股权分置与中国上市公司多元化经营

本文剔除了上市公司中的相关多元化企业，以非多元化企业和不相关多元化企业为样本，区分了上市公司是否选择多元化经营战略和多元化上市公司具体选择多高的多元化程度两种情况．分别运用Logit模型和多元线性回归模型考察了股权分置对中国上市公司多元化经营的影响。实证分析结果表明，在控制了企业所处的行业、企业规模、技术水平和负债水平等因素后．股权分置对上市公司是否选择多元化经营以及对多元化上市公司多元化程度的选择均有显著影响。     

基于实物期权法对R&D项目价值评估的研究——对布莱克-舒尔斯定价模型的改进

针对R&D项目投资的特点,探讨了采用布莱克一舒尔斯期权定价模型对R&D项目价值评估可能存在的缺陷,并提出一种改进方法,即将决策树和布莱克一舒尔斯定价模型结合运用,因为决策树能够模拟研发项目的阶段性决策过程,考虑到多个离散型不确定性因素的相关性,模拟并计算出对决策路径依赖的现金流,因此能克服纯粹使用布莱克一舒尔斯公式的不足,在考虑多个不确定性因素的影响下,实现对多阶段R&D项目价值的评估,作出正确的投资决策。     

国有银行贷审委的分离决策均衡激励约束机制探讨

目前的银行贷审委集体决策的体制往往导致贷款责任难以划分,集体负责实际变成无人负责。本文提出一个贷审委的分离决策均衡激励约束机制,使每个贷审委委员每次信贷决策均得到奖惩,从而解决贷审委集体决策无人负责的激励困境问题,决策基金帐户的设置则使贷审委委员无论调到何处,均需为他的每一次决策负责。     

Owners’ rule-based decision-making in family firm strategic renewal

We explore the process and consequences of family firm owners applying informal rules to decision-making in the context of later-generation family firms attempting strategic renewal. Based on the case studies of two firms in a Nordic country where the owners serve as non-executive board members, and following institutional action theory, we propose that informal rules – based on historical precedents and cumulative experience – applied to a family firm’s decision-making play many roles. They sustain family traditions over time, transfer experience over generations and depersonalise family members’ use of power. In addition, the rules on governance structure, governance processes and the content of the strategies form a hierarchy and can both facilitate and hinder the renewal.     

How to win the consumer’s heart? Exploring appraisal determinants of consumer pre-consumption emotions

Emotions are key drivers of consumption in the tourism and hospitality sector. Therefore, advancing our understanding of the determinants of consumer emotions is critical for tourism and hospitality marketers to effectively influence consumer affect-driven consumption behavior. However, research on the determinants of pre-consumption emotions remains under-explored. This study aims to fill the research gap and proposes a theoretical framework to explain affect-driven behavior. Grounded on the cognitive appraisal theory of emotions, we hypothesize that marketing stimuli are personally appraised based on several dimensions such as novelty and goal relevance. These appraisal dimensions determine the elicitation of positive emotions, leading to behavioral intentions. A total of 655 participants were recruited for an empirical study to test this framework in the context of a tourism event experience. We use an experimental research design to examine consumer appraisals, emotions and behavioral intentions in four conditions: two marketing visual formats (poster vs. video) over two delivery channels (advertising vs. e-word-of-mouth). Research outcomes support the theoretical framework of consumer affect-driven behavior, suggesting that the elicitation of positive emotions beneficially guides consumer behavior in goal striving and novelty seeking. Based on this, emotion-focused marketing implications are recommended, including goal-based segmentation, goal-relevant content development and the use of eWOM as an emotion-enhancing message delivery channel.     

Evaluating intergenerational risks

Climate policies have stochastic consequences that involve a great number of generations. This calls for evaluating social risk (what kind of societies will future people be born into) rather than individual risk (what will happen to people during their own lifetimes). We respond to this call by proposing and axiomatizing probability adjusted rank-discounted critical-level generalized utilitarianism (PARDCLU) through a key axiom ensuring that the social welfare order both is ethical and satisfies first-order stochastic dominance. PARDCLU yields a new useful perspective on intergenerational risks, is ethical in contrast to discounted utilitarianism, and avoids objections that have been raised against other ethical criteria. We show that PARDCLU handles situations with positive probability of human extinction and is linked to decision theory by yielding rank-dependent expected utilitarianism—but with additional structure—in a special case.     

Analysis of tourism information sources using a Mokken Scale perspective

This study contributes to the analysis of information sources as a determinant of the travel decision-making process. It focuses on the use of Mokken Scale Analysis (MSA) as a new methodological approach to detect unidimensional hierarchical scale in the analysis of information sources. The paper shows how MSA can be applied in the tourism field. Findings reveal two different scales (active and passive information search scales) for classifying information sources in tourism. Variations in the scales are revealed, taking socio-demographic and travel behavioural variables into consideration. The conclusions clearly explain the implications for tourism marketers and make recommendations for future research.     

浅议提升地方政府决策力

决策力是地方政府行政能力建设的重要内容,决定着地方治理的成败。本文认识到现行行政决策机制存在的问题,以及提出相应的对策来提升行政决策能力     

国际市场进入模式的选择决策模型研究

经济的全球化和信息的迅速发展为企业的国际化经营创造了良好的条件。企业的国际化经营又在很大程度上依赖于国际市场进入的模式。基于国际市场进入模式对于企业经营发展的重要性,本文分析了国际市场进入模式的主要影响因素,并在此基础上构建一个较为全面的国际市场进入模式综合决策模型。在具体操作层面上,拟采用模糊数学的工具提出国际市场进入模式的识别模式,为企业的国际化经营的实施提供战略指导。     

我国商业银行信用评估的行为决策框架与锚定效应分析

根据前景理论,通过对信贷经理人的调查,对信用评价的决策框架和信用评价中的锚定效应特征进行了实证分析.调查表明,信贷决策并不完全决定于信用评估结果,最优信用评价决策与现实不一致;在信用评估中,信贷经理人能力比信用评估体系更为重要,信贷经理人的经验、专业能力和价值观对信用评估都将产生影响;信用评估中存在锚定效应,对借款人信用评价产生重要影响.