, which are called the gambler's fallacy (GF) and the hot hand fallacy (HHF). The GF is to expect a negative correlation in a process that is in fact random. The HHF is more or less the opposite of this—to believe that another heads is more likely after a run of heads. The evidence for these fallacies comes largely from situations where they are not punished (lotteries, casinos, and laboratory experiments with random returns). In many real-world situations, such as in financial markets, succumbing to fallacies is costly, which gives an incentive to overcome them. The present study is based on high-frequency data from a market maker in the foreign exchange market. Trading behavior is only partly explained by the rational exploitation of past patterns in the data. There is also evidence of the GF: a tendency to sell the dollar after it has risen persistently or strongly.     

国家创新体系包容性视角下高校与外资研发机构合作模式演进研究

在华外资研发机构具有明显的技术和管理优势,对我国自主创新能力产生了积极影响;高校作为研发创新的重要载体与外资研发机构开展科研合作,可加速科研成果转化应用,进而提升我国科技创新能力。从国家创新体系包容性视角,分析了高校与外资研发机构科研合作模式演进历程及存在的问题,并提出了对策建议。     

Analysis on regional disparity of economic development in China based on DEA

The economy of China has been developing fast after the beginning of the new century, but the 31 provinces or municipalities （excluding Hong Kong, Taiwan and Macao） develop disparately. So, finding an appropriate way to analyze and compare the economic situations of various regions is of great significance for the balanced development of the east coastal area and the hinterland. With the DEA method, on the basis of regionalism, this paper analyzes various regions of China, and gets the conclusion that the effective proportion of DEA of the coastal developed areas is relatively higher, and the extremely tittle foreign investment makes the relative efficiency of DEA of frontier areas pretty high. In addition, through the analysis parameters of the regions where DEA is relatively ineffective, this paper points out that the surplus labor force is the most influential factor, and the spare foreign investment is the main reason for the lack of efficiency of relatively developed regions.     

国际金融形势分析与展望

2002年全球金融板块呈现调整特征:一是国际股票市场全线大跌,但其他市场却有不同程度的“好”行情;二是股票、风险投资等直接融资受挫,银行信贷等间接融资重拾风光;三是美元强货币走跌,欧元等弱货币走强;四是美国等强势金融体遭困,东南亚等弱势金融体逞强。与此相对应,中国的对外金融呈现一派繁荣景象,以开放促改革的局面初步形成。