中国战略性新兴产业发展与金融支持的动态关联——基于沪深A股上市公司的经验数据

金融是现代经济的核心,战略性新兴产业发展离不开金融支持。以近三年七大战略新兴产业400多家上市公司季度数据为基础,通过面板数据协整分析和格兰杰因果检验探讨两者之间的动态关联。结果显示：金融支持对战略性新兴产业发展具有正效应,金融机构的支持力度提高1%,战略性新兴产业发展水平将提高0.76%。短期内两者呈现单向因果关系,金融支持是战略性新兴产业发展的原因,在长期两者互为因果关系。     

金融支持文化产业的成效、存在问题及相关建议——基于通化市的实际调查

党的十七届六中全会审议通过了《中共中央关于深化文化体制改革推动社会主义文化大发展大繁荣若干重大问题的决定》,提出＂把文化产业建设成为国民经济支柱性产业,切实加大金融对文化产业的政策扶持力度＂,这为文化产业的发展迎来了新的机遇。近期我们对通化市金融支持文化产业发展状况进行了专题调研,调查显示：金融支持文化产业作用正在显现,金融创新亟待加强。     

Financial inclusion and gross capital formation: A sectoral analysis approach for the MENA region and EMs

Most Middle East and North Africa (MENA) governments have firmly committed to financial inclusion as part of a progressive agenda. In this, their objective is to improve the allocation of resources across small and medium firms. Indeed, empirical literature has quantitatively shown that financial inclusion improves nations' aggregate measures of economic success such as growth or inequality. But we know very little of its effects on sectoral variates. This paper contributes to the literature by estimating and comparing the effects of financial inclusion on the relative size of gross capital formation of low-tech sectors in the MENA region. We use a panel of 3-digit level sectoral data on approximately 34 manufacturing industries of the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) for eleven MENA countries and twelve emerging markets (EMs) within the period 2005–2016. The paper focuses in four measures of financial inclusion commonly used in the literature of development: size of commercial bank branches, ATMs, borrowers, and depositors. The results suggest that financial inclusion in MENA has a positive, statistically significant effect on the size of gross capital formation in the low R&D-intensity industries. Thus, policy considerations can be directed towards expanding financial services to other low-tech industries including fabricated metal products and to the medium tech division including repair and installation of machinery and equipment industries. This policy will have greater impact on gross capital formation and, thereby, economic growth.     

普惠金融与农村产业融合发展的耦合协同关系及动态演进

基于2008-2018年中国30个省份的面板数据,测算普惠金融与农村产业融合发展的耦合协调度,并采用Dagum基尼系数、核密度估计和马尔科夫链分析法研究系统耦合协调度的区域差异及分布动态演进趋势.结果表明:当前中国普惠金融和农村产业融合发展水平整体偏低,大多数省份普惠金融与农村产业融合发展的耦合协调度处于勉强协调或中度协调,两个系统的协调状态主要表现为普惠金融相对滞后;普惠金融与农村产业融合发展的耦合协调度存在较大区域差异,地区相对差异和地区绝对差异都随着农村产业融合发展试点推进而逐渐缩小.     

金融支持新兴产业发展的调查与思考

近年来,我国高度重视战略性新兴产业发展并取得了长足发展,但仍存在着各地发展不平衡、产业有待进一步升级、融资难度大等问题。对于金融部门如何支持战略性新兴产业发展壮大仍是摆在我们面前的重要课题,有待于我们进一步研究与思索。本文以吉林省松原市近年来战略性新兴产业发展状况为基础依据,探究战略性新兴产业发展过程中存在的问题,从金融角度提出相关对策建议以此来促进战略性新兴产业的发展壮大。     

金融支持对战略性新兴产业发展的影响——基于中国上市公司的实证分析

基于柯布-道格拉斯生产函数的理论分析,建立面板数据模型并采用上市公司财务数据,实证分析了金融支持对中国战略性新兴产业发展的影响作用。结果表明：以资本市场为主导的直接金融体系相对于以银行信贷为主导的间接金融体系的正向支持作用更为稳健;固定资产净额和无形资产净额对战略性新兴产业发展的不同方面呈现出不同的影响作用;劳动投入水平对战略性新兴产业发展产生显著的正效应。     

金融支持新疆文化产业发展的思考

党中央国务院高度重视文化产业发展,努力将文化产业发展成为国民经济支柱产业。金融支持对文化产业的发展,意义重大。本文分析了新形势下金融支持新疆文化产业的必要性和可行性,指出了金融支持文化中存在的困难及问题,并针对问题提出了支持文化产业跨越式发展的对策。     

Financial development and innovation: Cross-country evidence

We examine how financial market development affects technological innovation. Using a large data set that includes 32 developed and emerging countries and a fixed effects identification strategy, we identify economic mechanisms through which the development of equity markets and credit markets affects technological innovation. We show that industries that are more dependent on external finance and that are more high-tech intensive exhibit a disproportionally higher innovation level in countries with better developed equity markets. However, the development of credit markets appears to discourage innovation in industries with these characteristics. Our paper provides new insights into the real effects of financial market development on the economy.     

艺术品与银行信贷的有效对接：潍坊银行案例

文化产业是我国亟需发展的产业。九部门曾联合制定出台了《关于金融支持文化产业振兴和发展繁荣的指导意见》,倡导各金融部门大力推进金融与文化产业的对接。潍坊银行抓住机遇,先行先试,通过构建“四位一体”的多层次契约关系,对艺术品质押贷款存在的定价保真、变现、担保和托管四个技术性难题实现了突破,成功发放了全国首笔艺术品质押贷款,完成了艺术品与银行贷款的有效对接。这一金融创新为文化产业迅速发展提供了强力、可持续的金融支持。     

Sources of gains from international portfolio diversification

This paper looks at the determinants of country and industry specific factors in international portfolio returns using a sample of forty eight countries and thirty nine industries over the last three decades. Country factors have remained relatively stable over the sample period while industry factors have significantly increased during the last decade and dropped again since 2000. The importance of industry and country factors is correlated with measures of economic and financial international integration and development. We find that financial market globalization is the main driving force behind the changes in relative magnitude of the different shocks. Country factors are smaller for countries integrated in world financial markets and have declined as the degree of financial integration and the number of countries pursuing financial liberalization has increased. Higher international financial integration within an industry increases the importance of industry factors in explaining returns. Economic integration of production also helps in explaining returns. Countries with a more specialized production activity have higher country shocks.     

金融集聚的区域差异及影响因素的空间计量分析

运用空间计量方法,利用31省市2005~2010年的相关数据对我国金融产业集聚的影响因素进行实证研究,研究表明：中国金融产业存在不断增强的正向空间自相关性与空间集聚性,邻接地区的金融产业集聚具有溢出效应;资源禀赋能部分解释中国金融产业区域集聚,在控制新经济地理与产业政策因素影响下,资源禀赋因素对金融产业集聚的影响不再显著;新经济地理变量和产业政策变量对金融集聚有正的促进作用;中国金融产业区域差异明显,呈现东高西低的分布格局。     

2010年河南省金融稳定报告

2010年,面对复杂的国际国内经济环境,河南省辖区金融业总体保持了健康平稳发展.银行业继续保持良好运行趋势,不良贷款持续"双降",盈利能力不断增强,防范和化解风险能力进一步增强.证券业呈现加快发展态势,市场经营主体数量快速增加,上市公司质量显著提高.保险业市场运行安全稳健,经营效益明显改善,市场秩序持续向好.金融市场运行总体平稳,货币市场业务稳步发展.金融服务基础设施建设稳步推进,金融生态环境建设长效机制进一步确立,为促进河南经济金融健康发展、维护区域金融稳定提供了重要保障.然而,辖区金融业稳定运行面临的困难和挑战仍然较多,经济发展方式转变和结构调整压力更为突出,尤其在宏观调控政策效应进一步释放、流动性趋紧、不确定因素增多的情况下,金融运行中的新旧问题和潜在风险应引起足够重视.     

Financial Ratio Adjustment: Industry-Wide Effects or Strategic Management

This paper proposes an alternative model for analyzing financial ratio behavior. The model postulates that (1) firms' financial ratios reflect unexpected changes in industry conditions; and (2) managers attempt to move their financial ratio toward the long-run desirable target. This model is employed to assess the relative weights of financial ratio movement that are associated with these two forces. The results show that changes in financial ratios can be due to both external shocks and strategic adjustment by management. The amount of financial ratio smoothing due to strategic adjustment appears to be substantial. Furthermore, the speed of convergence toward the optimal targets varies across industries and firms of different size.     

我国金融运行状况和未来改革与发展策略

本文总结了中国金融业改革与发展的成绩和经验,指出在后危机时期,金融业面临的机遇和挑战。今后将进一步深化金融改革和扩大开放,充分发挥市场在金融资源配置中的基础性作用,促进国民经济又好又快地发展。     

金融发展、汇率变动与中国省区制造业出口

本文使用中国省区细分行业的数据和一系列反映金融发展的指标,检验了金融发展对于中国省区制造业出口的影响,同时观测了汇率变动对于各省区行业出口绩效的影响。在控制了各省区要素禀赋以及基础设施条件后发现,在金融发展水平高的省份,高融资依赖性的行业具有较高的出口份额。此外,金融发展有利于融资依赖性行业抵御外部汇率冲击带来的负面影响,扩大市场份额。在选取工具变量以及采取IVTobit模型克服模型的内生性后,结果依然稳健。     

Technology and Financial Development

The growth benefits from financial development are known to vary across industries. However, no systematic effort has been made to determine the technological characteristics shared by industries that grow relatively faster in more financially developed economies. Using the standard growth‐theoretic definition of technology in terms of the production function, we explore a range of technological characteristics that theory suggests might underpin differences across industries in the need or the ability to raise external finance. We find that industries that grow faster in more financially developed countries display greater R&D intensity and investment lumpiness, indicating that well‐functioning financial markets direct resources toward industries where growth is driven by R&D.     

Determinants of Vertical Integration: Financial Development and Contracting Costs

We study the determinants of vertical integration in a new data set of over 750,000 firms from 93 countries. We present a number of theoretical predictions on the interactions between financial development, contracting costs, and the extent of vertical integration. Consistent with these predictions, contracting costs and financial development by themselves appear to have no effect on vertical integration. However, we find greater vertical integration in countries that have both greater contracting costs and greater financial development. We also show that countries with greater contracting costs are more vertically integrated in more capital-intensive industries.     

Capital account liberalization, financial development and industry growth: A synthetic view

This paper synthesizes studies analyzing the effects of capital account liberalization on industry growth while controlling for financial crises, domestic financial development and the strength of institutions. We find evidence that financial openness has positive effects on the growth of financially dependent industries, although these growth-enhancing effects evaporate during financial crises. Further analysis indicates that the positive effects of capital account liberalization are limited to countries with relatively well-developed financial systems, good accounting standards, strong creditor rights and rule of law. It suggests that countries must reach a certain threshold in terms of institutional and economic development before they can expect to benefit from capital account liberalization.     

浙江金融业的产业功能定位分析

本文运用投入产出法及相关统计指标,分析了浙江金融业在经济发展中的功能及其与其他产业的关联性.结果表明,浙江金融业对GDP、税收、就业等关键经济发展指标有显著贡献,金融产业后向推动作用突出,与第三产业关联性强,行业增加值高.浙江应当将金融业作为一个重要的战略性产业来发展.     

金融支持促进高技术产业技术创新成效的区域性差异研究

基于随机效应面板泊松回归模型,考量不同类型的金融支持措施对我国东、中、西区域高技术产业技术创新活动的影响。结果表明：政府的资金支持促进了东、中、西各区域高技术产业的技术创新,资本市场的金融支持只对东、中部区域的高技术产业的技术创新有促进作用,金融机构的金融支持只对西部区域的高技术产业技术创新有促进作用,金融支持对高技术产业技术创新的作用存在显著的区域性差异。通过加大政府支持的力度和体现区域差异、建设西部地区资本市场发展的共享机制、提升金融机构风险管理技术水平等措施可以提升金融支持促进高技术产业技术创新的效果。