中国实时金融状况指数的构建

金融状况指数(FCI)综合了多个金融变量的信息,能够比单个指标更全面、直观地反映金融市场的整体运行情况。基于动态因子模型直接利用混频数据测算我国的实时FCI,突破了传统方法要求数据频度一致的限制,从而大大增强了FCI的时效性,使FCI具备金融市场流动性指示器的功能。实证研究表明,改进后的FCI能够揭示近年来我国货币政策的松紧程度,其走势比CPI月同比领先7个月,对通胀的预测效果优于其构成变量。     

企业物流质量成本体系构建

文章以PAF质量成本模型为基础,通过分析质量成本的构成要素和企业物流质量的影响因素,提出企业物流质量成本核算指标,构建出物流质量成本体系,作为企业核算和控制物流质量成本的依据。研究结果有助于企业实现物流质量保障与成本控制的均衡和协调,使企业为提高物流质量而引起的质量成本达到一个最佳水平,使企业的竞争力和经济效益得以提高。     

中国多机制门限金融状况指数编制及应用

研究目标：实证编制及应用中国多机制门限金融状况指数(MR-TFCI)。研究方法：通过拓展构建了多机制门限向量自回归(MR-TVAR)模型和MR-TFCI的多机制门限编制公式，从经济增长(RG)目标出发，选取5个金融变量，测算四个机制的广义脉冲响应函数值，编制了中国MR-TFCI，并比较其与 2机制门限FCI(2R-TFCI)和1机制线性FCI(1R-FCI)的优劣。研究发现：与2R-TFCI和1R-FCI相比，MR-TFCI是RG更优的先行、相关性、因果性和预测指标；中国货币政策调控经济增长的效应和传导渠道具有门限特征；中国货币政策调控经济增长的方式类型是价格和数量结合型的。研究创新：构建了MR-TVAR模型和MR-FCI的多机制门限编制公式，编制了首个多机制门限金融状况指数。研究价值：为中国政府部门实施货币政策和实体经济进行投融资决策提供了科学决策依据。     

基于价值创造的虚拟企业稳定性研究

虚拟企业是介于企业和市场的商业组织形式,是各种商业利益相关者的一种合作形式,在克服了企业组织刚性的同时,也产生了稳定性问题。敏捷性和稳定性就是虚拟企业中的一对张力,二者间的均衡变动可能改变联盟现状。从敏捷性与稳定性的二维视角,构建以敏捷性和稳定性为基础,以协作性为支柱的三位一体的虚拟企业相对均衡模型,可以实现虚拟企业的最佳稳定性。     

榨菜中亚硝酸盐提取工艺的研究

本文选取市场中常见的榨菜为测定样品,以亚硝酸盐的含量为测定指标,筛选提取亚硝酸盐最佳工艺条件.通过单因素试验,料液比、水浴锅温度、浸泡时间对样品中亚硝酸盐提取量的研究,确定最佳提取量的范围.在单因素的基础上进行正交试验,得到榨菜中亚硝酸盐提取的最佳工艺条件为:A2B3C1,,即水浴锅温度50℃、水浴锅时间25min、料液比1:7.在此条件下测得榨菜中的亚硝酸盐的含量是2.850mg/kg.     

AUC-RF指标筛选方法在财务预警中的应用

本文介绍基于随机森林算法的AUC-RF指标筛选方法。以224家制造业上市公司为样本,利用AUC-RF方法构建财务预警指标体系。通过实验对比,说明该方法较传统的显著性相关性指标筛选方法具有明显优势,并且该方法能度量出指标的重要程度。     

基于供求定理的卷烟市场批发价格形成探讨

在重点卷烟品牌在全国市场快速发展的时期,作为检验品牌运行质量的市场批发价格指标显得愈发重要。文章应用经济理论中的供求定理对卷烟市场上的供求关系变化进行分析,并构建出市场批发价格形成均衡模型,以此作为研究市场批发价格的形成和变动机制。     

基于经济适应性的公路网均衡发展评价

针对目前公路网发展情况,从公路交通与经济社会的经济适应性角度出发,建立了公路网规模适应性和结构适应性的均衡发展评价指标体系,并应用弹性系数法对指标进行量化;同时,参照目前国际上应用比较广泛的计算分配均衡程度指数的方法 -基尼系数与洛伦兹曲线,构建了公路网均衡发展评价方法以及评判标准;最后,以我国中部六省为例进行实证研究,研究结果表明建立的评价指标体系以及评价方法可以用于公路网均衡发展评价工作,并具有一定的应用价值。     

生态产品质量评估体系的构建思路

在辨析生态产品和优质生态产品内涵的基础上,参考国内外生态环境相关评估体系,可确定生态产品质量评估体系的筛选指标和构建原则,提出构建这一体系的基本思路。依托生态产品质量评估体系,可以进一步建立考虑生态产品质量差异的生态补偿标准体系,构建生态产品市场交易规则,完善绿色产品市场管理体系,建立以生态产品质量为核心的绩效考核制度。     

区块链防范财务舞弊行为的动态博弈分析

首先通过构建传统信息技术下财务舞弊的动态博弈模型,探究传统信息技术下企业内部控制缺陷和诱发外部审计与企业合谋的因素,然后引入区块链技术,构建基于区块链的财务舞弊动态博弈模型。研究发现:区块链技术能够从内部控制和外部审计两个方面防范财务舞弊的发生;引入区块链技术后,审计市场不存在传统信息技术下混同于低风险信息的混合均衡,而将达到传统信息技术下难以实现的分离均衡。运用区块链技术能够有效遏制财务舞弊的发生,将大量高风险上市公司从资本市场清除,降低资本市场的整体风险,此外,资本市场的净化也降低了审计市场的风险,从而减轻了低风险上市公司的审计费用负担,这为完善财务舞弊治理提供了新的思路。     

Development in Information and Communications Technology (ICT) Statistics at the Australian Bureau of Statistics

This paper outlines the ICT statistical developments that the ABS has undertaken over recent years. These developments have been on both the supply side (ICT industry) and the demand side (use of IT by sector). The content of ABS ICT surveys has changed significantly over the last few years and are expected to develop further in line with industry changes and emerging policy needs.
Recent developments in household collections have been the inclusion of IT use questions in the 2001 Census of Population and Housing and in various ABS social surveys such as Children's Participation in Culture and Leisure Activities. Annual business IT use surveys are now conducted and include topics such as Internet commerce and IT security. Biennial ICT industry surveys are conducted to provide data on ICT production, imports and exports, ICT industry employment, performance and structure information. An Internet activity survey is run every six months and provides regional Internet access details and infrastructure details on Internet service providers.
A major development for 2002–03 will be the compilation of an ICT satellite account. ABS intends to produce an ICT Information Development Plan to guide its future statistical development work in the ICT field.     

Incumplimiento del salario mínimo en Europa central y oriental

En este estudio se analiza el incumplimiento del salario mínimo durante el periodo 2003–2012 en diez países de Europa central y oriental con salario mínimo obligatorio nacional. A partir de los datos de EU‐SILC y la metodología propuesta por Bhorat, Kanbur y Mayet (2013), se cuantifica la incidencia y magnitud del incumplimiento. Se realizan análisis de regresión sobre determinantes individuales, laborales y macroeconómicos. Aunque la incidencia permanece relativamente baja, los trabajadores a los que se dirigen las políticas de salario mínimo parecen los más expuestos a su incumplimiento. Con el tiempo, una mayor incidencia se asocia a una razón más alta entre salario mínimo y salario medio.     

Value at Risk in the Suburbs: Eminent Domain and the Geographical Politics of the US Foreclosure Crisis

Several US counties and local governments have recently considered a novel solution to the foreclosure crisis. They plan to use eminent domain to compel the owners of mortgage debt—and specifically of private‐label mortgage‐backed securities—to sell the debt to the government at a price reflecting the loan's market value. The government would then restructure the debt and resell it to new investors. The plans are striking because—in contrast to both development‐driven eminent domain and the federal subprime bank bailout—they would force investors to assume asset devaluation and increased long‐term risk. Notably, the plans have emerged as an instance of financialization‐focused politics in suburbs and suburban cities of color, specifically majority‐black and ‐Latino/a suburbs. Local support for the plans, we argue, is rooted in the long‐term disinvestment of these ‘suburbs of exception', which became targets of subprime lending and eventually sites where the ‘financial exception' has been localized. But these demographic shifts, fragmentation and fiscal pressures have at the same time created a suburban political terrain in which the plans have gained their strongest political support.     

Towards a Theory of Serendipity: A Systematic Review and Conceptualization

Serendipity – the notion of making surprising and valuable discoveries – plays a major role in the success of individuals and organizations alike. Previous research has established the importance of serendipity and identified important individual- and organizational-level antecedents. However, the literature has been dispersed and the boundaries of the concept have been blurry, leading to a lack of conceptual clarity and structure, and thus limiting validity and managerial actionability. Based on a systematic literature review, I synthesize existing management-related research on serendipity and explicate the emergence and composition of serendipity in the organizational context. I first identify three necessary conditions that differentiate serendipity from related concepts such as luck or targeted innovation: agency, surprise, and value. Then, I draw from the literature on sensemaking, event-based theorizing, and quantum-based approaches to management to conceptualize the process of cultivating serendipity in the organizational context as a process of enabling potentiality and materialization, and develop a multi-level theory of (cultivating) serendipity. This conceptualization contributes to our collective understanding of how, why, and when (i.e., under what conditions) organizations can leverage the value in the unexpected, which opens up fruitful avenues for further research.     

Accountability of NGOs in Bangladesh A critical overview

NGOs in Bangladesh have been recognized as effective change agents in the socio-economic arena throughout the world. Their contributions in micro credit, non-formal education and primary health care are widely known. NGOs play a significant role in society. NGO accountability, as a result, has become a critical issue. NGO accountability in Bangladesh has been examined here in relation to patrons, clients and themselves. Of the three relationships only accountability to patrons is in a near satisfactory state. Accountability to clients is handicapped by lack of opportunities of beneficiaries to participate meaningfully in NGO policy making. Accountability to themselves is adversely affected due to the adherence to a strictly hierarchical system and the influence of founding and charismatic NGO leaders.     

Towards an Asian model of human resource management? A comparative analysis of China,Japan and South Korea

There has been much discussion regarding the possible decline and weakening of national systems of human resource management (HRM). Yet, culture and institutions are often cited as the major stumbling blocks to this outcome. Such constraints may dissipate in the analysis, particularly if ‘regional clusters’ are considered where geographic and cultural closeness and ‘openness’ to similar economic pressures exist. In such cases, it might be postulated that convergence in HRM will occur. We argue that China, Japan and South Korea represent such a cluster. This article examines these countries, to see if a degree of convergence is taking place and if it is towards an identifiable ‘Asian’ model of HRM. A model of change is presented that distinguishes between levels of occurrence and acceptance. Details of the development and practice of HRM in each country are then set out. The article ends with a discussion and implications section and a brief conclusion.     

Cultural Economy Planning in Creative Cities: Discourse and Practice

While a growing body of research analyses the functional mechanisms of the cultural or creative economy, there has been little attention devoted to understanding how local governments translate this work into policy. Moreover, research in this vein focuses predominately on Richard Florida's creative class thesis rather than considering the wider body of work that may influence policy. This article seeks to develop a deeper understanding of how municipalities conceptualize and plan for the cultural economy through the lens of two cities held up as model ‘creative cities’ — Austin, Texas and Toronto, Ontario. The work pays particular attention to how the cities adopt and adapt leading theories, strategies and discourses of the cultural economy. While policy documents indicate that the cities embrace the creative city model, in practice agencies tend to adapt conventional economic development strategies for cultural economy activity and appropriate the language of the creative city for multiple purposes.     

Input/output ranges and performance: an examination of US machine tool producers

Despite the establishment of high-tech multinational enterprises (MNEs) in Ireland since the late 1950s, the country did not succeed in closing the technological gap with most of its EU counterparts. The weak National System of Innovation (NSI), and in particular low business and government R&D levels, combined with a lack of research and technology linkages between MNEs and indigenous firms, explain these poor results. However, the Shannon region in the West of the country presents some specific institutional characteristics that could theoretically make the region a strong technological enclave. The various actors in the region - i.e. the administrative, financial, political and research institutions, as well as the business organizations - have indeed infused a new type of economic development. After a brief review of the available concepts and models articulated around these actors and their interrelationships, the paper analyses whether the Shannon region, taken as an illustrative example, mirrors a specific economic and technological localized setting. The study is based on a survey of indigenous and foreign firms.     

Sixty years of discrimination and diversity research in human resource management: A review with suggestions for future research directions

This article reviews discrimination and diversity research published in Human Resource Management (HRM) over the past 60 years. While discrimination and diversity are very different constructs, it is often informative to study them together, because when people recognize each other's diversity, this can result in bias, stereotyping, and discrimination. We conducted bibliographic searches for terms related to discrimination and diversity as well as a manual search through every title and abstract published in HRM over the last 60 years to assess article relevance. The search resulted in 135 research articles with 136 unique studies (i.e., samples) which are reviewed in this article. Sex and race are the demographics that have been examined the most in HRM, while religion has been examined the least. Moreover, the number of studies examining lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, and queer (LGBTQ) employees in the workplace in HRM has grown quickly within the past 10 years, culminating in a recent meta‐analysis. Our review looks at some of the earliest research published, the most recent research published, and the overall trends we identified in the research over the years for both discrimination and diversity articles. We then make future research suggestions and recommendations to advance the study of discrimination and diversity in the coming years.     

Multinomial distributions applied to random sampling of particulate materials

When sampling a batch consisting of particulate material, the distribution of a sample estimator can be characterized using knowledge about the sample drawing process. With Bernoulli sampling, the number of particles in the sample is binomially distributed. Because this is rarely realized in practice, we propose a sampling design in which the possible samples have a nearly equal mass. Expected values and variances of the sample estimator are calculated. It is shown that the sample estimator becomes identical to the Horvitz–Thompson estimator in the case of a large batch-to-sample mass ratio and a large sample mass. Simulations and experiments were performed to test the theory. Simulations confirm that the round-off error due to the discrete nature of particles is negligible for large sample sizes. Sampling experiments were carried out with a mixture of PolyPropylene (PP) and PolyTetraFluorEthylene (PTFE) spheres suspended in a viscous medium. The measured and theoretical variations are in good agreement.