Is There a ＂Middle-income Trap＂？ Theories, Experiences and Relevance to China

Through review of relevant studies and analysis,this article indicates that the "middle-income trap " is in line with the framework of the mainstream economic growth theories, and,therefore,it is a useful concept through which we can analyze economic growth phenomena in specific economic growth phases.The empirical experiences of many countries also indicate that at specific middle-income stages,economies with high rates of growth tend to encounter economic slowdown or even stagnation.The article shows that China is facing the challenge of determining how to move smoothly beyond the middle-income stage of economic development,while taking into account the shifting population structure,changing resource endowment and growth patterns.The article,drawing on international experiences, puts forward several policy suggestions relating to improvement in total factor productivity, expansion of human capital accumulation and deepening of system and government function reforms.     

Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect the Growth of Local Firms？ The Case of China＇s Electrical and Electronics Industry

Does foreign direct investment(FDI) into developing countries affect the growth of local firms in host countries? Using a dataset of 38 sectors in China’s electrical and electronics industry,in this paper,we analyze whether FDI has a positive effect on local firms,with technology spillovers,added value and increasing total factor productivity,or a negative, market stealing,effect.Estimating the relationship between growth of local firms and investment of foreign firms,our results show that FDI is likely to have a negative impact on the growth of local firms in sectors with large disparities in technology and less experience in business.Therefore,local firms lacking in technology need to find markets with no competition from foreign firms or determine strategies to compensate technology disparities.     

International Housing Markets and the U.S. Subprime Crisis

We propose a novel decomposition approach to study the degree of co-movement of international housing markets while distinguishing among different economic drivers. We find that the housing market variability for an average country was mainly driven by the common housing risk premium components during the years leading up to the 2007–08 subprime financial crisis. A decrease in the common housing risk premium was followed by a housing boom and economic expansion in the United States prior to the crisis. Our findings add to the understanding of the role of common risk factors across international housing markets before the crisis.     

从连贯的角度谈文化对翻译的影响

从语篇连贯的角度看,文化因素是影响语篇连贯的隐含手段,它对语篇连贯与翻译起着极其重要的作用,是决定语篇翻译成功与否的保障之一。本文主要探讨了文化在翻译中的地位及其文化在翻译过程中对语篇连贯的影响,旨在为译者努力提高自身跨文化意识带来一些有益的启示。     

劳动争议、资本深化与劳动收入份额——影响机制与中国经验

劳动争议纠纷的增多已成为中国经济发展中不容忽视的问题。采用1998—2016年中国省际面板数据的分析表明：劳均劳动争议案件数与劳均资本存量显著正相关、与劳动收入份额显著负相关,劳均资本存量与劳动收入份额显著负相关;劳动争议增加将促使企业用资本替代劳动,产生资本深化现象,而资本深化程度的提高会降低劳动收入份额,并且资本深化在劳动争议影响劳动收入份额中发挥完全中介效应。因此,应积极构建和谐劳动关系,增强对劳动争议的调解处置能力,在经济增长的同时实现居民收入同步增长,在劳动生产率提高的同时实现劳动报酬同步提高。     

人口老龄化对制造业企业全要素生产率的影响——基于沪深A股制造业上市公司的实证分析

人口老龄化带来的劳动力供给结构变化不利于制造业企业全要素生产率提升,但会促使企业转变发展方式,并通过对其他因素的影响促进制造业企业全要素生产率提升。因此,人口老龄化与制造业企业全要素生产率的关系是多种效应综合作用的结果,是非线性的,并有异质性表现。以2000—2019年沪深A股上市制造业企业为样本的分析表明：人口老龄化与制造业企业全要素生产率呈现“倒U型”非线性关系;现阶段中国的人口老龄化对制造业企业全要素生产率具有显著的正向影响,这种促进效应在中部地区最为显著,东部地区次之,而在西部地区不显著;人口老龄化会通过提高劳动力成本、促进人力资本积累和增加R&D投入等路径促进制造业企业全要素生产率提升。应优化和完善人口、教育及劳动政策,积极发掘和创造人口红利,以弱化人口老龄化对劳动力供给结构的消极影响;加快转变发展方式,从依赖人口红利的要素驱动转向利用技术红利的创新驱动,进一步促进企业全要素生产率提升。     

我国中东部地区科技创新环境比较研究

构建我国中东部区域科技创新环境评价指标体系,采用因子分析方法计算21个省市的科技创新环境因子得分和综合得分,通过得分排序对评价结果和区域差异进行研究,对比地区人均GDP排序情况,认为区域科技创新环境优劣与区域经济发展水平存在一定的正相关关系。科技创新环境的优劣不同,呈现出区域发展不平衡状态。     

安徽制造业碳排放驱动因素、锁定状态与解锁路径研究

文章基于STIRPAT模型和岭估计法,分析安徽制造业碳排放的驱动因素。结果显示,能源消费结构、人均制造业增加值、从业人数对碳排放存在正向作用,弹性系数分别为0.255、0.235和0.222;技术因素呈负向作用,弹性系数为-0.175。并且,安徽制造业碳排放集中于4个细分行业,总体上处于总量上升、强度下降的"相对解锁"状态,迫切需要提升能源利用率,调整细分行业结构,培育低碳制造园区。     

浙江省创新产出空间相关性及其影响因素研究

文章以浙江省11个地市作为空间研究单元,以大中型工业企业创新产品产值作为创新产出的衡量指标,对浙江省2003-2011年市际创新产出进行探索性空间数据分析,并对其影响因素进行实证检验。结果表明:浙江省创新产出空间集聚现象显著,基本呈现高—高集聚与低—低集聚特征,即创新产出存在显著的空间自相关性;第二产业比重对创新产出具有显著正向影响;创新环境对创新产出不存在显著影响;创新投入对创新产出具有显著正向影响,研发经费投入影响效应较大。     

我国城镇职工养老保险待遇水平的影响因素研究

文章以2001-2012年省级面板数据为基础,利用可行的广义最小二乘法(FGLS),对影响我国养老保险待遇水平的因素进行了定量研究。研究表明:在职职工年人均缴费额、职退比、人均GDP、人均财政收入对我国养老保险待遇水平有显著的正向影响,城市化率对养老保险待遇水平有显著的负向影响,其中,在职职工年人均缴费额和职退比是影响我国养老保险待遇水平的最主要因素。我国调整养老保险待遇水平缺乏科学的依据,具体表现在养老保险待遇水平与居民人均消费性支出不相关。