亚洲三角贸易模式与中国的贸易增长

文章从亚洲三角贸易模式的角度出发分析了中国贸易增长的来源,并揭示了中国巨额贸易顺差的真相。研究发现,亚洲三角贸易模式夸大了中国出口和贸易顺差的规模。通过参加亚洲三角贸易模式,日本、韩国以及中国台湾等通过直接投资和产业转移,在中国建立生产和出口加工基地,从而将其对欧美的贸易顺差转移为中国对欧美的贸易顺差,扩大了中国与欧美的贸易摩擦,恶化了我国的国际贸易环境。     

Regional development of German foreign trade in the 1990s

With a double-digit growth rate, Germany's export sector was again very successful last year. While the industrialised countries continue to be Germany's main trading partners, growth in the past few years has been stimulated by trade with the booming regions of Southeast Asia and Central and Eastern Europe as well as with Central and South America. The current crisis in Southeast Asia has led to an abrupt slowdown in the region's economic development. What will be the consequences for global trade in general and for German foreign trade in particular?     

东亚各国(地区)承接生产者服务外包的竞争力研究

20世纪90年代"东亚奇迹"模式使经济发展水平各异的东亚经济体实现了不同程度的经济增长和产业结构升级,在以零部件贸易为代表的生产网络框架下东亚地区生产者服务贸易呈现出快速增长的趋势,本文认为东亚生产者服务贸易增长因素主要体现在生产服务链接需求、产业结构升级需求以及东亚地区的促进政策等方面,在此基础上,本文利用贸易相似度指标和面板回归分析方法研究了不同的生产者服务行业中东亚承接服务外包的竞争力状况,结果表明东亚地区的生产者服务业已呈现出类似于制造业转移的特征:继制造业后美国和日本等较为先进的生产者服务提供国继续带动了东亚区域服务业结构升级。     

Trade booms, trade busts, and trade costs

What has driven trade booms and trade busts in the past and present? We employ a micro-founded measure of trade frictions consistent with leading trade theories to gauge the importance of bilateral trade costs in determining international trade flows. We construct a new balanced sample of bilateral trade flows for 130 country pairs across the Americas, Asia, Europe, and Oceania for the period from 1870 to 2000 and demonstrate an overriding role for declining trade costs in the pre-World War I trade boom. In contrast, for the post-World War II trade boom we identify changes in output as the dominant force. Finally, the entirety of the interwar trade bust is explained by increases in trade costs.     

中国分地区进出口贸易与经济增长关系研究

从1981～2004年的统计数据看,我国同亚洲、非洲、欧洲、拉丁美洲、北美洲和大洋洲地区的进出口贸易与我国经济增长之间具有内在关系。我国同各地区的进出口贸易对经济增长的贡献存在明显差异。就长期而言,我国对欧洲地区的出口贸易对经济增长的贡献率最大,进口方面则是从北美洲的进口对我国经济增长的贡献率最大。这一结论为我国贸易政策的分地区调整提供了实证依据。     

世界蘑菇的贸易动向分析

世界蘑菇的生产和贸易主要集中在亚洲、欧洲与北美洲,我国、荷兰、法国等主产国同时也是重要的蘑菇出口国。世界蘑菇贸易以蘑菇罐头为主,保鲜蘑菇和干制蘑菇的贸易量较少。世界蘑菇罐头出口贸易集中度较高,我国与荷兰在蘑菇罐头出口贸易中占据绝对主导地位,且两国在美国市场上存在激烈的竞争。研究世界蘑菇的进出口贸易动向,有利于了解我国蘑菇出口面临的国际市场环境。     

东亚三角形国际分工网络的演变及趋向——以纺织服装产业为例的分析

东亚与欧美的纺织品与服装贸易最初只有两方参与,随着产业向更低工资水平的地区转移,逐渐形成了三角形的生产贸易关系与国际分工网络。随着欧美订户不断追求靠近供应商,更多的通过中间商的间接转口贸易被直接贸易取代。东亚与欧美的纺织品与服装生产贸易模式呈现出两角——三角——两角的发展轨迹。     

Deutschlands Position in der Weltwirtschaft

In recent years, German exports have increased at a slower pace than before the global financial crisis. Moreover, the growth contribution of foreign trade was significantly smaller. This article examines how German exports have developed since the turn of the millennium, both globally and in specific regions, and relative to world trade. The results are threefold. A look at the most important trade partners reveals that, firstly, the European economies continue to absorb the largest part of German exports. Asia and the US follow as the largest sales markets outside Europe. Secondly, the German world market share is mainly driven by the development of Germany’s market position in the EU and the US; China and the remaining Asian countries play a subordinated role in this respect. Thirdly, a comparison between the growth rates of German exports and world trade is not always useful for statements about the change in the German global market share.     

A European role in intra-Asian commercial development: The Maclaine Watson network and the Java sugar trade c.1840–1942

This article concerns the Batavia (Jakarta)-based mercantile firm of Maclaine Watson (1827–1964) and its close commercial associates in the Netherlands Indies (modern-day Indonesia) and nearby Singapore. From its inception, the firm initially operated in the context of bilateral trade with Europe, in conjunction with its burgeoning role in the Netherlands Indies’ sugar export trade. By the century’s end, however, shifts in the direction of that trade meant that its prime commercial ventures were directed towards markets elsewhere in Asia. The significance of the firm’s involvement within intra-Asian trade and the region’s economic development forms the core of the article’s argument.     

Turkey＇s Hope

Turkey, lies southeast of Europe on the tip of western Asia, the country enjoys both a historical bond and deep friendship with China. With their respective locations on the west and east ends of the ancient Silk Road, Turkey and China have a long history of political, cultural and trade relations.     

试析我国新疆与中亚国家的经贸合作

新疆与中亚国家加强经贸合作,是双赢发展的需要。新疆应抓住机遇,提高经济发展的国际竞争力,积极与中亚国家加强经贸合作。本文分析了新疆与中亚国家经贸合作的现状,指出了新疆与中亚国家经贸合作中存在的问题,最后展望分析了新疆与中亚国家经贸合作前景。     

Regionalisation and regionalism in world trade

The growing importance of regional integration, particularly in the Triad of Western Europe, North America and the Asia-Pacific region, is not always regarded as positive, but is also criticized because of the dangers involved for free world trade. What effects on world trade are to be expected? Can the new world trade order limit the possible risks?     

China's one belt one road initiative: The impact of trade facilitation versus physical infrastructure on exports

The One Belt One Road (OBOR) project is perhaps China's most significant international relations initiative in recent times. It is based on openness, harmony, inclusivity, mutual benefit and market operations and aims to connect the economically vibrant East Asia and the developed Europe by land and by sea, and in the process, it brings growth and development to tens of countries along the modern Silk routes. In this paper, we compare the impact of the main initiatives of OBOR, namely enhancements in physical infrastructure and improvements in border administration, on the trade of countries that have signed on to this project, especially countries along the six economic corridors. We find overwhelming evidence that shows improvements in border administration has the greatest impact on exports of corridor countries. Although physical infrastructure is important for trade, the Chinese government should place equal attention to improvements in trade facilitation to ensure trade routes operate seamlessly across the various corridors.     

世界经济周期对我国出口贸易的影响

源于美国次贷危机,进一步向欧洲、亚洲、美洲扩散蔓延的世界经济衰退,是世界经济第五次长周期的下降长波,将使美国、日本、欧盟的经济增长较长时期处于低迷之中,并对我国的出口贸易增长产生长期巨大的负面影响。我国需要加快转变经济和社会发展模式、培育国内消费市场、有效科学投资、培育规模经济、加强监管、调整结构、制度创新,以应对这次百年一遇的世界经济衰退。     

中国与中亚五国进出口贸易特点及存在的问题分析

从实证角度分析中国与中亚各国进出口贸易的特点及其存在的问题并提出政策建议。认为:中国与中亚各国进出口贸易的不平衡性与波动性特点显著,不利于双边与多边贸易的平稳与持续发展;现有的贸易商品结构限制了双边与多边进出口贸易的进一步发展,有待进一步优化。如何充分发挥中国与中亚各国在双边与多边贸易中的比较优势,克服双边与多边进出口贸易中的问题和矛盾,是各国共同面临的问题。     

江苏自贸试验区建设与跨境电商发展

近年来,我国外贸市场持续疲弱,以跨境电商为代表的新型贸易方式正成为中国外贸的全新增长引擎。东南亚作为"一带一路"倡议重要的经济区,是我国及江苏的重要贸易伙伴。本文对江苏外贸的现状及趋势和东南亚跨境电商发展的市场需求进行了深入地分析,提出了江苏自贸试验区建设对江苏与东南亚跨境电商发展带来的契机,以期加快江苏与东南亚跨境电商合作的进程。     

ASEAN's role in Japan's economic policy in East Asia

Although Japan's economic and trade policy with the United States and Europe has been widely researched in such works as Tyson (1992), relatively less research has been done on Japan's recent trade and economic policies towards other East Asian countries such as Korea and Taiwan. Since the mid-1980s, because of rising labor costs and appreciation of the Japanese yen, Japan has increased manufacturing production in ASEAN countries such as Thailand and Malaysia. The purpose of this short article is to discuss Japan's increased economic focus in Asia, and implications for East Asian countries such as Korea and Taiwan. © 1993 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

Globalization and regionalization: Toward the shaping of a tripolar world economy?

Trade relations today are undergoing more fundamental change than at any time since immediately after World War II. The rules of the game in international economic relations have changed dramatically, particularly since the early 1980s. The multilateral trading system is facing a severe test, with an apparent tilting of the preferences of its major players in favor of subglobal arrangements. At the same time, a growing number of developing countries are embracing unilateral trade liberalization. This article presents how new developments in international business and trade affect international relations and the evolution of a new world order. In doing this, the process of globalization and economic integration, the building of economic blocs in Europe and North America, and the response from Asia will be examined. © 1995 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

East Asian FDI in Europe and Germany

During the 1980s foreign direct investment (FDI) expanded remarkably. Simultaneously, the regional structure of foreign direct investment changed. This relationship is discernible among industrial countries, as well as between industrial and developing countries. Of particular importance is the interface of foreign trade relations between the “Triad” and the economically dynamic East Asian and Pacific area. This article highlights, in particular, foreign investment coming from Eastern Asia into Europe and Germany.     

东亚信息技术产业的区内与区外贸易模式实证分析

东亚IT产业发展的贸易模式有如下特点:第一,东亚IT产业的技术来源于美国。通过承接美国计算机企业的"外包"业务,东亚在IT硬件设备制造领域建立了完整的生产体系。第二,东亚与美国的IT产品贸易主要集中在集成电路与电子部件,反映了美国企业将IT中间产品"外包"到东亚区域以降低生产成本,推动了全球IT产品的国际外包浪潮。第三,东亚区域内贸易模式不同于东亚—美国之间的贸易特征,日本、韩国和东盟通过向我国出口集成电路及其电子零部件获得了巨额的贸易顺差,而我国则将进口的集成电路和电子零部件装配成电子产品出口到美国和世界各地。