普惠金融发展的地区差异、收敛性及影响因素研究*——基于中国省级面板数据的检验

本文利用2005—2016年省级面板数据，对我国各地区普惠金融发展水平进行测度，并在此基础上探讨其收敛性及影响因素。结果表明：（1）我国普惠金融发展水平在考察期内总体偏低，并且呈现出显著的地区差异性。（2）绝对β收敛在全国、中部和西部均存在，而东部不存在；条件β收敛在全国、东部和西部均存在，而中部不存在。（3）政府干预程度、市场化程度、人力资本质量、非正规金融以及外商直接投资对普惠金融发展均具有重要的影响。     

A hybrid information approach to predict corporate credit risk

This study proposes a hybrid information approach to predict corporate credit risk. In contrast to the previous literature that debates which credit risk model is the best, we pool information from a diverse set of structural and reduced‐form models to produce a model combination based on credit risk prediction. Compared with each single model, the pooled strategies yield consistently lower average risk prediction errors over time. We also find that while the reduced‐form models contribute more in the pooled strategies for speculative‐grade names and longer maturities, the structural models have higher weights for shorter maturities and investment grade names.     

网络慈善失范现象及其治理

在网络慈善蓬勃发展的同时，各类失范现象凸显：网络慈善求助信息真假难辨导致诈捐事件频发，善款使用透明度缺失，募捐平台存在谋利行为，网络慈善沦为非法活动的工具。其主要原因包括网络慈善平台信息甄别能力有限、公开透明机制建设不足、网络慈善平台监管不够、配套法律法规不足等。因此，规范网络慈善需要强化网络慈善信息审核、加强公开透明制度建设、强化对网络慈善平台的治理以及推进法治化治理。     

Trade, product cycles, and inequality within and between countries

Abstract.  This paper incorporates Northern product innovation and product‐cycle‐driven technology transfer into the continuum‐of‐goods Heckscher‐Ohlin model. The creation of very skill‐intensive goods induces the North to transfer production of older, less skill‐intensive goods to the South. These relocated goods are the most skill intensive by Southern standards. Hence, product cycles raise the relative demand for skilled workers and thus wage inequality within both regions. This runs contrary to the Stolper‐Samuelson theorem, but accords well with the fact that wage inequality has risen in both Northern and Southern countries. Moreover, product cycles increase income inequality between countries. JEL classification: F1     

研究生就业形势及策略

自1999年研究生大规模扩招以来,毕业生数量激增,研究生“天之骄子”的地位不复存在,如何有效面对就业形势,转变就业观念,提高就业策略是本文探讨的主要内容。     

税制改革与税收文化滞后分析

本文引入了税收文化滞后的概念,阐明了进行税制改革时将会出现税收文化滞后现象,它将影响到税制结构优化目标的实现,因此必须尽力减弱其影响,以确保税制改革的成效。     

关于组建深圳市新华书店发行集团的研究与论证

<正> 按照新闻出版署关于深化图书发行体制改革,培育和规范图书市场的要求,为进一步贯彻党的十五大精神,加快国有企业改革步伐,深圳市新华书店发行集团调研小组赴成都、重庆、广州等地进行了考察,并对部分省市组建发行集团的情况进行了认真调研。本着“统一规划,分步实施”的原则,以建立现代企业制度为目标,提出了成立深圳市新华书店发行集团的研究论证方案。通过战略性重组来组建特区的发行集团,既是贯彻市委市政府组织实施大公司大集团的战略部署;又是适应深圳二次创业,创建现代文化名城的需要。     

一种双机热备份计算机系统

本文探讨了计算机系统冗余备份的工作原理和实现方法，介绍了一种实用的双机热备份切换、控制系统和其切换、控制单元的组成和工作原理。     

惊艳惟美酥油花——大隐于青藏高原的艺术探奇

随心结缘派的酥油花塑制品 郭沫若先生生前在北京曾闻听藏族学者更登曲培提及在青藏高原上有一种油塑艺术，说它的塑制品精美绝伦、奇艳无比，名曰——酥油花，观之能疗疾、食之能益寿！     

The determinants of bilateral trade

Abstract.  In this paper we present a monopolistic competition model that incorporates asymmetric trade barriers and international differences in production costs. The model implies a highly non‐linear bilateral trade equation. Estimation of this equation yields parameters for the elasticity of substitution and trade costs that are more reasonable than those found in previous studies. A simulation indicates that trade liberalization will shift trade from rich countries to poor countries and from within continental trading partners with preferential trade agreements to intercontinental trading partners. JEL Classification: F1