Understanding Organizational Agility Development for a Government： A Process Model of Resource Configuration

Organizational agility, the ability to sense and respond to changes quickly, has been regarded as an important index of organizational performance in rapidly changing environments. However, research on agility has largely overlooked the dynamics of the resource configuration process, which includes resource selection, acquisition, development, and management. Prior studies have mostly taken for granted a set of organizational resources deemed sufficient for developing agility, and overlooked the efforts required to render the resources ready for agility development. Adopting the resource-based view, this study aims to close such a theoretical gap by conceptualizing a dynamic resource configuration process. Based on a case study of the Shanghai Social Security Card System （SSSCS） project, we inductively develop a process model for resource configuration in agility development. This model demonstrates the configuration process of IT resources and institutional resources to create agility. Simultaneously, it stresses that IT resources may serve in initiating corresponding institutional resources, assist in the molding and shaping of new institutional resources, and also serve in sustaining institutional resources. Our research contributes to the organizational agility literature by elaborating on the dynamic resource configuration process embedded in the agility development process. Our findings offer suggestions to governments and guide them in configuring 1T and institutional resources to develop organizational agility.     

货币供应、通货膨胀与经济增长的互动关系研究——基于时变参数VAR模型的实证检验

文章以我国1996年1月至2012年12月的月度数据为基础,首次建立了货币增长率、通货膨胀率和经济增长率的带随机波动的时变参数VAR模型（TVP-VAR）,以此来考察货币供应、通货膨胀和经济增长之间的互动关系。研究结果表明：货币增长短期内促进经济增长,但长期内对经济增长没有驱动效应;货币增长短期内对通货膨胀的作用不确定,而在中长期时间内货币扩张会引发通货膨胀。经济的增长并没有推动货币增长,经济增长在短期内导致通货膨胀,但在长期内经济增长对通货膨胀的影响基本不存在;通货膨胀对经济增长和货币增长的作用依状态而变化。     

新型农村合作医疗的社会保险性质探析——兼论合作医疗中“合作”的内涵

通过对历史资料的梳理发现,新型农村合作医疗的“合作”与传统合作医疗的“合作”具有不同的内涵。传统合作医疗不属于社会保险制度,而新农合不仅在学理上具备了社会保险基本特征,还具备了比较成熟的社会保险要素,即政府主导作用的发挥、社会保险参量的设计、大数法则的运用、权利与义务相结合的原则以及实际上的强制性。明确新农合的社会保险性质,将有利于控制自愿参合带来的“逆向选择”,促进城乡基本医疗保险制度的无缝衔接,加快政府责任边界的明晰化。因此,应将新农合向带有强制性的农村基本医疗保险制度发展,同时把政府定额财政补贴变为按比例补贴。     

矿业权价值评估参数值选取

文章认为，正确选取参数值对矿业权价值评估合理与否意义重大。文章分析了影响矿业权价值评估因素特征，对如何科学、合理选取可靠的参数值进行较为详细地阐述。     

并联式混合动力汽车动力合成装置的参数关系

混合动力汽车(HEV)作为燃油机车向电动车过渡的车型目前受到越来越多的关注。在HEV的整个传动路线中,作为动力合成装置的差动轮系和传动系统中的其它环节系统是相对独立的,但它们之间遵循一定的参数匹配关系。本文从转速输出特性和转矩输出特性两方面对参数特性进行了讨论,从而得到差动轮系作为动力合成装置使用时的参数关系,对HEV的参数选取提供了理论依据。     

从美国房价走势透视中国房地产市场走向

内容文章从量化分析的角度出发,研究了全美50个州和哥伦比亚特区房价指数序列的记忆性特征,发现各州房价指数序列均具有一定程度的长记忆性.同时,我们对50个州房价指数记忆参数的估计值进行了聚类分析,由此发现各州房价指数的记忆性呈现出一定的地区聚集性特征,而且还与地区的人口密度存在一定关系,从而为宏观政策制定者在决定房价调控措施的时候提供了有益的新思维,可使楼市更加健康稳定地发展.此外,文章的研究结果对于解决我国房地产市场目前存在的巨大泡沫问题提供了一个全新的视角     

Time-varying linkages between tourism receipts and economic growth in South Africa

The causal link between tourism receipts and GDP has recently become a major focus in the tourism economics literature. Results obtained in recent studies about the causal link appear to be sensitive with respect to the countries analysed, sample period and methodology employed. Considering the sensitivity of the causal link, we use rolling window and time-varying coefficient estimation methods to analyse the parameter stability and Granger causality based on a vector error correction model (VECM). When applied to South Africa for the period 1960–2011, the findings are as follows: results from the full-sample VECM indicate that there is no Granger causality between tourism receipts and GDP, while the findings from the time-varying coefficients model based on the state-space representation show that tourism receipts have positive-predictive content for GDP for the entire period, with the exception of the period between 1985 and 1990. Full-sample time-varying causality tests show bidirectional strong causality between tourism receipts and GDP.     

大口径三通管翻边成形工艺参数优化

本文主要研究以冲压变形规律设计的预制孔管件一次成形特定高度的三通管是可行的,但需对工艺参数优化。     

市场化进程对地区工业经济发展的作用机理研究

本文采用1995-2003年中国大陆各省工业生产、市场消费和对外出口的有关数据，选择与非参数生产率指数测度方法结合的半对数线性Paneldata计量模型，研究了国内市场需求和国际市场需求对中国省际工业经济发展的影响，旨在揭示国内市场的一体化趋势和对外开放对区域经济差异化的作用机理。实证分析的结果表明，伴随国内市场一体化程度的提高，市场需求因素的拉动作用已呈现显著提高的态势，各地区工业经济的发展由分割的地方市场向一体化市场过渡，省际市场的贸易水平逐渐取代省内市场的贸易水平而成为了影响各地区工业经济发展的国内消费市场中的重要因素。     

超超临界参数机组的发展和热力分析

文章介绍了超超临界参数技术的发展历史和现状,对超超临界参数机组的热力参数和效率进行了分析。