扩大消费需求推进经济增长方式转变

消费需求与经济增长方式相互联系,相互制约.转变经济增长方式是现阶段居民消费需求状况的客观要求.当前,要充分发挥消费需求对经济增长方式的推动作用,促进经济增长方式转变.     

Testing separability of public consumption in household decisions

In this paper we propose a sequential strategy, based on the microeconomic approach of the demand theory, in order to test for separability between private and public consumption. The aim of the present work is to verify, using a conditional almost ideal demand system, whether the different components of public consumption exert conditioning effects on the allocative structure of private spending. The empirical estimation of the model and the separability tests are developed for both a demand system in five functional categories of private spending, and for a demand system in six categories, where the private expenditures on those goods and services which can also be offered by the public sector are enclosed in a single functional category. The results of the separability tests, obtained using UK data for the 1974–2000 period, show that public individual consumption plays an important role in modifying consumer choices, while public collective consumption does not affect private consumption behaviours. The relationships between the different components of private spending and public individual consumption are both of substitutability and complementarity; in particular, we find that public individual consumption and the corresponding private expenditures on ‘Health, education, recreation and social protection’ are complements.     

中国货币需求函数的协整分析

本文从目前中国货币需求现状出发,修正了1978年以来中国的货币需求函数,并运用协整分析对中国相关变量的年度数据(1978—2004年)进行实证分析,得出以下结论:在长期内,实际M1余额、实际GDP、一年期定期存款利率和货币化进程指数间存在协整关系;实际M2余额、实际GDP、商品零售物价指数和货币化指数间存在协整关系。在短期货币函数中,对货币需求的主要影响因素包括实际GDP和货币化进程,实际M1向均衡水平调整的速度要大于实际M2的调整速度,另外,短期货币需求函数不稳定。     

CDMA 需求因素分析与发展对策研究

在中国,已经同时拥有GSM和CDMA两种制式的移动通信网络。中国联通如何经营CD-MA网络,经营策略非常重要。本文在分析影响CDMA移动通信需求因素的基础上,提出了相应的市场营销主张。     

Advertising Bans, Monopoly, and Alcohol Demand: Testing for Substitution Effects using State Panel Data

Using a panel of 45 states for the period 1982–1997,this study analyzes the importance of severalrestrictive alcohol regulations, including advertising bans for billboards, bans of price advertising, state monopoly control of retail stores, and changes in the minimum legal drinking age. In contrast to previous research, the study allows for substitution among beverages as a response to a regulation that targets a specific beverage. A restrictive law that applies only to one beverage (or one form of advertising) can result in substitution toward other beverages (or non-banned media). Allowing for substitution means that the net effect on total alcohol consumption is uncertain, and must be determined empirically. The empirical results demonstrate that monopoly control of spirits reduces consumption of that beverage, and increases consumption of wine. The effect on beer is positive, but is not statistically significant. The net effect on total alcohol is significantly negative. Higher minimum legal drinking age laws have negative effects on beverage and total alcohol consumption. Bans of advertising do not reduce total alcohol consumption, which partly reflects substitution effects. The study thus demonstrates the possible unintended consequences of restrictive alcohol regulations.     

航空燃油市场的发展趋势

国际航空燃油市场虽然持续供于求，但是中国持续出现需求缺口，我们调研了中国国内航空燃油生产商和分销机构等，采用规范和实证的分析方法，提出了一些重要结论：中国航空燃油生产和供给成本高，资源配置效率有待进一步提高，航空燃油需求继续旺盛，新世纪里的十年几需求缺口可能进一步扩大。     

城市化进程中的公共物品引致供需分析

随着城市化的不断发展，对原有公共物品的需求会不断增加，同时一些新的公共物品需求也会随之产生，从而产生公共物品供给不足。一般而言，按照公共物品理论，政府是公共物品的主要供给者。但是，由于存在政府失灵与政府失败，公共物品的政府单一供给模式未必是最具效率的。因此，针对城市化进程中所产生的公共物品供给不足，应分析其基本特征，选择最优的供给模式。     

中小企业融资市场供求分析--兼论中小企业融资困难的原因与对策建议

中小企业对中国社会经济具有多方面意义，在经历一段时间快速发展之后，进入困境和瓶颈期，本首先针对中小企业的融资问题进行理论分析，尝试建立融资市场的供求分析模型，然后以银行内部政策调整和加强担保措施为例进行具体分析，希望提供理论上的解释，并导出一些解决问题的新措施。     

成品油终端市场顾客需求模型的构建

在越来越激烈的成品油终端市场竞争中，只有及时了解并满足顾客需求，成品油销售企业才能获得生存与发展。从成品油最终顾客出发，分析顾客需求之相关因素及重要性程度，综合运用层次分析法和矩阵分析法，建立成品油终端市场顾客需求模型，从而为成品油销售企业认识和满足顾客需求提供了客观科学的依据。     

聚乙烯醇产品的市场研究

对聚乙烯醇树脂产品进行了产业背景、供求态势、市场细分与评估以及竞争力分析等全面研究，为聚乙烯醇项目建设、产品方案规划与市场营销提供决策参考。