区域性物流园区布局方案优选的博弈研究

本文基于区域物流理论与博弈论的理论基础，建立了相应的区域性物流园区布局方案的优选博弈模型，并列出了可行的计算步骤，做出了方法评价，指出了该方法后续研究的方向，为物流园区区域性总体布局的优选问题提供了一种解决方法。     

直接转运对供应链的影响和要求

随着供应链管理概念在企业的发展与应用．传统的配送战略在进一步降低物流成本和满足顾客需求上都受到了一定的挑战。本文从直接转运（cross-docking）的涵义和运作特征出发，分析直接转运对供应链中生产商、分销商或配送中心和零售商的影响，并总结直接转运给供应链带来的总体利益，提出供应链主要参与者在实施直接转运方式时，应该从配送中心布局、执行与控制、仓库管理系统、供应链信息沟通和供应链伙伴关系等方面来考虑，从而使直接转运的利益最大化，进一步促进供应链的整合。     

A two-stage stratified Warner’s randomized response model using optimal allocation

This paper applies Kim and Wardes (2004) stratified Warners randomized response model to Mangat and Singhs (1990) two-stage randomized response model. The proposed stratified randomized response model has an optimal allocation and a large gain in precision. Hence, the estimator based on the proposed method is more efficient than Kim and Wardes (2004) and Mangat and Singhs (1990) estimators under the conditions presented in both the case of completely truthful reporting and that of not completely truthful reporting by the respondents.     

A new bivariate distribution in natural exponential family

We propose a new bivariate distribution following a GLM form i.e., natural exponential family given the constantly correlated covariance matrix. The proposed distribution can represent an independent bivariate gamma distribution as a special case. In order to derive the distribution we utilize an integrating factor method to satisfy the integrability condition of the quasi-score function. The derived distribution becomes a mixture of discrete and absolute continuous distributions. The proposal of our new bivariate distribution will make it possible to develop some bivariate generalized linear models. Further the discrete correlated bivariate distribution will also arise from an independent bivariate Poisson mass function by compounding our proposed distribution (Iwasaki and Tsubaki, 2002).Received March 2003     

江苏沿江八市物流联合配送初探

首先论述了沿江八市（南京、苏州、无锡、常州、镇江、南通、扬州、泰州），实行联合配送的必要性，其次分析了沿江八市实行联合配送的优势条件，探讨了沿江八市实行联合配送的难点之所在及解决办法，最后着重就沿江八市实行联合配送的神经中枢——联合配送信息平台的构建，提出了一些看法和建议。     

两级供应链中的利益分配

供应链中的利益分配问题是理论界和企业界都十分关注的问题,它关系到供应链联盟的稳定性,关系到企业之间利润分配的公平性。本文介绍了合作对策的一些基本概念;Shapley值求解合作对策的基本原理和公式,以及应用Shapley值方法求解两级供应链中的利益分配问题。     

考虑线路安排的物流配送方案模型及其算法研究

在分析车辆路径问题现有启发式算法的基础上，建立了考虑线路安排的物流配送方案模型，并提出了求解该问题的一种搜索算法，实验结果表明，该算法可有效求得问题的优化解或近似优化解，且具有运算速度快、算法简便的特点。     

Bayesian life test planning for the Weibull distribution with given shape parameter

This paper describes Bayesian methods for life test planning with Type II censored data from a Weibull distribution, when the Weibull shape parameter is given. We use conjugate prior distributions and criteria based on estimating a quantile of interest of the lifetime distribution. One criterion is based on a precision factor for a credibility interval for a distribution quantile and the other is based on the length of the credibility interval. We provide simple closed form expressions for the relationship between the needed number of failures and the precision criteria. Examples are used to illustrate the results.Received: October 2002 / Revised: March 2004     

The Bell Curve in Psychological Research and Practice: Myth or Reality?

The expression “the bell curve” designs both a kind of statistical distribution and the title of a famous and controversial book by Herrnstein and Murray. The first is so attractive that the second refers to it to give more credibility to its questionable theories on intelligence. The point is that, during the 20th century, the bell curve has assumed a more and more important role in psychological research and practice and have become both a reality and a myth. In the first case (reality) we can assist to appropriate applications of a real useful statistical concept. In the second (myth) we can have two kinds of attitudes: one attitude is typical of those researchers who search for normality in all their data and variables, just as Parsifal used to search for the Holy Graal (we call this “the Parsifal attitude”); the other is typical of those researchers who give normality for granted and act as if it were a Platonic Idea (we call this “the Plato attitude”). The article discusses the role of the normal distribution in psychological research and practice and shows how it can be dangerous to treat the bell curve as a God or an Idol.     

烟草商业配送物流设计分析

根据目前烟草配送的现状和发展趋势，着重介绍和分析了烟草商业配送物流设计中件烟存贮和条烟分拣的基本方式，并对相关主要设备和系统案例进行描述。