| 货币供应与通货膨胀的动态关系研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨溢.货币供应与通货膨胀的动态关系研究[J].经济理论与经济管理,2011,0(7):67. |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨溢 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海社会科学院, 上海 200020 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文通过实证研究发现,货币供应量的冲击无法有效解释我国通货膨胀现象,超额的货币供应并不是影响我国通胀的重要原因,而居民对物价水平的预期却能解释未来通货膨胀的变化。因此,从通货膨胀治理的角度来说,调整货币供应抑制通货膨胀的作用非常有限,而通货膨胀预期管理也许更能起到平抑通货膨胀的作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 通货膨胀 货币供应 预期管理 |
| 收稿时间： | 2011-05-18 |
THE RESEARCH ON DYNAMIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MONETARY SUPPLY AND INFLATION |
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| YANG Yi.THE RESEARCH ON DYNAMIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MONETARY SUPPLY AND INFLATION[J].Economic Theory and Business Management,2011,0(7):67. |
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| Authors: | YANG Yi |
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| Institution: | Shanghai Academy of Social Science, Shanghai 200020, China |
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| Abstract: | Through an empirical study,we found that monetary shocks could not explain the phenomena of inflation significantly,which implied that the excessive money supply was not an important reason for the inflation in China.On the other hand,households' expectation on the retail price could predict the change of inflation rate.From this point,expectation management might be much more powerful than the policy of monetary supply to control inflation. |
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| Keywords: | inflation monetary supply expectation management |
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