香港金融监管学习报告(连载二)

第三章香港的金融体系 　　一、香港金融制度的特点 　　1政府尽量不干预香港的金融市场运作,能由市场决定的事情尽量由市场去做.但在市场化不能正常运作的情况下,政府也要干预香港的经济金融活动. 　　……     

在岸人民币市场与香港离岸人民币市场联动关系的实证研究

作为国际金融中心,香港为内地的发展提供了举足轻重的金融服务。近年来,我国政府力推人民币国际化,具有完备金融市场的香港成为构建离岸人民币中心、促进人民币国际化进程的排头兵。香港已经建成了规模庞大的离岸人民币市场,这一市场的波动和走势对在岸人民币市场的干扰和影响不可轻视,关乎在岸人民币市场的稳定和国家金融安全。文章分析了在岸人民币市场即期汇率、远期汇率与香港离岸人民币市场即期汇率、远期汇率之间的关系,发现两两之间并不总是存在引导关系。     

借鉴香港按揭证券公司经验发展中国住宅抵押贷款债券市场

一、香港按揭证券公司成立背景及运行模式早在1994年，金管局就组成了按揭市场小组，研究香港第二按揭市场的发展情况。该小组1995年7月在提交的报告中指出：按揭证券化将增加物业市场的资金，且成立一个有政府支持的按揭证券公司，     

CEPA框架下的大陆与香港金融合作--香港人民币离岸中心发展问题研究

一、香港成为人民币离岸金融中心的潜在条件 1、大量人民币在香港市场流通 随着内地与香港间的经贸联系及金融合作日趋紧密,人民币在港流通和使用实际上已形成一定规模.按照香港特别行政区政府的统计,在1996年到2005年之间,香港共接待内地5,794万游客.而我国政府从1993年开始就规定内地居民携带不超过6000元人民币出境,如果这些游客仅仅将6000元中的一半花在香港,则到2005年底香港市场上应当至少有1738亿元人民币.由此可见,人民币在香港事实上已成为仅次于港币的第二交易货币,也将成为离岸市场的有力资金供给源.     

CEPA框架下的大陆与香港金融合作——香港人民币离岸中心发展问题研究

一、香港成为人民币离岸金融中心的潜在条件1、大量人民币在香港市场流通随着内地与香港间的经贸联系及金融合作日趋紧密,人民币在港流通和使用实际上已形成一定规模。按照香港特别行政区政府的统计,在1996年到2005年之间,香港共接待内地5,794万游客。而我国政府从1993年开始就     

深港金融合作的切入点研究

深圳与香港地域相连,唇齿相依,得天独厚的地缘因素,加上都有的深厚市场基础和金融业发展基础,两地间的金融合作倍受两地政府的高度关注和重视,多年来在金融合作方面取得了显著的成绩,两地间互设了不少金融机构,两地在财富管理方面有了初步合作,两地政府、监管机构、研究机构建立了初步的沟通协调机制,尤其香港人民币业务得到了极大的发展.……     

香港债券市场的发展及其与内地债券市场的合作

香港债券市场的发展及其与内地债券市场的合作黎宽近年来，香港债券市场在政府和私营机构的共同推动与努力下，发展十分迅猛。１９９６年，在香港市场发行的债券工具总额约为１４８亿美元，发行笔数为１７８宗。就亚太地区而言，香港债券市场无论在筹资金额还是发行数量均...     

迎接“数码时代”的来临

背景:时不我待港英时代的政府,对市场和各行各业实行无为而治,这一政策在使香港成功的同时,也产生了战略上的和根本性的问题,其中对发展科技的忽视及由此导致的经济结构转型的停滞是主要问题之一。80年代初至今,在香港第二产业大量内移,而与此同时本身产业创新不足的情况下,香港第二产业开始出现空洞化而整个经济体系呈虚拟化态势,产业结构升级换代缓慢的特征日益明显。香港回归后,新的政府明显认识到经济中存在的危机并开始筹划新的发展路向以扭转日益恶化的形势。而促使新任政府痛下决心避免一错再错的     

香港离岸人民币市场发展现状及展望

随着跨境人民币业务的不断推进,香港人民币存量规模快速增长,并带动香港离岸人民币市场迅猛发展。香港离岸人民币市场的发展及未来走向成为市场广泛关注的热点。文章在分析香港离岸人民币市场发展现状的基础上,对其2012年发展趋势进行了展望。     

市场因素对人民币汇率的效应研究——基于境内即期汇率与香港离岸即期以及NDF汇率的分析

香港离岸人民币市场在最近几年得到中国政府的大力支持,它的发展不仅可以提高香港作为国际金融中心的地位,而且可以有效地推动人民币国际化。由于香港离岸人民币市场的建立标志着中国的资本市场将更加开放,因此研究香港离岸人民币汇率变化对市场因素的反映情况就有很现实的意义。根据以往的研究,人民币NDF市场汇率较好地反映了市场因素。因此本文将境内即期人民币汇率与香港离岸人民币汇率对NDF市场汇率进行比较,分析市场因素在人民币境内即期汇率和香港离岸汇率变化中的影响程度。实证分析的结论为:香港离岸人民币汇率更大程度上地反映了市场因素的作用,并且1年期NDF汇率是香港离岸汇率的Granger原因;而境内即期人民币汇率不能很好的反映市场因素的作用,与NDF市场汇率之间没有长期协整关系。     

Free Float And Market Liquidity: A Study Of Hong Kong Government Intervention

The August 1998 Hong Kong government intervention in the stock market offers a natural experiment for studying the relation between a free float and market liquidity, where a free float is the portion of listed share capital that is freely traded on the market. Our findings show that, relative to a group of control stocks, there was an increase in the price effects of trades for the 33 Hang Seng Index component stocks that were bought by the government. On the other hand, there was no clear cross‐sectional relation between the change in the price effect and the magnitude of government holdings or the decrease in the free float.     

Pricing Efficiency in a Thin Market with Competitive Market Makers: Box Spread Strategies in the Hang Seng Index Options Market

Using a box spread arbitrage strategy, we examine the pricing efficiency of the emerging, thinly traded Hang Seng Index options market in Hong Kong, where market makers operate under a competitive open outcry system. In 20 months of tick‐by‐tick bid‐ask and transaction quotes we find very few arbitrage opportunities. Our examination of the reporting time of quotes shows that in effect, all the apparent mispricings are deceptive and could be explained by stale quotes. The absence of real arbitrage opportunities supports the pricing rationality hypothesis in the Hong Kong options market.     

Fractional integration in daily stock market indexes

I use parametric and semiparametric methods to test for the order of integration in stock market indexes. The results, which are based on the EOE (Amsterdam), DAX (Frankfurt), Hang Seng (Hong Kong), FTSE100 (London), S&P500 (New York), CAC40 (Paris), Singapore All Shares, and the Japanese Nikkei, show that in almost all of the series the unit root hypothesis cannot be rejected. The Hang Seng and the Singapore All Shares seem to be the most nonstationary series with orders of integration higher than one, and the S&P500 is the less nonstationary series, with values smaller than one and showing mean reversion.     

Stock market closure and intraday stock index futures market volatility: “contagion”, bid–ask bias or both?

Chang et al. [Journal of Business 68 (1) (1995) 61] examine the impact of the closure of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on S&P500 stock index futures traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. They document a decline in futures market volatility immediately after the close of the NYSE, and an increase 15 minutes later when the futures market closes. They attribute this to contagion–i.e. a decline in information transfer from equities to futures markets following the closure of the underlying market. This paper examines the impact of the extension of trading hours in Hang Seng Index futures traded on the Hong Kong Futures Exchange on the 20 November, 1998 to 15 minutes after the close of the underlying market (the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong). Using the unique natural experiment provided by this change, a pattern similar to US markets is documented for the Hang Seng Index Futures following the change in trading hours. This provides strong evidence that the intraday pattern in volatility is caused by market closure. Unlike US futures exchanges, price reporters on the floor of the Hong Kong Futures Exchange collect quote data in addition to trade data. This data facilitates a test of another plausible microstructure explanation for the observed behaviour–bid–ask bounce associated with trading activity. This paper provides evidence that bid–ask bounce also explains part of the observed intraday behaviour in price volatility.     

A trading strategy based on Callable Bull/Bear Contracts

The Callable Bull/Bear Contract is a barrier options contract recently introduced to the Hong Kong market. In this study, we propose a trading strategy that defines the entry point and exit point using information on the contract's call price and mandatory call event. Using data on contracts based on the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index, it is shown that the proposed trading strategy, on average, yields some decent trading returns that vary quite substantially across individual trades. Exploratory analyses indicate that trading returns are associated with volatility observed during a contract's lifespan and, to a lesser extent, with volatility in the pre-issuance period. Further, an issuer's relative issuing frequency may bear some implications for the trading strategy's performance.     

China’s financial services industry: The intra-industry effects of privatization of the Bank of China Hong Kong

The purpose of this paper is to discuss and apply some of the key issues and lessons from similar privatization in other parts of the world to the partial privatization of the Bank of China Hong Kong (BOCHK). The empirical results of this paper indicate that some of the banks and non-bank financial institutions reacted negatively to the partial privatization announcements of the BOCHK. The empirical results also show that HSBC, the largest bank in Hong Kong had no significant reaction to the restructuring announcement or the listing announcement of the BOCHK. However, the Hang Seng Bank, the third largest bank in Hong Kong, suffered a loss after the announcement of the BOCHK listing. Compared with the banks and non-bank financial institutions in China, the BOCHK over-performed the rival firms in Mainland China 1 year after its partial privatization.     

A股、H股新股初始收益率比较研究

本文借鉴IPO已有的研究成果，分别对上海A股、香港H股的新股初始收益率进行了实证研究，探讨了企业选择A股或H股发行上市所导致的两个市场的不同反应及其真正动因。实证结果表明，上海A股市场较香港H股市场具有更高的新股初始收益率，但呈逐年递减趋势；A股市场的新股初始收益率与中签率、发行价、上市首日开盘价、上市首日换手率显著相关，而H股市场的新股初始收益率则与净利润增长率、香港恒生指数显著相关。     

Optimal execution in Hong Kong given a market-on-close benchmark

For stocks traded on the Hong Kong Exchange, the median of five prices taken over the last minute of trading is currently chosen as the closing price. We introduce a stochastic control formulation to target such a median benchmark in an empirically justified model which takes the key microstructural features into account. We solve this problem by providing an explicit and efficient algorithm which even has applications beyond this paper as it can be used for the dynamic linear approximation of any square-integrable random variable. Implementing the algorithm on the stocks of the Hang Seng Index, we find an average improvement of around 6% in standard deviation of slippage compared to an average trader’s execution. We conclude by providing a novel decomposition of the trading risk into that which is intrinsic to the median benchmark and that due to execution.     

The impact of salient political and economic news on the trading activity

This paper investigates the impact of salient political and economic news on the intraday trading activity, namely, the stock return volatility, the stock price volatility, the number of shares traded, and the trading frequency. Using transactions data on 33 constituent stocks of the Hang Seng Index in the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong (SEHK), we find that political news has a distinct impact on market activity when compared with economic news. We argue that the observed phenomenon is related to the precision of signals associated with these two types of news and investors' perceptual biases.     

首次公开募股(IPO)市场表现及破发影响——基于港市中资股的经验证据

以在港上市中资股2013—2019年的数据为研究样本,首先,基于典型事件分析中资股在境外资本市场的整体表现;然后,采用多元回归模型实证检验破发、市场状况及投资者态度等因素对中资股市场表现的影响。研究结果表明：相较于恒生指数,港市中资股IPO上市后两年内的整体市场表现处于劣势;IPO破发不利于后期市场的表现,破发股的整体市场表现差于非破发股;投资者行为是市场表现的重要影响因素之一,投资者意见分歧会对中资股的市场表现产生正向影响;新股上市前的市场环境越好,中资股IPO上市后的市场表现会越好。