India’s Economic and Strategic Perceptions of China’s Maritime Silk Road Initiative

The Maritime Silk Road Initiative (MSRI) is a part of China’s experiment in scaling up economic corridors across vast swathes of diverse economic geographies. China’s involvement in a large number of ongoing transport corridor projects has encouraged it to embark on the most ambitious of them all till date. The heterogeneity among the economic capacities and integrations of various regions constituting the MSRI, particularly in efficiency of infrastructure and ability to trade, is noticeable. This article underscores these variations as important determinants of competitiveness of the constituent regions and countries. India’s perceptions of the MSRI are significantly shaped by its lack of quality maritime infrastructure capacities that make it relatively uncompetitive vis-à-vis China, Europe and most of Southeast Asia; and the impression of the MSRI’s “China-centrality” emanating from lack of mention of non-China regional forums in the Chinese government’s vision statement; and absence of proactive measures from the Chinese leadership in establishing the MSRI’s multi-country character. The article argues that it is important for India to appreciate the geopolitical character of this unprecedented infrastructure initiative, which, while emphasizing Chinese interests, might not be inimical to India’s economic ambitions, provided India is able to address its domestic infrastructure imperatives.     

Wavelet decomposition for intra-day volume dynamics

In a follow up to a previous paper where a model was presented for intra-day volume dynamics, we use wavelet decomposition for model parameter estimation. We run Monte-Carlo simulations of the model with these estimated parameters and compare with observed volume curves. This model in its calibrated form can be used for various execution strategies, e.g. in estimation of potential slippage deviations from VWAP benchmarks.     

改善中印关系的贸易之道

【美国《华尔街日报》11月4日】印度和中国在许多事情上意见不一致，双方的分歧点并不仅限于最近再度骤然紧张起来的边界问题。但有令人鼓舞的迹象显示，在一件事情上，两国可能愿意以一种既对双方有利、也能造福其他亚洲国家的方式相互合作，这就是贸易问题。