Assessing horizontal mergers under uncertain efficiency gains

The analysis of horizontal mergers hinges on a tradeoff between unilateral effects and efficiency gains. We examine the role of uncertainty in this tradeoff. In theory, the attitude towards uncertainty depends on the curvature of the social objective function. On the one hand, adjustment effects, both on the consumers' and firms' sides, tend to make consumers' surplus and firms' profits convex. On the other hand, pass-through effects may act in the opposite direction. We show that convexity prevails in a number of situations, including the most general linear demand model. Implications for empirical merger analysis are exposed.     

美国次债危机对我国资产证券化创新的启示与对策研究

基于美国次债危机的经验,结合我国的实践,资产证券化过程中应该注意：立法和产品的监管问题;纯粹的次级类债券数量一定要控制在一个完全可以承受的范围之内;在资产证券化模式上,最好选择真实出售;不管采用何种模式,发起人在信用增级措施落实上都应该更为严谨规范。     

我国商业银行信贷风险管理相关问题探析

商业银行在经营活动过程中,主要面临着信贷风险、市场风险、利率风险、流动性风险和操作风险等。商业银行资本充足率不足,商业银行信贷风险管理内控制度弱,我国信贷资产证券化水平整体不高,是造成我国商业银行存在信贷风险管理的成因。政府应提高商业银行资本充足率,加强商业银行内部管理,加快商业银行信贷资产证券化发展。     

跨国风险分担下福利收益研究述评

经济的周期波动会对消费者收入水平造成某种程度的冲击,而金融市场一体化的演进,却使各国消费者的跨国风险分担成为可能,即通过增持扩张经济体资产或减持衰退经济体资产来规避风险获取收益。学者们对该风险分担所获福利收益的程度持有不同的观点。这主要是因对福利收益的度量方式以及有关参数和随机过程设定的不同而造成的。未来的研究可以考虑将两种分析框架加以整合,在多边框架体制下,通过对禀赋的随机过程进行内生化处理来分析。对跨国风险分担理论进行梳理,有助于人们深化对当前国际金融危机的认识和研究。     

资产证券化的必要性及可行性

随着我国商业银行资产负债期限结构错配导致流动性风险隐患的日益增强,以及银行监管所要求的资本量增加,使得作为风险转移方式之一的信贷资产证券化应运而生。本文通过分析我国资本充足率不足、银行业所处的环境以及我国资本市场投融资体制的现状,说明了我国实行资产证券化势在必行。同时由于资产证券化有广阔的需求前景,大量的国外成熟、成功的经验以及我国成功的资产证券化的实践决定我国实行资产证券化具有可行性。     

Cultural variation in response to strategic emotions in negotiations

This research examined how culture influences the effectiveness of the strategic displays of emotions in negotiations. We predicted that in cross-cultural negotiation settings, East Asian negotiators who highly regarded cultural values that are consistent with communicating respect as humility and deference would be more likely to accept an offer from an opposing party who displayed positive as opposed to negative emotion. With a sample of East Asian MBA students, the results of Study 1 confirmed this prediction. Study 2 results replicated this finding with a sample of Hong Kong executive managers and also found they were less likely to accept an offer from a negotiator displaying negative emotion than Israeli executive managers who did not hold humility and deference in such high regard. Implications for strategic display of emotions in cross-cultural settings are discussed.     

资产证券化与商业银行在金融体系中相对地位的变化

文章从资产证券化的效率角度论述了资产证券化趋势与商业银行相对地位下降间的关系。资产证券化下资金融通方式的变革、风险管理方式的转变和专业化分工的发展带来直接融资地位的上升与金融体系效率的提高,从而导致金融市场的重要性日渐上升和商业银行相对地位的下降。     

Symmetric ignorance: The cost of anonymous lemons

Rules that restrict information required in negotiated private transactions have spurred a vast increase in the scope of anonymous financial markets, particularly in the United States. The subtle costs of the information-restricting rules raise questions about the social value of “completing” anonymous markets that would not naturally survive and did not historically exist.     

Investment and asset securitization with an option‐for‐guarantee swap

This article addresses the investment and financing decisions of entrepreneurs entering into option‐for‐guarantee swaps (OGSs). OGSs increase investment option value significantly. Entrepreneurs initially accelerate their investments and then postpone them as funding gaps grow. Guarantee costs increase with project risks when the funding gap is sufficiently small or large, but the opposite holds true otherwise. Investments are postponed when project risks, effective tax rates, or bankruptcy costs increase. Surprisingly, the higher the project risk, the more the entrepreneur will borrow, with a much higher leverage than predicted by classic models. Entrepreneurs can use OGSs to securitize their assets.     

保险风险证券化——巨灾债券

巨灾债券作为连接资本市场和保险市场的工具,既分散了保险的风险,又为投资者增加了投资品种。本文分析了巨灾债券出现的原因,系统阐述了巨灾债券的定义和基本架构。并分析了巨灾债券的优缺点。最后提出在我国发展巨灾债券的建议。