贸易开放度与经济增长:基于中国与印度的比较研究

本文基于新经济增长理论,从贸易开放度视角对中国与印度经济增长进行了比较分析。结果表明:两国贸易开放度存在明显结构差异,中国以商品贸易为主,而印度服务贸易份额远高于中国;中国的总体贸易开放度高于印度,但两者之间的差距随着印度外贸加速发展而缩小;两国贸易开放度与经济增长存在长期均衡关系,中国贸易开放度对经济增长的促进效应略高于印度,但中国面临着由贸易引发的人民币升值和外部失衡冲突问题。

Trade Openness and Economic Growth: Comparison between China and India

This paper compares the effects of trade openness on economic growth between China and India based on economic growth theory. The results show that there is significant difference on trade openness structure between the two countries, and China depends on goods trade greatly, but India has an advantage on services trade. At the same time, there is long-term equilibrium between trade openness and economic growth. Although the effect of trade on growth in China is a little greater than that in India, China had severe external disequilibrium and conflictwhichresult from trade.