中国资本账户自由化的战略

资本账户开放,过去一直被认为是跻身国际金融社会的先决条件,而现在却不再被认为是绝对必要的,至少,资本账户开放不再被认为是每个国家都急切希望实现的经济政策目标。认识到资本账户开放在20世纪90年代一些国家的货币和金融危机中可能扮演了增加金融脆弱性的角色之后,[1]对自由化速度的主流看法发生了微妙的变化。即使在长期资本账户开放仍然是一个希望达成的目标,但大多数经济学家都开始认为,对于从一个压抑的金融体系到一个完全自由化的体系的转型过程的处理必须慎之又慎。如果转型不是一蹴而就的,那么顺序问题就变得至关重要。整个转型…     

Is racial salary discrimination disappearing in the NBA? evidence from data during 1985–2015

This study re-examines the racial salary gap of National Basketball Association players by constructing a long unbalanced panel covering the 1985–1986 to 2015–2016 seasons. Contrary to the results of previous studies, we find that non-white players are paid equally to white players with similar characteristics in the 1980s and 1990s, but that white players started to be paid about 20% more than non-white players in the last 10 years. Our results are robust to all specification checks, such as quantile regressions, controlling sample selection, different contract types, and player nationality. We find that neither employer preference nor income gap of white and black residents explains this increasing salary gap.     

Statistical Methodologies for the Market Risk Measurement

This paper classifies statistical methodologies available for the marketrisk measurement. With the help of the weighted likelihood, a broad class ofnon-normal distributions, which are not generally considered so far, areapplied to possibly hetero-scedastic financial variables. The approach is compared with popular procedures such as GARCH and J. P. Morgan's using daily dataof 12 financial variables.     

Post‐IRCJ challenges: changing Japanese culture to enable early revitalization of troubled corporations

The Industrial Revitalization Corporation of Japan (IRCJ) was created in 2003 to restructure distressed debtor corporations with excessive debts before their bankruptcy with a view to deterring ever‐increasing non‐ and poor‐performing loans. The IRCJ successfully reorganized target debtor companies through the out‐of‐court workout with multiple financial institutions where unanimous consent of financial creditors is required. Since the lifetime of the IRCJ is limited, the IRCJ cannot rescue troubled corporations after the end of March 2005. From then onward, the out‐of‐court workout should be utilized more widely in Japan in order to revitalize distressed businesses at an early stage without impairing the rights of trade creditors and deteriorating the value of the businesses. To make the workout most effective, it is important to ensure that the statutory reorganization procedures, including the majority rule, are applied more flexibly and reliably. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Exchange rate movements and foreign direct investment (FDI): Japanese investment in Asia, 1987–2008

The paper estimates the impact of exchange rate movements on foreign direct investment (FDI). By using the panel data of Japanese FDI flows to nine dynamic Asian economies during 1987–2008, the paper finds that (i) FDI declined with a depreciation of the yen against host country currencies; (ii) it increased with exchange rate volatility; and (iii) it was little affected by the Asian financial crisis, especially when disguised financial flows were removed from the data. A novel result concerns the negative response of FDI to the third moment of monthly exchange rate changes: the volume of FDI was smaller when the distribution was positively skewed (i.e., when the yen was biased towards relatively large depreciation shocks). If skewness proxies for expected mean-reverting changes, this supports the idea that source country investors care about the future stream of revenues and returns denominated in their own currency. These results are robust, with other standard control variables having statistically significant coefficients with expected signs.     

Stock market reactions to audit failure in Japan: The case of Kanebo and ChuoAoyama

This paper investigates the impact of accounting fraud by Kanebo and the resulting penalties on Kanebo and its auditor, ChuoAoyama, on the stock prices of clients of ChuoAoyama and the other Big 4 auditors in Japan. Studying such a case in a low-litigation country provides an opportunity to test whether loss of an auditors' reputation matters without an insurance rationale. We find that the announcements of poor audit quality has significantly decreased the stock prices of clients of ChuoAoyama and, to a lesser extent, stock prices of the clients of the other Big 4 auditors. This industry-wide spillover has not been previously studied.     

Proposal to Formulate “Global Informal Workout Rules” Adopting “Asian Bankers' Association Informal Workout Guidelines” and “Model Agreement to Promote Company Restructuring by Informal Workout” with Some Minor Amendments

The INSOL 8 Principles is a set of model domestic rules for out‐of‐court workouts. Many Asian countries have created workout rules referring to the Principles. A uniform insolvency code applicable worldwide may be impossible to achieve. Instead, international professional associations such as the INSOL International and/or official international organizations such as the World Bank may be able to establish global informal workout rules that are applicable in cases to restructure multinational business enterprises that are indebted to multinational financial creditors. The “Asian Bankers' Association Informal Workout Guidelines” and the “Model Agreement to Promote Company Restructuring by Informal Workout” of 2005 are buried treasure tools. They could be transformed to global rules with some minor amendments with the consent of the Association. Copyright © 2013 INSOL International and John Wiley & Sons, Ltd     

Market design for standardization problems with agent-based social simulation

This paper provides a computational market model with technological competitions among standards and presents simulations of various scenarios concerning standardization problems. The market model has three features: (1) economic entities such as consumers and firms are regarded as autonomous agents; (2) micro interactions among consumer agents or firm agents have essential mechanisms interpretable in real markets; and (3) consumers’ preferences and firms’ technologies co-affect their evolutionary behavior. In recent years, consumers have experienced various inconveniences from de facto competition based on a market mechanism. Standardization communities or committees such as the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) and the International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) need to design a compatible standard or a de jure standard in a market. However, it is difficult for market designers to decide a method or timing for the standardization. Here, by introducing a novel technique used in agent-based social simulation (ABSS), which we call “scenario analysis,” we aim to support such decision making. Scenario analysis provides the possible market changes that can occur following implementation of a design policy under a specific market situation and the market mechanisms that generate these market changes.     

Collusion and discrimination in organizations

In a principal-multi-agent setting we investigate how optimal contracts should be modified under relative performance evaluation when agents collude. Agents may write side-contracts, which are not contingent on their effort choices but indirectly control them through side-transfers. We show that the optimal collusion-proof contract is to introduce a “discriminatory policy” in the sense that the wage schemes offered to agents depend on their identities even if they are identical with respect to productive abilities. Such discriminatory wage schemes explain the organizational strategy of “divide and conquer” as an optimal response to collusion.