Performance criteria and multilateral aid allocation

This study raises questions about past models for aid allocation, in particular the ‘two-gap’ model. It proposes an alternative method for allocating aid among developing countries, on the basis of need (as represented by per capita income) and country performance (measured by variables for relative effort in savings, exports, control of inflation, tax policy, and efficiency of resource use). Statistical tests are applied to actual lending patterns of the World Bank to determine the extent to which in practice the Bank relates lending to these proposed measures of need and performance.     

Federally subsidized occupational training and the employment and earnings of male trainees

The impact of MDTA training on the earnings and employment probabilities of male trainees are studied on the basis of a longitudinal data set on trainees and non-trainees. Econometric techniques which eliminate many of the ambiguities in interpreting previous estimates are used. It is found that the program had little or no effect on employment or earnings of trainees in the late sixties (relative to continued normal employment). It is suggested that the program be interpreted as a pure income-maintenance program rather than a subsidized skill-acquisition program.     

Reinterpreting the convict labour market

The convicts transported to NSW between 1817 and 1840 were young, fit, highly literate and brought occupational skills which were broadly representative of the British and Irish working classes. In the colonial labour market where convicts were coerced, more labour was forthcoming and at a lower wage than in a free labour market. The assignment of convict labour in the colony was efficient; skilled urban and construction tradesmen were employed in the same jobs in NSW as they had held in Britain. Domestic servants and unskilled urban workers whose skills were not suited to the needs of the colony experienced job restructuring. The organization of convict workers into teams and gangs in Australia was similar to the way work was organized in free labour Britain, and a mbc of incentives and rewards characterized the extraction of work from convicts. The human capital of the transportees and the labour system within which they worked help to explain the rapid growth of the colonial economy before 1840.     

Identifying restrictions in limited information analysis of the schooling coefficient in a wage equation

Identifying restrictions underlying limited information estimates of the coefficients of a wage equation are considered from a Bayesian point of view. Within this framework ‘exclusion’ restrictions need not be imposed exactly, and it becomes possible to consider the marginal densities of interesting coefficients as functions of the tightness of these restrictions. In the application considered here the posterior mean for the schooling and test-score coefficients in a wage equation are examined as identifying restrictions are relaxed. The paper also serves as an example of the feasibility of Bayesian limited information analysis of a current economic issue.     

Effective evaluation of team performance

Teams are not the only option an organization has. There are four types of solutions that an organization could use in response to a challenge. The organization could buy a solution, could hire an external consultant to develop a solution, could use an internal consultant to develop a solution, or an organization can bring the power of a team to develop a solution. Each of these solutions has strengths and weaknesses, and the right one must be selected. It isn't always teams!     

Liquidity constraints, precautionary saving and aggregate consumption: an international comparison

This paper has three objectives. First, to expand Hall's [J. Polit. Econ. 86 (1978) 971] rational expectations permanent income/life cycle hypotheses (REPIH/RELCH) representative agent model to allow for current income consumers, the durable component of total consumer expenditures and for intertemporal substitution, which are often cited as the main reasons for the rejection of Hall's model. Second, to apply this modified model to 20 OECD countries over the post-World War II period. The GMM estimation method is employed. Third, to examine the relative influence of liquidity constraints and precautionary saving on the cross-country variation in the proportion of current income consumers, using cross-country regressions and a non-linear model of panel data. The presence of current income consumers, which is primarily due to liquidity constraints and to a lesser extent to precautionary saving, is the major factor for the rejection of the basic REPIH/RELCH model in all OECD countries.