整合资源 完善机制 努力提升 浙江省农业银行综合竞争力

随着我国金融业全面对外开放过渡期最后期限的临近,国内银行业特别是国有商业银行均加快了股份制改造的步伐,目前中国银行和中国建设银行已基本完成财务重组并转变为股份制公司,交通银行引进了战略投资者,中国工商银行和中国农业银行也正在加快内部改革,为下一步股份制改造作准备.股份制改造无疑为国有银行完善公司治理结构、深化内部改革提供了更加充分的条件,但改制、上市只是手段,改革的目的是从根本上转换经营机制,把银行办成真正的现代银行,提高银行的发展能力、竞争能力和抗风险能力.     

国有商业银行股份制改革对滨海新区银行业的影响

国有商业银行股份制改革是我国银行体制改革的重大举措,这次改革的成功将对我国银行业的发展产生深远的影响.本文通过对天津滨海新区银行业的变化,阐述国有商业银行股份制改革对银行业当前和长远的影响,进而提出银行业应抓住机遇,深化改革,加快发展的政策建议.     

对我国商业银行效率的实证分析

本文从规模经济角度,对我国商业银行从1995年到2005年的效率进行了经验分析.结果表明:一方面,我国商业银行业从整体上来讲存在着规模经济,这主要得益于股份制商业银行;另一方面,国有商业银行存在着规模不经济.本文从产权、资产规模等几个角度分析了造成股份制商业银行和国有商业银行效率不同的原因.本文认为,要保持我国商业银行业效率的不断提高,必须加快产权制度改革,适度压缩国有商业银行的规模,加快股份制商业银行的发展,改善商业银行的治理结构.     

国有商业银行应对入世的对策选择

1.对国有商业银行进行产权制度改造,使其真正走上自主经营、自负盈亏、自我发展、自我约束的道路.从国外银行业发展的历史和现实看,真正的商业银行都选择了股份制形式.从我国深化金融体制改革的情况看,要进一步深化改革,加快国有商业银行与国际金融业的接轨,将国有商业银行改造成为国家控股的金融企业已被越来越多的人所认可.应按照市场经济的要求,对国有商业银行进行股份制改造.目前国内已有三家股份制商业银行上市.四大国有商业银行如能改造为国家控股的股份制商业银行,并在重组上市方面有所作为,将有助于资本金的筹集,进而提高国有商业银行的资金实力,增强活力.     

国有商业银行县支行股份制改革中的问题及建议

欠发达地区国有商业银行在股份制改造过程中,经历了机构整合、财务重组、人事变革的巨大冲击,本文分析了县级商业银行股份制改革中存在的问题及原因,并就如何加快股份制改革提出了意见和建议。     

对我国商业银行效率的实证分析

本文从规模经济角度,对我国商业银行从1995年到2005年的效率进行了经验分析。结果表明:一方面,我国商业银行业从整体上来讲存在着规模经济,这主要得益于股份制商业银行;另一方面,国有商业银行存在着规模不经济。本文从产权、资产规模等几个角度分析了造成股份制商业银行和国有商业银行效率不同的原因。本文认为,要保持我国商业银行业效率的不断提高,必须加快产权制度改革,适度压缩国有商业银行的规模,加快股份制商业银行的发展,改善商业银行的治理结构。     

我国商业银行引入境外战略投资者的法律问题探讨

我国国有商业银行股份制改革,自2003年底正式启动至今,除中国农业银行之外,中国工商银行、中国建设银行、中国银行和交通银行已经相继沿着"财务重组--消除历史包袱--建立现代公司治理机制和引进战略投资者--择机上市"改革路线图取得实质性进展.本文试从法律视角对国有商业银行引进战略投资者予以分析,望有助于随后跟进的中小商业银行引进战略投资者的改革进程.     

对农业银行保险代理业务加快发展的思考

为了适应国际竞争，增强国内银行业的竞争力，我国于2003年拉开了国有商业银行的股份制改革的序幕，通过国家政策扶持，自身财务重组，积极引入QFII机制，陆续完成了交、建、中等三家银行的股份制改造和上市，特别是随着近日工行的成功上市，国有商业银行的股改工作已取得实质性成果。此时，农业银行的改革问题更加成为社会各界备受关注的焦点，尽管“整体改制、择机上市”的整体思路已经明确，但股改前期各项准备工作仍然任重而道远。作为农业银行近年大力发展的中间业务品种，     

借鉴国际会计准则 推动国有商业银行改革

中国国有商业银行的财务重组和股份制改革是增强中国经济的稳健性、推动金融体制改革的关键举措。逐步将国际上通用的财务会计准则、透明度标准纳入中国市场，引导国有商业银行改革重组，是国有商业银行股份制改造并实现境内外上市的现实要求。中国人民银行和中国金融会计学会举办这次国际会计准则高级研讨会，具有非常积极的现实意义。借此机会，我谨结合中国国有商业银行改革的实际情况，就我国商业银行会计标准与国际会计准则接轨问题谈几点个人看法。     

我国国有商业银行改革效应评析——基于产权结构与市场结构之争

我国国有商业银行在整个金融业乃至国计民生中都占有极其重要的地位。当前如何提高我国国有银行业的绩效和竞争力,从而更好地促进经济发展,对于我国政府和银行业改革具有重要的现实意义。针对理论界对于商业银行改革的产权结构与市场结构之争,本文尝试以产权结构视角和市场结构视角的双重视角建立我国国有商业银行改革绩效评价体系。通过比对分析国有商业银行与股份制商业银行、城市商业银行经营绩效的差异,得出我国国有商业银行需要同时采取产权制度改革与市场结构改革的结论。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…