Capital Inflows to Hungary in 1995–96 and the Accompanying Policy Responses

In order to analyze the composition and effects of, and the policy responses to, capital inflows to Hungary during 1995–96, we present an analytical framework that emphasizes the distinction between net capital flows to the private and public sectors (the latter includes the government and the central bank). This distinction is essential in Hungary's case, because figures for overall net inflows conceal the fact that huge net capital inflows to the private sector were accompanied by large repayments of foreign public debt, covered by significant privatization revenues. We present indicators of the domestic monetary impact of net capital inflows in order to analyze the magnitude, costs, and effects of sterilization. We note that extensive sterilization and the use of privatization revenues for public debt repayment largely explain why capital inflows to Hungary did not have significant effects on the real economy or on domestic monetary aggregates in the period reviewed.     

Demographic changes, saving, and current account: An analysis based on a panel VAR model

This paper empirically investigates the macroeconomic effects of demographic changes, focusing on saving rates and current account balances. The econometric investigation based on the panel VAR model shows substantial demographic effects on national saving rates and current account balances in the major advanced (G-7) countries. An increase in the dependency rate significantly lowers saving rates, especially public saving rates. Further, a higher dependency rate significantly worsens current account balances.     

What's next in key account management research? Building the bridge between the academic literature and the practitioners' priorities

This research contrasts the academic literature on key account management (KAM) with the topics in this subject that are most critical to practitioners. Sixty four academic articles published in 17 journals, and ninety practitioners' articles appearing in the Velocity Magazine — published by the Strategic Account Management Association — were content analyzed and classified under ten ‘topic’ categories. Similarities and differences in the results for academics and practitioners are discussed. In addition, two specific topics were identified as being extremely important to managers but still under-researched by academics: the role of senior management in KAM, and the importance of internal alignment in determining KAM success.     

Relational selling strategy and key account managers' relational behaviors: An exploratory study

Many companies see key account management as a potentially successful way to implement a relational strategy. Nevertheless, the literature suggests that strategy implementation at the sales force level is difficult to achieve, mainly because salespeople may not understand - nor accept - what they are requested to do. Despite their relevance, behaviors of key account managers have poorly been investigated. This article defines and tests a model of relational selling behaviors from the part of key account managers. Results show that the perception of the adoption of a relational selling strategy is associated with some specific key account managers' behaviors (customer-oriented selling, adaptive selling and team selling), but not with others (organizational citizenship behaviors). These findings suggest that potential discrepancies can exist between a relational selling strategy and its implementation at the key account manager level. Based on these results, theoretical and managerial implications are discussed.     

How does a devaluation affect the current account?

This paper explores how an exchange rate devaluation affects the current account in a sticky-price inter-temporal optimizing model. The main issue addressed is how the features of international pricing affect the response of the current account. When prices are all set in the producer's currencies, the effect of a devaluation on the current account depends on the conventional Marshall–Lerner conditions. This is fundamentally an a-temporal condition (depending on the elasticity of substitution between home and foreign goods). However, when prices are all set in consumer's currencies, the response of the current account depends upon the size of the inter-temporal elasticity of substitution of consumption across time periods. This represents an inter-temporal condition. When pricing-to-market is partial, the effect of devaluation on the current account depends on the strength of the a-temporal elasticity relative to the inter-temporal elasticity.     

Can interest rate spreads stabilize the euro area?

Since the onset of the financial crisis significant interest rate spreads have arisen between euro area countries, both for public and private debt. We check whether these spreads could be made to work towards the goal of providing more stability to the euro area. In particular, we focus on reducing the imbalances that arose between the core and peripheral members of the euro area in the first decade of its existence. The idea is that stable positive spreads in peripheral countries could have decreased domestic demand, preventing the boom–bust cycles that plagued these economies. They could also prevent such developments in the future. We construct a panel model for euro area countries and estimate the relationship between real interest rates and the current account balance. Next, we use the estimated parameters to perform simulations. We find that spreads on real interest rates of 0.6–5.5 percentage points would have been necessary to stabilize external positions of the four peripheral euro area member countries.     

论我国环境会计信息披露模式的构建及制度创新

环境会计信息披露可以使广大利益相关者更加明确企业的行为对环境造成的影响.其内容包括环境会计要素的披露和环境绩效信息的披露.文章在现有研究基础上,探讨了环境会计信息披露模式的具体内容和方式,提出了环境信息披露主要领域制度创新的基本设想.     

Semi-parametric predictions of the intertemporal approach to the current account

This paper uses the method dynamic programming (DP) by GMM and Canadian data to estimate a dynamic model of a small-open economy. DP by GMM has several appealing features: it does not impose certainty equivalence, it accommodates multiple shocks and imposes few restrictions on the properties of the shocks in the model. Also, since it uses the actual shocks series to estimate approximate decision rules, it produces sample paths for the endogenous variables in the model. The model estimated fits the data well. In particular, the variance of the predicted trade balance-output ratio matches its empirical counterpart.     

论FDI与中国国际收支的关系

近年来 ,外商直接投资在我国迅猛增长 ,2 0 0 2年总额已达 5 2 7.43亿美元 ,占世界直接投资总额近 1 / 1 0。外商直接投资在我国经济发展中所发挥的作用和影响在不断扩大和加深。将从直接与间接影响两个方面 ,研究外商直接投资与中国国际收支的相互关系 ,并结合我国对外直接投资的具体情况提出了相应对策与建议。     

我国城镇养老金制度改革方案的对比研究——一种制度设计的可行性研究

作为我国社会保障制度改革的重要部分之一,城镇养老金制度改革的重要性日益凸显出来.城镇养老金制度的选择决定着我国社会经济在未来能否持续健康地发展.试图在比较基金积累制和现收现付制两种制度设计的同时,结合我国社会经济以及人口方面的特点,提出一种制度设计,并从技术、制度和经济三方面进行可行性分析.