A simple model of macroeconomic policy

This paper develops a simple model of macroeconomic policy in which the government minimizes a loss function with inflation and unemployment as arguments, subject to a Phillips curve constraint. The model is solved and a discrete time approximation taken. The model's empirical predictions are derived and some test results are presented.     

Instability in the dividend policy of the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) corporations: evidence from an emerging market

Dividend policy behaviour of corporations operating in emerging markets is significantly different from the widely accepted dividend policy behaviour of corporations operating in developed markets. This study provides evidence from the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE), an emerging European stock market, and analyses empirically whether the ISE corporations follow stable cash dividend policies in a regulatory environment that imposed mandatory dividend policies. Unlike the empirical results supporting the stable dividend policy behaviour of corporations operating in developed markets, the empirical results show that the ISE corporations follow unstable cash dividend policies and the main factor that determines the amount of cash dividends is the earnings of the corporation in that year.     

沿海地区制造业密集区产业迁移的区位选择——以广东为例

产业转移的区位选择是区域空间调控政策的基础,受到区域交易环境和企业生产指向特征的影响,区域交易环境由软交易成本和硬交易成本构成,企业生产指向类型则以企业生产组织方式为基础。研究发现,珠三角地区的企业在迁移选址时,在空间上和时序上存在首先在过渡区然后迁移到边缘区的趋势,因此,当前广东以边缘区作为产业转移空间调控的重点地区是值得商榷的,空间调控的重点应在过渡区域。     

中国产业内贸易的产生机理与政策建议

本文通过产业内贸易成因理论分析了我国产业内贸易产生机理的特殊性。通过构建更加贴近中国国情的产业竞争度模型，来解释中国产业内贸易产生的机理。并以此为基础，提出了发展中国产业内贸易的政策建议。     

旅游政策与法规课教学改革探析

“旅游政策与法规”是全国导游资格证书的统考课,为了能够提高该专业课的教学质量和教学效果,本人从三个方面进行了教学改革的尝试:一是案例分析教学法,二是加强课后实训实练,三是强化基础训练,提高了教学效果。     

基于结构突变理论的我国货币法流通速度的长期趋势

本文利用结构突变理论，对我国狭义、广义货币流通速度的数据生成过程进行了实证研究，结果表明：改革开放以来，我国狭义、广义货币流通速度服从于单位根过程，数据生成过程并未发生结构突变，因而基本保持了持续下降的“稳定态势”。     

人口转变、人口政策影响经济增长的可持续性研究——基于中西方经验认识基础上的理论分析框架

人口转变、人口政策影响经济增长的可持续性研究具有重要的理论意义和实践价值。本文介绍了相关理论研究成果,提出了研究的基本思路,确立了核心研究范畴、研究方法和研究的主体内容,并针对西部经济社会发展条件的差异,指出了人口转变、人口政策影响经济增长可持续性的区域性研究应把握的重点和难点。     

A protectionist foodgrain price policy : The case of rice in Panama

Panama has pursued a protectionist price policy for rice, with domestic prices well above the world market level. The government marketing authority purchases sufficient rice to support the established price level and stores or exports the surplus. Although producers benefit, this policy imposes significant costs on consumers, government expenditures and economic efficiency. One policy recommendation is to bring domestic prices in line with the international level. Although free trade is one possibility, a market stabilization programme could be retained. At a minimum Panama's rice price should reflect domestic demand and not production costs. The unfavourable rice-fertilizer price ratio also deserves attention.     

NNS模型及其对宏观经济学的新发展

20世纪80年代以来，新兴新古典综合（NNS）模型被广泛运用于解释具有微观基础的宏观经济问题。本文考察NNS模型的总体研究工作，论证其对于当下宏观经济学的新发展及意义。NNS模型分析性地说明：价格稳定将继续作为好的货币政策的基础，保证货币政策达到家庭福利最大化；在实际操作中，通过锚定预期未来通货膨胀，利率政策通过促进价格稳定的可信性强化了杠杆作用，导致利率政策在最大程度上促进了当前的总需求；只要现金优先的解释暗示了如果价格下降，产出只能增加，那么可以发现，扩张型的财政政策必然会在货币外生的体制下产生通货紧缩的后果。NNS模型对于中国经验具有一定的解释力。     

The impact of cognitive age on Internet use of the elderly: an introduction to the public policy implications

Despite the growth of the Internet, one area that has not really been discussed is the elderly's use of the Internet. Given the rapid growth of this population as well as the potential the Internet holds for them, it is a subject worth consideration. However, seniors cannot be defined simply by their chronological age, but by their cognitive age. This paper discusses the impact of cognitive age of a national random sample of American elderly consumers on their Internet use. The results suggest that those seniors with a younger cognitive age use the Internet more than those seniors with an older cognitive age. Additionally, seniors with a younger cognitive age have more social contact off‐line (but not online) than those seniors with an older cognitive age. Finally, in terms of demographic variables, chronological age is positively associated with cognitive age and women report a younger cognitive age than men. These results suggest that for policy makers interested in increasing the participation of seniors, they can utilize the Internet to reach those who are younger in terms of cognitive age; however, they will not be able to reach all seniors in this manner and they need to utilize the Internet as a complementing media to their traditional communication sources.