Towards a measure of financial fragility

The paper proposes a measure of financial fragility that is based on economic welfare in a general equilibrium model calibrated against UK data. The model comprises a household sector, three active heterogeneous banks, a central bank/regulator, incomplete markets, and endogenous default. We address the impact of monetary and regulatory policy, credit and capital shocks in the real and financial sectors and how the response of the economy to shocks relates to our measure of financial fragility. Finally we use panel VAR techniques to investigate the relationships between the factors that characterise financial fragility in our model, i.e. banks’ probabilities of default and banks’ profits – to a proxy of welfare.      

商业银行制度演进的逻辑——一个基于社会资金流动视点的分析框架

从社会资金流动视点观察,银行的经济性质是社会资金流动的管道,银行的基本功能是为经济活动中的资金流动提供管道服务。商业银行制度演进的实质,是社会资金流动管道功能的发展,是对现代市场经济中资金流动新态势的真实再现。中国的商业银行改革和发展的路径,是实现从原来的国家融资工具向社会资金流动管道的转变。     

我国商业银行代客境外理财业务发展的战略研究

央行"5号公告"和<商业银行开办代客境外理财业务管理暂行办法>为我国商业银行业务发展开启了一道新门--代客境外理财业务.本文采用SWOT方法,对我国商业银行开展代客境外理财业务的外部环境和内部环境进行辩证分析,指出面临的机会与威胁以及存在的优势和劣势,最后提出我国商业银行开展代客境外理财业务的战略选择--抓住机遇、避开威胁、发挥优势、消除劣势.     

客户关系与现代商业银行资产负债管理

现代商业银行资产负债管理的基本理念是以客户为中心,在不影响客户关系的基础上实现资产负债管理的目标,提出利用金融工程的剥离技术,将利率风险和部分信用风险从银行资产负债组合中剥离出来,运用套期保值技术协调风险控制和客户关系.本文指出传统商业银行资产负债管理的最大缺陷并论证了客户关系在现代商业银行资产负债管理中的重要地位.     

完善国家助学贷款机制的再思考

国家助学贷款是一项造福社会和贫困学子的公益事业,其意义的重大毋庸置疑。但是国家助学贷款发展缓慢,贷款的发放与经济困难学生的需求有较大差距,学生贷款违约与商业银行惜贷问题较为严重。本文客观分析了制约我国国家助学贷款发展的因素,并提出完善我国国家助学贷款机制的对策建议。     

The life and death of the Australian permanent building societies

Throughout the nineteenth and twentieth centuries permanent building societies have been important providers of housing finance in Australia. Despite their long history Australian building societies have been disappearing at a steady rate since the early 1980s as they have converted into banks or become involved in mergers. The purpose of this paper is to give a background account of the history of Australian building societies and put forward explanations for their past popularity and more recent disappearance from Australian housing finance markets.     

New Zealand Bank Mergers and Efficiency Gains

ABSTRACT

This paper uses accounting ratios and DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) to explore the efficiency impacts of 6 bank mergers in New Zealand between 1989 and 1998. The paper is the first reported application of DEA to the New Zealand banking sector, and its methodology is based around that used by Avkiran in his study published in the Journal of Banking and Finance in 1999 (Avkiran, 1999b).

Consistent with earlier research, acquiring banks were found to be generally larger than their targets, although they were not consistently more efficient. In a majority of cases the merger led to an increase in efficiency, consistent with a trend observed for the banking sector as a whole. No clear conclusions could be drawn on possible public benefits from the mergers.     

国有商业银行亏损问题研究

由于产权单一、多次降息、资产质量差、无序竞争、财政虚收等十个方面的主客观原因 ,导致了我国国有商业银行严重的经营亏损 ,潜藏着巨大的金融风险 ,但由于有国家信用的强力支撑 ,暂时不会出现金融危机。要解决国有银行亏损问题 ,必须为其创造良好外部环境、进行产权制度改革、发展全能银行和加强金融监管。     

论日本商业银行进入债券承销市场的效应

日本商业银行进入债券承销市场乃至日本金融业混业经营改革采取的都是一种渐进的方式,而包括金融业混业经营在内的日本金融改革对我国来讲具有较好的借鉴意义。从债券承销佣金、承销商选择和债券收益率价差等3个方面来看,日本商业银行进入债券承销市场是成功的,促进了债券承销市场的竞争,降低了企业发行债券的成本,提高了整体金融效率。就我国的具体情况来看,应在借鉴日本混业经营经验的基础上加快金融业混业经营的步伐。     

河南农村受众广告接触行为对其消费观念的影响分析

本文以豫南C乡的农村受众为研究对象展开问卷调查，主要考察了农村受众广告接触频度、接触时间、种类偏好及广告媒介信任度对其消费观念的影响。研究发现，农村受众的广告媒介接触行为影响其消费观念，但具体到广告媒介接触的指标不同则影响不同，其中农村受众广告媒介接触时间压种类偏好显著影响其消费观念。