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We propose a new sequential procedure for estimating multivariate distributions in cases when conventional maximum likelihood has too many parameters and is therefore inaccurate or non-operational. The procedure constructs a multivariate distribution and its pseudo-likelihood sequentially, in each step using lower-dimensional distributions with a small number of parameters. In an application, the procedure provides excellent fit when the dimension is moderate, and remains operational when the conventional method fails. 相似文献
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Khabibullin Ramis Ponomarenko Alexey 《Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination》2022,17(3):827-847
We use the behavioral concept to endogenously model the evolution of the link between households’ deposit dollarization and exchange rate developments in Russia. We estimate the model empirically and show that the reaction of households to exchange rate appreciation weakens when exchange rate developments become more volatile. The proposed model outperforms the contemporary nonlinear time series models in forecasting the changes in dollarization during the Bank of Russia’s transition to a flexible exchange rate regime.
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