探究“新零销售”模式下影响销售量的相关因素

在新零销售模式的推动下,客户越来越倾向于消费个性化的商品。为了精准预测客户的消费需求,论文以单款单色产品为研究对象,通过建立多元回归分析的数学模型,来探究影响商品销售量的相关因素。经过分析发现,除了一些定性因素外,定量因素对销售量也产生了一定的影响,其中实际花费总金额、实际销售单价、库存数等定量因素对销售量的影响较大,且各个变量之间具有相关性,所以电商平台应特别关注这三个变量的影响。     

规划理论和实践中的空间观念辨析

规划理论和实践中的空间观念塑造着我们周围的人造环境。空间观念的发展呈现出从绝对到相对、从时空分离转向时空关联、从一元到多元的变化趋势。20世纪以来规划理论逐渐吸纳相对空间观念,但迄今为止规划实践仍以绝对空间观念为主导。绝对空间观念成为规划实践低效性的深层原因,但是完全放弃绝对空间观念而将相对空间观念引入规划理论和实践不仅存在很多困难,而且会造成认识和实践上的混乱,科学的空间观念应该将绝对和相对结合起来形成多元空间观。我国规划理论研究和实践仍以绝对空间观念为主导,了解绝对空间观念的不足和吸纳相对空间观念的合理性具有重要的理论和实践意义。     

Multiple Species Boreal Forests – What Faustmann Missed

Recent research in natural sciences shows that the dynamics in boreal forests are much more complex than what many models traditionally used in forestry economics reflect. This essay analyzes some challenges of accounting for such complexity. It shows that the optimal harvesting strategy for forest owners is history dependent and for some states of the forest, more than one strategy may be optimal.This paper confirms earlier literature on shallow lakes and coral reefs and shows that this kind of phenomena seem much more common than previously thought. They are valid for a wide range of ecosystems that cover large surfaces and they do not depend on the choice of some specific function to model the non-linearity. There are also indications that theses results could be obtained even for resources with concave growth if at least one species with non-linear growth affects their dynamics.     

The research of Chinese karst ecological hydrology

1. Introduction The area of carbonate rocks protruding through the soil level in China is 9.07*105km2. According to the area of carbonate rocks stratum protruding through the soil level, it is 2.06*106km2. With the buried carbonate rocks stratum of the different depths, its total area can reach 3.443*106km2, ap- proximately accounting for 1/3 of the national terri- torial area. Chinese carbonate rock is mainly distributed to the south of the latitude belt of Tianshan Mountain – Yinshan Moun…     

Bank loan versus financial lease: how do traditional and innovative approaches within the banking sector influence economic growth? A comparative analysis between the US and China

ABSTRACT

The argument over the effects of financial structures on economic growth remains unsettled. This study, therefore, compares the dynamic correlation and lead–lag relationship between the different financial approaches within the banking sector (that is, traditional bank loans versus innovative financial leasing) and economic growth. We employ a continuous wavelet analysis using time-series data from 1982–2017 from the US (the world’s largest developed country) and China (the world’s largest developing country). The empirical results show that (1) episodes of significant correlation usually emerge during periods of reform, crisis or policy implementation; and (2) in China, traditional banking promotes economic growth in the long term, while the real economy only imputes the evolution of banks during critical economic reforms in the short term. Meanwhile, financial leasing could only promote the development of the real economy under suitable regulation; and (3) in the US, before the crises, the irrational growth of the real economy could increase bank assets, while during the crises, the traditional banking approach harms economic growth, and after the crises, financial leases play an important role in recovery. Therefore, we suggest that policymakers should establish adequate policies and regulations to solve the situation.     

Simulation driven inferences for multiply imputed longitudinal datasets*

In this article, we demonstrate by simulations that rich imputation models for incomplete longitudinal datasets produce more calibrated estimates in terms of reduced bias and higher coverage rates without duly deflating the efficiency. We argue that the use of supplementary variables that are thought to be potential causes or correlates of missingness or outcomes in the imputation process may lead to better inferential results in comparison to simpler imputation models. The liberal use of these variables is recommended as opposed to the conservative strategy.     

试论波特劳勒“综合激励模型”的应用

知识型员工是知识经济时代出现的新型工作群体熏他们是知识资本的掌握者,是企业最为宝贵的资源熏文章通过对波特劳勒综合激励模型理论的分析认为:对知识型员工的激励熏应建立在满足其较高层次需要的基础上熏在激励策略方面熏主要采取报酬激励、精神激励和工作激励等方式熏并且应根据知识型员工不同的特点,选择不同的激励方式组合,才能充分发挥知识型员工的工作积极性。     

基于主成分分析的多元线性回归用水量模型研究——以安徽省为例

用水量的准确预测对水资源规划具有重要意义。根据统计资料,选取了八项主要影响用水量变化的指标。按照主成分分析法原理,运用少数综合因子对影响用水量变化的原有八项指标进行了综合和简化,并研究其贡献率及综合效应;分析了用水量增长的特点,选用Logistic方程对综合因子进行回归分析;结合多元线性回归方法,建立了安徽省用水量模型;拟合结果表明,模型具有较高的精度;运用该模型,对安徽省2010年的用水量进行了预测;为水资源规划与管理提供参考依据。     

基于小波神经网络的企业技术创新能力模糊综合评价

在对企业技术创新能力系统进行分析的基础上,建立了企业技术能力评价指标体系并提出了基于小波神经网络的综合评价方法,采用模糊综合评价法生成评价样本集。仿真试验表明该方法用于企业技术创新能力综合评价的有效性与准确性,为企业技术创新能力的评价研究提供了一种新的模型。     

"司法和谐"的三个向度

司法和谐是和谐社会的应有之义,是法治建设的目标,是现代司法理念的创新。通过对和谐主义模式的构建、协同主义的推动、多元纠纷解决机制的确立等三方面的分析,阐释了司法和谐的向度。