论乡村旅游的"围城"效应及可持续发展

在乡村旅游如火如荼进行的同时，也面临着诸多尴尬，陷入了其发展的“围城”之中。只有实施低成本运营的制度化、产业链本地化、经营者共生化、投资途径复合化、乡村旅游生态化，才能促进乡村旅游的可持续发展。     

多重关联下PE/VC持股对公司财务风险影响的传导效应

在资本结构、股权结构及市场价值三类多重关联关系下,研究了我国PE/VC持股对公司财务风险影响的多重传导效应。实证检验表明：我国PE/VC的介入会加剧其持股公司发生财务风险的危机,且在该影响过程中,资本结构波动和市场价值波动会增加公司财务风险,而股权结构波动可抑制公司财务风险发生。同时,股权结构波动的遮掩效应最为显著,资本结构波动次之,而市场价值波动的遮掩效应最弱。此外,这三类潜变量在该影响过程中的多重传导效应存在上市板块差异。     

双循环新发展格局下制造业企业开放式创新研究

在国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局下,如何深化我国制造业企业创新发展是一个重要课题。基于开放式创新理论,本文建立了开放式创新系统动态模型,并以玉柴集团为案例,分析企业开放式创新在要素获取、结构协同、功能提升和环境适应四个方面的表现并发现了其创新亮点。基于此,在双循环新发展格局下提出了积极顺应动态环境,多渠道获取创新要素,模块演进、重点突破,创新为本、合理利润等制造业企业开放式动态创新的对策建议。     

河北省人才集聚政策实证分析

人才作用的发挥和人才政策的落实紧密相关。论文对河北省人才政策进行分析,结合现场访谈和调查问卷数据的收集,实证研究了河北省近三年人才政策对人才集聚的效果,结果显示,不同类型人才政策对人才集聚均产生影响,但影响程度各异。人才对人才管理政策、人才激励政策较为关注,而人才吸引政策和人才发展保障政策则产生较小影响。最后提出了河北省进一步完善政策实现区域人才集聚的对策建议。     

阿里巴巴并购饿了么的动因和财务风险分析

在经济全球化的背景下,为扩大企业经营规模,并购成为企业很好的选择。论文以阿里巴巴收购饿了么为例,研究阿里巴巴收购饿了么的动因,分析并购为阿里巴巴这个典型的互联网企业带来的财务风险,并为互联网企业的并购提供宝贵的建议。     

Governance or reputation? Flexible tax enforcement and excess goodwill: Evidence from the taxpaying credit rating system in China

This study investigates the effect of flexible tax enforcement on firms’ excess goodwill using unique manually collected data on taxpaying credit rating in China from 2014 to 2021. We document that A-rated taxpayer firms have less excess goodwill; A-rated firms reduce excess goodwill by 0.005 vis-a-vis non-A-rated firms, which accounts for 100% of the mean value of excess goodwill. This finding holds after multiple robustness tests and an endogeneity analysis. Moreover, this negative effect is more pronounced in firms with low information transparency, that are non-state-owned and that are located in regions with low tax enforcement intensity. The channel test results suggest that taxpaying credit rating system as flexible tax enforcement reduces firms’ excess goodwill through a reputation-based effect and not a governance-based effect. This study reveals that the taxpaying credit rating system in China as flexible tax enforcement can bring halo effect to A rating firms, thereby limiting irrational M&As and breaking goodwill bubble.     

数字经济对我国碳排放的影响研究

基于2013-2020年的30个省份数据构建面板数据模型,从碳排放总量和碳排放强度两个视角研究数字经济发展对区域碳排放的影响。研究发现：数字经济的发展有效地降低了人均碳排放量、碳排放增量与碳排放增速,数字经济与碳排放强度之间存在倒“U”形关系,数字经济与碳排放强度、边际碳排放强度的关系呈现区域性特征,在省域层面数字经济对边际碳排放强度的影响不存在明显的空间效应,数字经济对碳排放增长率的影响存在基于产业结构优化、人口集聚、城镇化的遮掩效应。     

美联储前瞻性指引对新兴市场国家的溢出效应研究

基于前瞻性指引溢出效应的相关理论,选取17个代表性新兴市场国家为研究对象,运用面板向量自回归(PVAR)模型实证分析美联储前瞻性指引对新兴市场国家的溢出效应.结果表明:美联储前瞻性指引在短期内对新兴市场国家金融市场具有一定的冲击,在长期内对新兴市场国家经济增长存在滞后的正向作用.新兴市场国家应采取应对策略,做好风险识别和预警,加强预期管理,增强货币政策协调和合作,有效防范和化解外溢影响.     

Central Bank's interventions and the Fisher hypothesis: a threshold cointegration investigation

The long-run relationship between nominal interest rates and inflation is examined, allowing for structural breaks and asymmetric mean reversion. From a Threshold AutoRegressive (TAR) test applied to the residuals of the cointegration relationship (while allowing for both a break in the mean of the long-run equation and a smooth regime-transition), there is strong evidence for non-linear mean reversion properties for the real interest rates of the US Treasury Bill market. This suggests asymmetric changes to inflation shocks in the Central Bank's reaction function. The existence of different regimes is consistent with some interpretations of the monetary policies run by the Fed, such as credibility and opportunism.     

A bioeconomic model for estimating the optimal level of deer and tag sales

This paper presents a dynamic model that determines the optimal number of deer hunting permit sales, subject to the objective of maximizing the discounted economic benefits stream from both the consumptive and nonconsumptive uses of deer. This bioeconomic model integrates economic benefits estimated using the dichotomous choice contingent valuation method with biological growth constraints on deer. Using a hunting zone in California as a case study, the model found that the optimal levels of buck hunting permits sold should change on a rotational basis over time and that the current practice of not selling doe hunting permits for that zone is non optimal.