残差分析和邹突变点检验在股票市场上异常值检测的应用分析

异常值判断和检测理论经常应用在机械、工程、医学领域,在金融领域研究方面还是比较欠缺的.本文通过残差分析和邹突变点检验来判断和检测股票市场上的异常值点,并对异常值点的价值进行了说明.这些异常数据对股票市场的分析起了很大的作用.正确认识股票市场上的异常数据,有利于正确认识现象规律,对指导金融决策具有重要意义.     

我国电缆企业进行铜期货套期保值的实证分析

铜期货是上海期货交易所的主要交易品种。研究铜期货的套期保值策略对铜交易量大的企业具有重要意义。本文期货的套期保值原理对电缆企业的铜期货套期保值进行基本分析,并利用ECM模型测算最佳套期保值比率。最后提出了套期保值风险管理的措施和相应结论。     

外币代兑点管理难点与薄弱点分析

汇率并轨后，取消外汇券和境内外币计价结算，外币兑换代办点（简称代兑点）为适应外汇体制改革需要应运而生。随着我国经济不断对外开放，来华旅游、经商和官方来往等境外居民越来越多，代兑点的业务量日趋增加，但由于外汇管理部门对代兑点没有一套针对性的管理办法，银行只是在操作上根据双方自身业务情况,与代兑点合同或协议，因此这是我们管理上的一大薄弱环节。     

农民期货合作社经营模式创新研究--基于“期货点价+基差”视角

目前农民专业合作社利用期货市场的主要模式还停留在“套期保值+订单”模式,然而这种模式的价格波动风险仍然存在,同时也无法规避订单风险履约率低的弊端,因此在基差交易的基础上,提出“期货点价+基差”的创新模式,将价格风险转化为较小的基差风险,并能够保证实现完全的套期保值,同时以建立代表农户的棉花期货合作社为例具体描述涉棉企业、农户和期货合作社三方的操作流程,以及该模式的效果评价,最后提出相关政策建议。     

农民期货合作社经营模式创新研究——基于“期货点价+基差”视角

目前农民专业合作社利用期货市场的主要模式还停留在"套期保值+订单"模式,然而这种模式的价格波动风险仍然存在,同时也无法规避订单风险履约率低的弊端,因此在基差交易的基础上,提出"期货点价+基差"的创新模式,将价格风险转化为较小的基差风险,并能够保证实现完全的套期保值,同时以建立代表农户的棉花期货合作社为例具体描述涉棉企业、农户和期货合作社三方的操作流程,以及该模式的效果评价,最后提出相关政策建议。     

高职院校收支业务内部控制的风险点分析及防控

风险评估是内部控制体系中的重要环节,风险点是内部控制活动的主要对象,内部控制活动的目的就是通过控制措施,将风险控制在可接受范围内。收支业务作为内部控制的系统模块之一,是经济业务的重点控制目标。本文对高职院校收支业务的风险点进行分析,进而提出相应的防控措施。     

2009-2010年铝锭卖出套期保值机会分析

自2009年以来,铝行业出现较好地抛空套期保值的机会,现从当时的价格走势,宏观经济形势、财政和货币政策,铝市基本面情况,以及当时利多利空因素进行分析,总结铝锭价格下跌主要诱因,更好地指导以后铝锭行情分析预测和铝企业战略抛空套期保值操作。     

从人口学视角分析农村“撤点并校”

2001年国务院出台了《关于基础教育改革与发展的决定》,启动了农村地区新一轮中小学布局调整,也就是通常所称的"撤点并校"。"撤点并校"政策实施十多年来,各方对这一政策的认识无论是出发点还是实施效果都有很大差异。本文在对"撤点并校"进行人口因素分析的基础上,提出了"以学生为本、以质量为先、以规范为纲、以均衡为基、以人口为据"等政策建议。     

不符点经验谈

审单是一门艺术，它没有明确的是与不是，因此有些不符点往往会引起争议。不同的国家、不同的银行甚至不同的单证人员对于同一不符点的理解和把握都可能是不同的。审单也是一门技术活，需要单证人员长期的经验积累，在不符点审核的把握上也可以根据不同情况掌握不同尺度。     

机构参与股指期货套期保值的效果分析

股指期货上市以来运行情况良好,投资主体也在不断壮大,但是市场参与主体较单一,机构参与套期保值比例非常低,这将不利于股指期货发挥"减震"作用。文章通过对我国股指期货运行状况的介绍,利用回归分析方法,对机构参与股指期货套期保值的效果进行分析。结果表明机构参与股指期货进行套期保值,不仅在收益率不变的情况下,能减少收益率的波动性,而且还将有利于降低机构投资组合的系统性风险。     

Schlotzsky's gourmet deli franchise store#

This instructional case examines quantitative and qualitative information in the decision to acquire a franchise store of a Gourmet Deli chain. In particular, it illustrates to students how commonly requested quantitative information in practice, such as an income statement, needs to be tailored to the decision-making context. The case integrates and tests students' introductory understanding of income statements for managerial purposes, cost behaviour, break-even calculations, cost-benefit analysis, regression applications in management accounting, and corporate overhead cost allocations.     

The Effectiveness of Technical Trading for Arab Stocks

In this paper, we examine the profitability of technical analysis for a cross section of individual Arab stocks. Our analysis, undertaken from the perspective of an Islamic investor, reveals that technical trading rules do not yield economically or statistically significant returns. While our results uncover some scant statistical evidence of technical trading rule profitability, risk adjusting the returns weakens the evidence in favor of predictability. Furthermore, break-even transaction costs do not exceed estimated transaction costs or bid-ask spreads in the markets examined.     

基于价值投资的证券市场相关研究和回归分析以及应对策略

为了能够提高我国证券市场价值投资的应用水平,对我国证券市场价值投资进行实证研究,结果表明,我国证券市场仍是一种新兴的证券市场,处于由非有效市场向弱有效市场的转型中。随着上市公司质量的不断提升,价值投资策略将成为证券市场的主流形式。     

Cambridge Business Conferences: A Case Study of Strategic Cost Analysis

This case follows Shank, and Govindarajan (1988)in developing a scenario which provides opportunities for both “relevant cost” and “strategic” analyses. The case focuses on the use of relevant costs in a practical decision-making framework. It requires a distinction between fixed, variable, sunk and discretionary costs and a facility with break-even analysis. Further, it highlights the importance of economic and marketing reality to cost-based decisions.     

从信贷评审角度看新会计准则对企业财务分析的影响

财政部于2006年初发布的新<企业会计准则>已成为我国会计制度的一项重大改革.新准则的发布与实施对企业会计核算做了一系列新的规定;同时,对企业财务信息的使用者,尤其是对作为债权人的银行如何在新准则下解读企业财务信息提出了新的要求.本文从新<企业会计准则>制定的背景及主要特点出发,站在银行信贷评审的角度,重点阐述了新旧准则/制度的差异,解析了其对企业财务分析产生的主要影响,并对银行信贷审查时使用和理解新<企业会计准则>做了如下建议,包括对不同企业按不同标准进行财务分析、对企业不同时期数据要加以判别、对公允价值运用的合理性加以区别等.     

Cost-benefit analysis of single-family foreclosure alternatives

Over the last ten years, single-family mortgage lenders have become more aware of the financial benefits of finding alternatives to foreclosure for borrowers who default on their mortgage obligations. In this article, expected costs of foreclosure alternatives are parameterized to solve for minimum probabilities of borrower success necessary to make pursuing them profitable for lenders. These break-even probabilities are found to be very insensitive to changes in a variety of factors, including interest-rate environments and time horizons. Simulations are performed across house-price-deflation scenarios, loan-to-value ratios, and post-default cure rates. Stochastic processes are introduced through time distributions for foreclosure processing, property disposition, and house-price appreciation.     

On break-even correlation: the way to price structured credit derivatives by replication

We consider the pricing of European-style structured credit pay-off under the Gaussian Copula Model (GCM). When no sudden jump-to-default events occur, the perfect replication of these pay-offs under the GCM is obtained if and only if the underlying single-name credit spreads follow a particular family of dynamics and if the pricing parameters are given by so-called ‘break-even’ correlations. We exhibit a class of Merton-style models that are consistent with this result. We calculate break-even correlations explicitly to price nth-to-default baskets under the GCM. Finally, we illustrate the usefulness of this concept as a relative-value tool.     

Investment-Based Cost Accounting as a Fundamental Basis of Decision-Oriented Management Accounting

Decision making concerns over cost allocations, especially common cost allocations, have a long history. They are well canvassed in Thomas (1969 ) and Wells (1978 ). This article revisits the cost allocation debate, albeit in a new setting, and rehearses arguments relevant to long- and short-term decision contexts. Here a means is proposed to address those problems, namely to adopt the investment-based approach to cost accounting. This approach draws on ideas of Hotelling (1925 ), Preinreich (1938 ) and Schneider (1961 ), and applies the notion of net present value in another setting, namely to cost accounting theory. Research has revealed no discussion of this in the Anglo-American literature. This article shows analytically that the investment-based approach offers a general basis for decision-oriented cost accounting, as it combines investment theory with cost accounting and thereby connects long-term with short-term decisions. While reviewing primarily European literature, it also examines several Anglo-American works. The analysis reveals how for three classical decision problems—production program planning, purchase order lot sizes, and break-even price limits—two different types of costs, namely depreciation and material costs, have to be based on cash flows and net present value. The proposed investment-based approach permits an examination of the extent to which cost accounting concepts and cost information are relevant to those decisions. This theoretical concept is used to derive pertinent cost dimensions and to solve traditional problems of cost allocation. A caution is that the investment approach is limited to decision facilitating cost accounting. Whether it may be possible to couple it with agency theory and its focus on decision influencing has not been explored and is an issue for further research.     

中国金融税制现状、税负测算及成因分析

伴随着我国改革开放的不断深化,金融业得以迅速发展,但同时面临着许多困难和挑战,其中金融税制已逐渐成为金融业纵深发展的重要瓶颈之一。本文在对我国金融税制现状分析的基础上,对金融税收负担进行了较为全面的测算,并深入分析了税负变化的不利因素,以寻找改革与完善我国金融税制的有效路径。     

价值链分析中作业成本法的应用--一个案例的启示

公司间的关系给管理会计带来了新的课题,如何提供信息以达到协调和优化供应链上的企业之间的活动就成为其中一个挑战.价值链分析就是解决这个问题的一种方法.但是,在实际运用中利用价值链分析来解决这个问题还鲜有报道.本文拟以介绍英国零售企业森伯利公司及其36家供应商为例,以作业成本法来支持价值链管理的运用,以期对我国进一步研究价值链会计有所启示.