A note on the speculative demand for money

In the General Theory, Keynes argued that expectations about future bond prices tend to be “sticky”. A rise in bond prices causes more investors to “join the bear brigade” and so increases the aggregate demand for money. Since Tobin's classic article on liquidity preference, this explanation of the downward sloping demand for money curve has largely disappeared from the literature. This note introduces sticky expectations into the Tobin framework. It shows that the existence of such stickiness does not necessarily cause the demand for money to be more elastic because investors have expectations about the variance of future bond prices as well as about their mean. A sufficient condition for a more elastic demand for money under sticky expectations is that the Pratt-Arrow coefficient of relative risk aversion be either constant or decreasing in wealth.     

Economic uncertainty,monetary uncertainty and the Korean demand for money

Economic uncertainty and monetary uncertainty are said to affect public’s holding of money in either direction. In this paper, we consider the Korean demand for money, and after including two GARCH-based measures of output uncertainty and monetary uncertainty, we show that both measures exert significant effects on the demand for money in Korea in the short run. However, only the adverse effects of output uncertainty lasts into the long run. Indeed, including the two uncertainty measures yield a stable demand for money in Korea.     

Economic policy uncertainty and demand for money in Australia

The demand for money has received a great deal of attention in the empirical literature. This literature, however, has emphasized factors such as interest rate, income, inflation rate and exchange rate as the primary determinants of money demand. Although an emerging strand of literature examines uncertainty as a potential determinant of money demand, findings have been mixed. Using a news-based Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index and Australian quarterly data from 1998 to 2017, we study the impact of policy uncertainty on demand for money. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) results show that the economic policy uncertainty measure has a negative short-run effect on the demand for money, suggesting the wider public hedge against future expected inflation, and positive long-run effect, whereby the broader public hold more cash to stay liquid during times of economic uncertainty. Also, introducing nonlinearity into the money demand equation, we find an asymmetric effect, more in favour of currency appreciations, supporting the expectations effect of further appreciations in exchange rate movements.     

On the empirical specification of the European demand for money

This paper tests several aspects concerning the specification of an empirical demand for money function for the European Monetary Union. The econometric results show that wealth is a statistically significant determinant for the demand for money. A homogeneous sample period is statistically established, and a demand equation for liquid assets (other than strict money) is presented. A new method to weight and add national variables is also suggested to obtain European aggregates. The main policy implication is that monetary aggregate targeting should not be the main basis for monetary policy implementation.     

Bond yield uncertainty and the demand for money : A comment

The purpose of this paper is to reconsider the work recently reported by Amihud that the demand for money is an increasing function of the risk of holding bonds. Our evidence from testing annual and quarterly Cambridge k and demand-for-money equations cannot confirm the positive and significant bond-yield uncertainty coefficient reported by Amihud in a semi-annual Cambridge k equation.     

Financial innovation and demand for money: some empirical evidence

Recent criticism of money growth targets has been based on the implications of spreading financial innovation, since the latter has been considered to undermine monetary policy effectiveness both by bringing about an increase in the interest elasticity of money demand and by producing instability of the money demand function. The empirical results presented in this paper – focusing on a single and specific case of financial innovation particularly suited to study the isssue at stake – falsify both hypotheses.     

The demand for money and the variability of the rate of inflation : An emperical note

In this note we incorporate the effect of inflation variability on the demand for money in Pakistan. It is found that this variable has a significant impact on money demand function. Our results are similar to those of Klein while they differ with Blejer.     

The impact of economic and monetary uncertainty on the demand for money in emerging economies

By introducing uncertainty, monetary volatility and economic volatility are said to make the public cautious, hence increase their cash holdings or their demand for money. On the other hand, because of monetary and economic uncertainty if the public seek safer assets than money, they may hold less cash. In the absence of any paper testing for the impact of economic and monetary uncertainty on the demand for money in emerging economies, this article fills the gap by considering the experiences of six Central and Eastern European emerging economies and four other emerging economies. We found that the impact is transitory in most countries. Moreover, money demand is found correctly specified and stable in most countries, suggesting that policy based on monetary targeting could still be effective despite significant output and monetary uncertainty.     

An econometric note on the demand for refined zinc

Journal of Economics -     

Currency substitution,financial innovations and money demand: a note

This note presents some Finnish evidence on the importance of currency substitution and financial innovations for money demand. It is also shown that conventional demend for money specifications which do not take these factors into account are clearly misspecified and produced unreasonable results. The problem is particularly acute for narrow concepts of money.     

Relative prices and the demand for money

This paper examines the validity of the conventional specification of money demand with particular reference to the issue of relative prices. It is shown that the conventional money demand function is based on the assumption of weak separability of money from commodities, which forms the basis for the absence of relative prices in money demand. Empirical and presumptive evidence suggests that weak separability is not tenable, implying that relative prices are important in money demand. The inclusion of commodity prices in money demand significantly affects the interest and income elasticity estimates. Finally, it is noted that the aggregate consumption function excluding commodity prices also has no theoretical and empirical base.     

On the short-run and long-run demand for money

This paper makes precise the relationships between short-run and long-run demand for money, using methods commonly employed in growth models. It estimates these demand functions with quarterly French data and tests the validity in France of the modern version of the quantity theory of money. The effects of inflation on the demand for money are studied both in the short run and the long run. The speed of adjustment of money balances towards their long-run level is measured.     

An empirical analysis of the demand for houses durables and nondurables

A standard neoclassical model of intertemporal choice is applied to households' demand for nondurables, durables and houses, so that particularly the role of credit rationing is stressed. Empirical analysis is performed with Finnish quarterly data. The main result of the study is that relative prices are of little significance, whereas credit rationing is found to play an important role, affecting both the desired levels of demand and the speed of adjustment.     

Distribution effects and the business demand for money

This paper examines whether and how changes in an industry's firm-size distribution affect the per-firm demand for money. The size distribution of an industry potentially affects the demand for money through several channels. We examine four of those channels: 1) economies of scale; 2) decentralization in cash management; 3) cost of credit; and 4) compensating balances. We conclude that increasing the size inequality increases the industry's per-firm demand for money.     

Inflation and the demand for money in Israel

This paper examines the impacts of rational-price expectations and foreign-exchange reform, in addition to adaptive-price expectations, on money-demand in Israel. The regression results are used to determine the upper limit on the amount of seigniorage.     

Inflation and growth: An empirical note

In time series modelling, concepts of causality and co-integrability are relevant. This note examines the growth–inflation relationship using Jamaican data. The existence of a long-run relationship is found to be tenuous.     

Specific complements and the demand for money in Australia

Clements and Nguyen, using Australian data, found that money, durables, and other consumption are specific complements. This letter applies a Nasse-type model to the same data and describes the associated preference independence transformation in order to interpret the results.     

The demand for money in Austria

In this paper, the demand for real money M1, M2, and M3 is estimated for Austria over the time period 1965–96. The modelling takes place within the framework of a small vector autoregression. To estimate the demand for money, two-equation error-correction models are constructed, which contain the short-run dynamics and the long-run economic equilibrium. It is found that a stable money demand exists for all monetary aggregates. The long-run equilibrium of M1, after accounting for a structural break in 1979, can be characterised as a classical type of money demand, with no interest rate effects and an elasticity of one for real GDP. In the case of M2 and M3, we find a unit coefficient on income and a significantly negative influence of a long-term interest rate. The statistical properties of the estimated short-run money demand equations – considering in-sample and out-of-sample tests – are generally very good. First version received: October 1996/Final version received: April 2000