Mining semantic features in current reports for financial distress prediction: Empirical evidence from unlisted public firms in China

It is difficult to predict the financial distress of unlisted public firms due to their longer disclosure cycle of accounting information and more inadequate continuity of market trading information compared to listed firms. In this paper, we propose a framework to predict the financial distress of unlisted public firms using current reports. Specifically, to better represent the meaning of current report texts, we propose a semantic feature extraction method based on a word embedding technology. Empirical results show that current reports contain more effective information for predicting the financial distress of unlisted public firms compared with periodic reports. In addition, semantic features extracted using our proposed method significantly improve the predictive performance, and their enhancing effect is superior to that of topic features and sentiment features. Our study also provides implications for stakeholders such as investors and creditors.     

Strategic insider trading around earnings announcements in Australia

This paper tests, within the Australian setting, whether directors strategically time trades in their own firms, around earnings announcements, in the context of impediments to trading in the immediately preceding period. I show that both signed and unsigned trade activity are insignificantly different from zero in the preceding period, and significantly negative and positive after the event. Further, directors in Australia significantly sell following positive earnings news, and buy after negative news, providing evidence of ‘indirect’ trading. Directors’ trades in the longer-term pre-announcement period are also negatively related to the news content sentiment, contrary to expectation. Finally, I find evidence of positive autocorrelation between directors’ trades over the longer-term past, and those executed after earnings announcements, which, in the absence of the ‘short-swing’ rule in Australia, casts doubt over short-term strategic insider trading, more generally.     

城市化进程中的乡村衰落现象：成因及治理——“乡村振兴战略”实施视角的分析

党的十九大报告提出了“实施乡村振兴战略”。乡村振兴是“中国梦”不可或缺的组成部分，城市化进程中的乡村衰落现象不容忽视，乡村问题的解决关系到乡村振兴战略能否实现和现代乡村能否建成。为此，剖析了我国乡村衰落的成因，探索了乡村振兴战略落实的办法，提出了现代乡村建设的可能路径。     

Extreme Uncertainty and Forward‐looking Disclosure Properties

This study investigates the effect of extreme uncertainty on disclosure behaviour by analyzing the quality and quantity of forward‐looking disclosures during the global financial crisis and pre‐crisis periods, controlling for other determinants of disclosure behaviour. Prior research has struggled to distinguish between the quality and quantity dimensions of forward‐looking disclosures. Also, the impact of the recent financial crisis on these forward‐looking disclosure attributes has not yet been examined systematically. We address this gap by exploiting the unique setting of German publicly traded firms. These firms must provide forward‐looking information within their audited financial statements, although relevant regulation is sufficiently vague to allow great variation in the quality, scope and quantity of forward‐looking disclosures actually observed. Using hand‐collected data from 2005 to 2009, we provide evidence of a significantly negative association between crisis and disclosure quality. This finding is robust to several different disclosure quality proxies and regression specifications. In contrast, we find no negative significant relation between crisis and disclosure quantity; rather, there is evidence that reported volume increases during the crisis. Our results are consistent with extreme uncertainty, as occurring during times of crisis, negatively affecting the quality of voluntary disclosures, while firms maintain or increase disclosure quantity, ultimately diluting the information density of forward‐looking disclosures.     

温州机电产品营销人才需求调研报告

温州制造业转型升级对机电产品营销提出新的要求,课题组对温州地区机电行业企业进行了调查研究,掌握了温州企业对机电产品营销人才的需求状况,并在此基础上进行机电产品营销专业建设。     

碳信息披露与企业投资效率-基于 2011~2015 年 CDP 中国报告的实证研究

本文以 2011~2015 年参与国际 CDP 项目的中国公司为研究对象，从投资效率视角探析碳信息披露与企业投资效率之间的关系，并就产权性质、管理层权力对二者关系的影响进行检验。结果发现：在其他条件相同的情况下，碳信息披露能够显著提高企业投资效率；同时，相较于非国有企业，国有企业碳信息披露更能提高企业投资效率；管理层权力越大，越会削弱碳信息披露对投资效率的改善作用。进一步研究发现，碳信息披露通过缓解投资不足和抑制过度投资的共同作用来提高企业投资效率，且这种作用在国有企业及管理层权力较低的企业中更为显著。     

社会稳定风险分析和评估工作操作简析

文章从社会稳定风险分析和评估的基本概念、评估时机、所依据的法律法规、审批权限、工作流程以及在评估工作中应注意的问题等6个方面项目详细介绍了社会稳定风险分析和评估工作。     

企业社会责任表现、报告质量与企业声誉——基于中国上市公司的实证研究

近年来，越来越多的企业通过发布企业社会责任（CSR）报告与利益相关者沟通CSR表现的情况。在CSR与企业声誉之间的关系备受关注的背景下，CSR报告质量在其中发挥着什么样的作用呢？梳理现有文献，将CSR表现划分成责任管理、市场责任、社会责任以及环境责任，通过实证检验，分别探讨各自与企业声誉之间的作用机理，并研究CSR报告质量在二者之间关系中的调节效应。研究结果显示CSR表现正向作用于企业声誉，相较于责任管理，责任实践的正向作用更强。同时CSR报告质量在二者之间的关系中具有调节效应，能够进一步提升企业声誉，并且对环境责任的调节效应最为明显。     

辽宁上市公司董事会报告透明度影响因素研究

以46家辽宁上市公司为样本,对影响董事会报告透明度因素的研究发现:股权集中度、管理层持股比例、董事会规模、独立董事比例与董事会报告透明度呈正相关关系;股权制衡度,董事长与总经理是否两职合一,审计意见类型与董事会报告透明度呈负相关关系。上市公司应该通过股票期权等方式提升管理人员的持股比例,激励他们积极治理公司,提高董事会报告信息披露的透明度;上市公司第二大股东应适度提高持股比例,防止一股独大现象;同时减少董事长与总经理两职合一,也会有助于提高董事会报告的透明度。