供应链固有可靠性和运作可靠性研究

依据供应链的不同阶段,将其可靠性分为固有可靠性和运作可靠性。为简化计算,提出供应链基本单元的概念,给出两种可靠性的分析方法。     

刍议环境保护固定资产的核算

文章结合我国企业会计制度的特点和环境保护法律法规的要求,从不同的角度对环境保护固定资产进行分类,并对环境保护固定资产的折旧、减值及报废等核算事项进行了初步的讨论。     

Panel unit root tests under cross-sectional dependence

In this paper alternative approaches for testing the unit root hypothesis in panel data are considered. First, a robust version of the Dickey-Fuller t -statistic under contemporaneous correlated errors is suggested. Second, the GLS t -statistic is considered, which is based on the t -statistic of the transformed model. The asymptotic power of both tests is compared against a sequence of local alternatives. To adjust for short-run serial correlation of the errors, we propose a pre-whitening procedure that yields a test statistic with a standard normal limiting distribution as N and T tends to infinity. The test procedure is further generalized to accommodate individual specific intercepts or linear time trends. From our Monte Carlo simulations it turns out that the robust OLS t -statistic performs well with respect to size and power, whereas the GLS t -statistic may suffer from severe size distortions in small and moderate sample sizes. The tests are applied to test for a unit root in real exchange rates.     

Two-settlement Systems for Electricity Markets under Network Uncertainty and Market Power

We analyze welfare and distributional properties of a two-settlement system consisting of a spot market over a two-node network and a single energy forward contract. We formulate and analyze several models which simulate joint dispatch of energy and transmission resources coordinated by a system operator. The spot market is subject to network uncertainty, which we model as a random capacity derating of an important transmission line. Using a duopoly model, we show that even for small probabilities of congestion (derating), forward trading may be substantially reduced, and the market power mitigating effect of forward markets (as shown in Allaz and Vila 1993) may be nullified to a great extent. There is a spot transmission charge reflecting transportation costs from location of generation to a designated hub whose price is the underlying for the forward contract. This alleviates some of the incentive problems associated with the forward market in which spot-market trading is residual. We find that the reduction in forward trading is due to the segregation of the markets in the constrained state, and the absence of natural incentives for generators to commit to more aggressive behavior in the spot market (the strategic substitutes effect). In our analysis, we find that the standard assumption of no-arbitrage across forward and spot markets leads to very little contract coverage, even for the case with no congestion. We present an alternative view of the market where limited intertemporal arbitrage enables temporal price discrimination by competing duopolists. In this framework, we assume that all of the demand shows up in the forward market (or that the market is cleared against an accurate forecast of the demand), and the forward price is determined using a market clearing condition.     

供应链竞争环境分析模型

本文将扩展后的波特模型用于分析供应链上几个连续环节组成的整体的竞争环境以及环节间的整合趋势。并采用新的模型分析了实现“厂网分离、竞价上网”改革后的电力供应链的竞争状态与发展趋势。     

基于组合权的灰色关联分析在供电企业营销效果综合评价中的应用

在供电企业电力营销效果综合评价中,客观赋权法体现了指标的信息量,而主观赋权法体现了指标的价值量,综合评价应当体现二者的统一.针对电力营销效果评价,提出了基于组合权的灰色关联分析方法.对传统的灰色关联法进行改进,将该方法用于供电企业电力营销效果评价,得到了较好的结果.     

对智能建筑规范化操作的思考

作通过对数项目程中的弱电工程的监理经验总结，提出了对智能建筑实行规范化操作的具体建议。     

《抽油泵及其组件规范》采标的滞后问题

通过对2001年版API Spec 11AX《抽油泵及其组件规范》的研究分析，指出了新版标准的先进性、科学性和合理性，阐明GB／T18607—2001：API Spec 11AX(1996)《抽油泵及其组件规范》在采标中存在滞后问题。     

磁放大器的电流放大倍数分析方法

本文对三种磁放大器的电流放大倍数进行了分析,利用磁路与电路的对偶原理,给出了磁放大器的框图及电流放大倍数的统一表达式,并利用磁路定律对所求放大倍数进行了验证。     

制度偏好差异与电力产业规制放松的困境--"厂网分开"引发的深层思考

本文利用“芝加哥”学派利益集团理论的基本假设，对我国电力产业内部人势力的形成、强化及其行为对市场交易的扭曲进行了详尽的分析，从而为当前电力产业规制困境的发生提出了一个基于制度偏好和企业行为的解释。结果表明，在缺乏有效规制的背景下．对自然垄断产业实施等同于一般产业的“放权让利”武改革，为利益集团的成长提供了制度条件和资金支持。由于管制权力分散在诸多的“条块”之间。“厂网分开”后也没有建立权威性的专业机构．不同利益取向的参与者之间的博弈使电力产业的规制放松陷入困境。