The real dollar-yen exchange rate,asymmetries in trade flows and the current account in a perfect-foresight model for developing East Asia

This paper explores permanent, unanticipated shocks in the yen-dollar exchange rate in a perfect-foresight, infinite-horizon, representative-agent model for an open, semismall economy that produces a single good, imports intermediate inputs and investment goods from Japan and competes with Japan in external markets. Therefore, the model captures some of the features of the developing countries of East Asia. External debt is constrained by a country-risk premium that depends on the level of external debt. The capital stock is maintained and incremented by an endogenous mixture of Japanese and home goods. An appreciation of the dollar against the yen is neutral for external indebtedness and the trade account in the long run, but raises the capital stock, consumption and hence welfare in the long run; the home currency depreciates against the dollar but appreciates against the yen. Whether a cycle of current account surpluses followed by current account deficits or vice versa is generated depends on the initial response of the shadow value of external debt.     

Implementation of Key Account Management: Who, why, and how?: An exploratory study on the current implementation of Key Account Management programs

Key Account Management, as currently described in relationship marketing literature, is an important approach to creating value, by implementing specific processes targeting most important customers. This exploratory study contributes to the understanding of Key Account Management by focusing on factors influencing the decision for implementing Key Account Management and the implementation-process. The findings suggest that the intensity of competition as well as the intensity of coordination are factors driving companies towards the adoption of Key Account Management programs, and that companies still pay too little attention to the selection of key accounts. The study also reveals the phenomenon of ‘hidden key accounts’: More than 80% of the investigated companies without Key Account Management offer their key customers special treatment without aligning their own internal organizational structures.     

不同资本账户开放程度下的中国财政货币政策效果分析

研究目标：分析不同资本账户开放程度下的中国财政货币政策效果及福利效应。研究方法：将内生化的政府支出（税收）政策以及包含汇率的价格（数量）型为主的混合货币政策一并纳入一个小型开放的DSGE模型。研究发现：随着资本账户的逐步放开，财政政策方面，减税政策刺激经济增长和促进就业的效果越来越好，政府支出政策刺激经济增长和促进就业的效果越来越差；货币政策方面，国内货币政策的调控效果及利率上升的跨期替代效应减弱。从社会福利损失的角度分析表明：无论是与内生化的政府支出（税收）政策组合还是与财政赤字政策组合，价格型为主的混合货币政策始终优于数量型为主的混合货币政策。研究创新：考察在高、中和低三种资本账户开放背景下中国不同财政货币政策组合的相互作用和经济效应。研究价值：为资本账户放开过程中合理地使用财政货币政策组合提供理论参考。     

丑数据库技术管理储备粮帐

简单介绍了一种管理储备粮账的数据库技术。     

The Importance of Account Relations when Responding to Interim Audit Testing Results*

Auditors are expected to plan and adapt audit programs in response to changes in risk associated with each client. Results in the existing research have been mixed regarding whether auditors respond to changes in risk. Two possible explanations for the lack of responsiveness to changes in risk found in the existing research are that auditors succumb to profit pressure, and that researchers only analyze responses in the risky accounts without considering related accounts. This paper experimentally tests how auditors respond to changes in risk of material misstatement identified by means of interim audit testing results. The response to changes in risk of material misstatement is analyzed using planned audit hours across related financial statement accounts and at varying levels of profit pressure. Results indicate the following primary findings: (a) auditors respond to changes in risk of material misstatement by increasing planned audit hours in accounts related to the risky account, and (b) profit pressure does not affect the auditor's response to changes in risk. These results indicate that the relations between accounts must be considered in order to identify the auditors' response to changes in risk of material misstatement. In addition, the results are consistent with audit firms decreasing the emphasis on profit pressure due to the current importance that the market places on audit quality.     

基于MB及ES分析框架估算我国经常性账户失衡

以经常性账户失衡为表现形式的全球失衡水平在2007年,即美国次贷危机全面爆发前达到峰值。早在2006年,中国已跃居成为全球最大的顺差国,现今全球顺差的1／4来自中国。在IMF构建的三种旨在衡量一国经常性账户“合意”水平的框架下,本文对我国外部失衡进行了估算。结果显示,我国经常性账户余额占GDP比重的理论水平约3．12％,2004年以来,我国实际汇率的调整幅度存在一定程度的滞后。加快人民币汇率市场形成机制的改革是治理我国外部失衡的有效手段之一。     

中国非农业住户部门循环账户的构建与理论阐述

非农业住户部门经济核算是构建中国住户部门核算体系的重要组成部分。依据SNA1993的相关理论和方法,结合中国的具体国情,本文界定了非农业住户部门生产核算的主体与范围,界定出非农业住户部门在不同国民经济活动阶段与其他机构部门间所发生的所有经济交易。在此基础上设计出非农业住户部门的生产账户、收入初次分配账户、收入再次分配账户和收入使用账户,并在循环账户的基础上构建出非农业住户部门的综合经济账户。     

创新业务流程打击金融诈骗

针对目前电信金融诈骗犯罪往往采用通过银行转账,ATM分散取款的作案手段,提出了在银行业务流程上增加主、副账户和在转账交易中引入T+1限制的办法堵住销赃渠道,可以有效遏制此类犯罪案件的滋生。在此基础上,提出捕捉和监控疑似犯罪的交易信息,建立金融数据溯源平台,从而在技术上为报案侦查和追回损失提供了支撑条件,震慑金融诈骗犯罪的企图。最后讨论了基于数据抽取平台的金融数据溯源系统的技术架构。     

人民币资本项目跨境交易发展的顶层设计

随着贸易项下人民币结算的快速推进和不断完善,推进人民币资本项目跨境交易也应尽快提上日程。本文分析了人民币资本项目跨境交易的基本类型,探讨了我国开放人民币资本项目跨境交易的总体方案设计．剖析了开放人民币资本项目跨境交易中存在的问题,在此基础上对近中期推进人民币资本项下业务开展提出了对策建议。     

资本账户开放、金融风险与最优外汇储备

全球金融危机之后,东亚经济体外汇储备出现新的动态。这表明资本账户开放条件下金融危机风险是最优外汇储备规模决策的重要变量。在传统的面板数据回归模型的基础上,通过引入金融危机发生概率这一变量,新的最优外汇储备测算模型获得了更强的解释力。拟合结果表明大多数东亚经济体近年来甚至存在储备不足,东亚经济体持有超额外汇储备确实是一个伪命题。但是,这一结果只有用极度谨慎,也就是金融危机恐惧才能解释。此外,中国即便考虑了金融危机恐惧,外汇储备仍显过度。