Public policies as specification errors

Treating public policies as computable dynamic general equilibrium model specification errors offers computational and conceptional advantages for comparing models with data. The set of policies calculated to rationalize observed behaviors raises the substantive economic question whether, in any particular market, actual public policies sufficiently coincide with the model's behavior-rationalizing policies, or whether the model offers correct hypotheses about the determinants of demand and supply. As illustrations, public policies are calculated to rationalize, with respect to the stochastic neoclassical growth model, capital market behavior since WWII and labor market behavior in 1929–1950. One conclusion is that capital taxation drives a wedge between consumption growth and the expected pre-tax capital return, in the direction and amount predicted by the theory, and that capital taxation is the major intertemporal distortion in the postwar capital market. Second, a good theory of the Great Depression labor market must explain why measured MRS and MPL diverged so dramatically in 1929–1933 and why the wedge persisted.     

投资选择权约束、意见分歧与中国股市风险

特定的股票总是被市场上特定的投资者群体持有 ,以反映该投资者群体对投资资产价格的评估意见。投资者意见的分歧会导致股票市场的资产出清价格偏离均值 ,股票价格趋于均衡的波动幅度也会变大。中国股市上投资者投资选择权的约束加大了投资者的意见分歧。扩大投资者的投资选择权来促进投资者意见分歧程度的缩小能有效降低中国股市的风险。     

深圳股市对股权分置改革有何反应——来自第二批试点公司的实证检验

本文以深圳股市第二批试点公司为研究样本，通过赢家、输家股票组合超常日收益率的统计分析。以及累积超常日收益率的趋势分析，研究深圳股市对股权分置改革的短期反应。实证检验结果表明。在短期内，深圳股市存在过度反应。并且在公司股改预案披露后30个左右交易日，市场做出反向修正．     

会计价值机制论

本文认为,市场和企业是组织经济活动的形式,也是组织价值信息传递和价值激励的系统。市场价格机制是在长期市场供求关系作用下而形成的,而会计价值机制是随着企业的发展不断演化,在企业目标引导下组织价值信息传递和价值信息激励,以促成企业目标实现。企业替代市场或取得竞争优势,都是基于相同的原因和两种机制作用的结果,即是通过企业提供的产品或服务的成本低于市场价格而实现的。     

通货膨胀国际间传导对我国影响的实证检验

本文运用时间序列分析方法,实证检验了欧盟和美国的价格冲击向我国传导的总体效应.实证结果表明,各国物价存在明显的协整关系,脉冲响应分析和方差分解的结论进一步刻画了外国通胀冲击的特征.协整变结构检验证实了近年来通货膨胀国际传导效应显著增强.本文还利用格兰杰因果检验,考察了通货膨胀的各条跨国传导路径,研究发现,消费品和原材料价格传导路径非常通畅,而通过国际储备影响货币供应量的传导渠道,以及总供给-总需求传导渠道不能得到实证支持.     

Order imbalance and stock returns: Evidence from China

We investigate the relation between daily order imbalance and return in the Chinese stock markets of Shenzhen and Shanghai. Prior studies have found that daily order imbalance is predictive of subsequent returns. On the two Chinese exchanges we find the autocorrelation in order imbalances is similar to that of the New York Stock Exchange as reported by Chordia and Subrahmanyam [Chordia, T., & Subrahmanyam, A. (2004). Order imbalance and individual stock returns: Theory and evidence. Journal of Financial Economics, 72, 485–518]. We also find a strong contemporaneous relation between daily order imbalances and returns. However, we do not find evidence that order imbalances predict subsequent returns. We attribute the difference in predicative power to differences in trading mechanisms on the two exchanges and to differences in the share turnover rates.     

Pure joint production and international trade: a note

This paper applies the principles of the neo-Ricardian (or Sraffian)theory of international trade to certain joint production systems.It is shown that, in contrast with single-product systems, (i)there is not always a pattern of international specialisation,which would entail the increase of the real wage rate in botheconomies, and (ii) the ‘law of comparative advantage’has no general validity. Furthermore, not only the existenceof such a pattern of specialisation but also the validity ofthis law depend on the values of the variables of distributionof income. The analysis is wholly based on two of the numericalexamples formulated by Bidard in 1997, and further generalisedin an elementary way only when this is considered necessary.     

市场竞争、东道国引资政策与跨国公司的技术转移

在一个两阶段古诺竞争模型基础上,本文研究了东道国引资政策对跨国公司技术转移的影响,结果显示,跨国公司对东道国的技术转移取决于东道国市场竞争程度、本地企业的模仿能力与跨国公司的技术转移成本。在东道国企业模仿能力有限的情况下,跨国公司低技术的直接投资将损害东道国企业,从而降低东道国的国民福利水平;文章同时研究了市场竞争对跨国公司技术转移的影响,结果表明,对东道国来说,维持一个适度有序竞争的国内市场,同时对跨国公司的直接投资进行有选择地甄别与吸收,比单纯的竞争战略更有利于跨国公司的技术转移与技术扩散。     

Organising international supplier relations: An exploratory study of Western purchasing in China

This paper analyses Western purchasing in China in order to investigate the motives for sourcing, the specific requirements of the area and, in particular, the base and features of supplier relationships. It reports recent experiences of seven companies based in Finland, including two global companies, two units with foreign ownership and three Finnish SMEs. Prevalent in Chinese sourcing are long-term supplier relations, but no partnership relations have been established. The companies build their supplier relations gradually and they all emphasise a long-term viewpoint to Chinese sourcing. Commitment of the Chinese partner is a key challenge, overcoming of which would help companies to avoid and solve, e.g. quality problems. The study shows that, for the Western supply personnel, key competences and tools for bridging the psychic distance are social skills and interest in the Chinese culture.     

国际证券市场联动程度的实证分析

20世纪80年代以来,通过国际证券投资分散风险已经形成一种可行手段,然而,随着全球经济一体化趋势的强化,国际证券市场也正在经历着一体化趋势,证券市场联动关系越来越明显,这必然会使国际投资多样化空间变小,进而会侵蚀掉国际多样化投资收益.有鉴于此,本文使用协相关参数分析、平稳性检验、多元协整检验、协整向量参数零配载限制检验、基于VECM的Granger因果性检验等计量技术测度国际证券市场联动程度,为国际证券投资提供量化参考.