中国潜在产出与产出缺口的估算

本文在分析比较了潜在产出的三种估算方法的基础上 ,估算出我国1 978— 2 0 0 2年间的潜在产出、产出缺口和潜在增长率。结果表明 :(1 ) 1 978— 2 0 0 2年间我国的产出缺口出现了波动水平正负交替的古典周期情形 ;(2 ) 1 995年以前 ,产出缺口波动比较剧烈而且频繁 ,1 996年特别是 1 999年以后 ,产出缺口变化较为平缓 ;(3 )从 1 999年开始 ,我国产出缺口扩大的势头明显趋缓 ,但在 2 0 0 2年出现了一些反转迹象 ,这表明 1 998年开始实施的积极财政政策在遏制经济下滑、治理经济衰退方面起到了重要作用 ;(4)根据以消除趋势法和生产函数法估算的潜在产出 ,我们可以推断 1 978— 2 0 0 2年间的平均潜在产出增长率     

我国股票型基金投资行为的实证分析

羊群行为是股票市场中投资者行为的重要方面。本文以我国公募股票型投资基金为分析对象,对2007—2008年的数据进行HM值的整体检验和收益检验,得出了我国股票型投资基金羊群行为的投资特征,并对产生羊群行为的原因进行了探讨,最后提出了改善基金投资行为的若干政策建议。     

信托主体之股东身份的法律解析——以信托型私人股权投资基金为展开

近两年在审核公开发行时,证监会对于含有信托主体股东的企业基本采取排斥态度,对信托公司的业务造成影响,引发争议。本文从法律角度对该政策的可能成因进行了剖析,并讨论了实践中各种变通规避的类型及其弊端。基于理论和现实的研究表明,尤其是对于信托型私人股权投资基金,上述否定态度的理由并不充分。更合理的制度安排在于证监会、银监会、国资委各自确立监管重点并协调合作,实现和谐监管。     

The Size and Structure of the World Mutual Fund Industry

This paper analyses the mutual fund industry for 20 countries using a new database of more than 50,000 mutual funds. The results suggest that more developed industries provide more benefits to investors as they diversify more internationally, charge lower annual charges and present more product sophistication. The results also have important policy implications by emphasising the role of competition and contestability in industry development. Fewer barriers to entry are positively associated with a larger industry, and concomitantly with more efficiency in terms of returns and fees.     

开放式基金投资策略浅谈

随着开放式基金在我国的日益发展,开放式基金的投资策略问题显得尤为重要.本文首先介绍基金投资策略的定义与分类,进而分析开放式基金投资品种的选择.开放式基金品种的选择又可分为不同基金品种的选择和旧种基金的选择.最后.探讨了开放式的基金投资时机和投资方式问题.     

论开放式基金对中国证券市场的影响

随着金融市场的发展和金融工具的创新,开放式基金已经成为世界投资基金的主流,我国也将推出开放式基金。开放式基金对比于封闭式基金具有无法比拟的优越性,它具有更强大的生命力。开放式基金将对我国证券市场产生深远影响,更将促进我国基金业和证券市场的稳健发展。     

基于数据包络分析的省级杰出青年基金项目绩效评价研究——以甘肃省为例

以2011—2021年批复立项的甘肃省杰出青年基金项目为例，随机选取已完成验收的22个项目，运用数据包络分析方法对项目执行效果从综合效率、纯技术效率和规模效率3个方面开展绩效评价研究，系统分析甘肃省省级杰出青年基金项目的投入产出效果及项目实施过程中存在的问题，并从构建激励约束机制、分类开展项目评审和推行“代表作”评价制度提出相应的对策研究。     

农村金融机构、居民贷款可得性与城乡收入差距

本文基于银行网点设立和家庭信贷选择的视角,研究了新型农村金融机构和传统农村金融机构对城乡居民贷款可得性和城乡居民收入差距的异质性影响。根据我国2000—2018年县域经济、金融机构网点和CHIP2018家庭调查等数据,研究发现,新型农村金融机构表现出良好的支农支小效果,缓解了农村地区信贷约束,比较而言,传统农村金融机构的表现相对偏弱。具体来看,新型农村金融机构的网点扩张提高了农村居民的贷款可得性,进而有利于缩小城乡收入差距。本文研究为我国农村金融机构改革提供了一定参考。     

RETHINKING THE RESEARCH FUNDING PROCESS: An Indian Perspective

In this paper I focus on the substantial research funding cuts announced by UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) in March 2021 to examine the process of funding for and participation in global research projects for researchers based in Southern institutions. I focus here on three key aspects of participating in global research projects: first, the structures through which these grants are created—the programmatic frameworks or other imperatives that confine and limit this work to Northern/Western-centric frames; secondly, the precarity of these grants and the work that they generate; and, thirdly, the increasingly output-related and time-bound nature of work in light of limited support. I argue that the effects of these are felt disproportionately by those located in the global South and are therefore worth considering as part of larger debates centred on democratizing and decolonizing knowledge networks.     

What do mutual fund managers’ private portfolios tell us about their skills?

I study a registry-based dataset of Swedish mutual fund managers’ personal portfolios. The majority of managers do not invest personal wealth into the very same funds they professionally manage. The managers who do invest personal money into their funds subsequently outperform the managers who do not. The results suggest that fund managers, in contrast to regular investors, are certain about their ability to generate an abnormal return, or lack thereof, and invest their personal wealth accordingly.