Study on how to elevate the discriminating ability of the discriminating model of the financial statement fraud

By summarizing the factor of the financial statement fraud in existing research outcome, the paper confirms the discriminating characteristic of the financial statement fraud and sets up a theoretic model to discriminate the financial statement fraud. Using radial basis function neural network, regarding to the swatch that the listed company that is punished by the Securities Regulatory Commission or the Ministry of Finance, and according to the clustering elements, validating across by set one aside, the paper verifies respectively the 22 characteristics and 31 characteristics of discriminating model. According to the clustering elements, validating across by set one aside, the paper verifies respectively the 31 characteristics and 8 characteristics selected by Fisher-ratio of discriminating model. The research outcome indicates the discriminating ability of the model including 8 characteristics is better elevated than the traditional model including 31 characteristics by comparing the disciplinary error and the forecast precision.     

财务报表分析的理论体系与课程建设研究

财务报表分析是现代经济生活中非常重要的一门课程,但也存在着诸多与形势发展不相适应的地方,需要以战略为导向来构建财务报表分析框架和前景分析的路径,着力在课程名称、课程内容、课程教材、课程教法、课程文献等方面加强建设,培养学生运用专业知识的综合能力。     

农村金融联结的风险评价——以山东省大村镇食用菌合作社为例

农村金融联结作为一种解决金融抑制问题的有效途径，已经得到理论证实和实践推广，但对其风险的认识尚处于空白。鉴于农村金融联结涉及多个经济主体的特征及相互利益关系，本文以联结的风险来源为基础，构建了农村金融联结风险的评价体系，对山东省大村镇食用菌合作社联结的风险进行了评价。研究认为，大村镇食用菌合作社农村金融联结风险较低，能够实现农村金融联结的目的。其中有利的自然、政策和产业等外部环境以及龙头企业与合作社形成的稳定联结关系有助于降低联结风险，而参与者间的利益冲突及自身能力约束增加了联结的风险。     

Using Laboratory Experiments in Logistics and Supply Chain Research

Laboratory experiments provide an underutilized methodology for subjecting research in logistics and supply chain management to rigorous scientific scrutiny. As discussed in this paper, by following established procedures researchers can create an economic system in which behavior can be observed and replicated. With the ability to control the institution and the environment, researchers have complete information and can exogenously manipulate treatment variables, neither of which may be feasible in field work. We also address many of the reservations that skeptics of laboratory experiments often express including issues of realism, participant sophistication, and payoff stakes. We then provide several examples where experiments have been used to study issues relevant to logistics and supply chain management including auctions, wholesale practices in gasoline markets, inventory replenishment, liberalization of the electric power industry, and deregulation of the natural gas markets. Finally, we identify several additional areas where laboratory experiments could be informative.     

Measuring market distortion: international comparisons,policy and competitiveness

This paper develops a framework to simultaneously estimate production possibility frontiers and measure distortions in factor and product markets. The econometric results, based on a panel of 61 countries over the period 1970 through 1985, reveal very little distortion in factor markets but considerable distortion in product markets. In addition, the distortions tend to vary with the cyclical behaviour of economic activity. Further, the results suggest that in order to improve efficiency, commercial policy should aim at reducing product-market distortions rather than factor-market ones.     

对提高地方国库现金管理质量的思考

随着中央国库现金管理业务的不断开展，地方政府也开始试水现代国库现金管理。但由于起步比较晚，地方国库现金管理仍存在国库现金收益较低、质量不高等一系列问题。为进一步提高地方国库现金管理质量，在分析地方国库现金管理现状和必要性的基础上，引入介绍西方国家用于预测国库现金最佳持有量的Miller—Orr模型，并对下一步怎样提高地方国库现金管理质量提出建议。     

A Reconsideration of the Protectionism Debate: Keynes and Import Controls

One of the most important elements of financial crises is the credit restriction that follows and the immediate consequences it has on investment and employment. In the post-Keynesian vision, an exit from economic crises frequently requires increased demand, specifically through public expenditure and employment. Furthermore, it requires the exploration of various policies and institutional reforms that could counteract the credit rationing emerging from the first moments of the financial crisis, particularly in regard to the financing of small business. This is one of the principal lessons this paper explores when studying a sample of Mexican immigrant entrepreneurs in three cities in the United States, and their conditions of survival amid the financial crisis.     

Opening up the black box: a UK case study of top managers’ attitudes to their performance related pay

This paper examines the attitudes of the top managers within one large financial services organization in the UK to fixed and variable components of their compensation package. The rationale for performance-related pay for senior managers is to align their interests with those of the shareholders, but little is known about the views of top managers on the effectiveness of such incentives. The results suggest that the design of effective bonus systems is not just a technical issue: perceptions of market fairness with respect to the compensation package and the clear communication of goals are important in getting senior managers to focus on shareholder interests.     

经济体制与政治体制之间关系的一些思考——比较17、18世纪英法美财政问题的两点启示

在任何社会,任何时代,财政问题都是一个政治的问题;政府财富的多少,直接决定了政府是否会受到人民的制约,进而影响到一个国家的民主与法制的建设。     

掇刀区财政部门干部队伍建设的调查报告

财政干部队伍建设现状和建设中存在的问题,加强和改进财政干部队伍建设