邮政储蓄转存款利率调整后对农村资金的影响

自2003年8月1日起，人民银行调整邮政储蓄转存款利率，按照金融机构准备金存款利率1．89％计息；邮政储蓄新增存款由邮政储蓄机构自主运用，可进入银行间市场参与债券买卖或在商业银行、农村信用社办理大额协议存款等。这在一定程度上解决了邮政储蓄转存款与央行再贷款利率倒挂这一问题。     

邮政储蓄存在的问题和建议

近两年来，人民银行连续出台了对邮政储蓄转存款的一些改革措施，2003年8月1日对邮政储蓄实行新老存款划段，老的邮政储蓄转存款实行年利率4．131％，新存款年利率为1．89％；2005年9月21日实行邮政储蓄老存款账户余额分5年转出政策。这些措施的出台，使邮政储蓄转存款利率和管理方式发生重大变化，邮政储蓄资金的运作模式主要依赖于转存至央行靠央行支付高额利息的格局被打破，对邮政储蓄资金运营、邮政储蓄管理产生了一定的影响。     

邮政储蓄经营中的问题及建议

近期,我们针对辖区邮政汇兑资金往来核算以及邮政储蓄对辖区经济发展的影响等问题进行了调查.邮政储蓄转存款增长出现增缓趋势,对辖区金融机构经营影响甚微.     

邮政储蓄改革面临的问题及应对措施

一、邮政储蓄改革受困的几大问题 1.邮政储蓄获利空间不断缩小，部分网点面临生存危机。2003年9月1日，央行对邮政储蓄存款实行划段计息，邮政储蓄为寻求较高资金收益，对超出2003年8月1日人民银行转存款余额部分采用了上存省邮政局的办法，省邮政局按照2．7％的利率按季计付利息，仍低于此前人民银行4．131％的转存款利率1．431个百分点。     

基层邮政储蓄运行中值得注意的几个现象

<正>一、对转资金,套取利差一是“新账户”变成“过渡户”。由于邮政汇兑业务与储蓄业务是混合经营,汇兑资金账户透支的利率是 2．775％,而邮政储蓄转存款老存款户的利率是 4．131％,两者存在着利率倒挂,邮政部门当然地利用邮政汇兑资金往来账户透支,将汇兑资金转入邮储转存款“新账户”来确保邮储转存款“老账户”余额不下降,以此对转资金达到套取利差目的。二是“转存款”变成“调剂款”。据调查,邮储部门从新账户上存和调入资金频繁。邮储部门一要缴存备付金到省邮政储汇局资金清算中心,同时也可从省邮政储汇局资金清算中心     

对邮政储蓄转存款利息支出真实性的调查与思考

近年来,随着邮政储蓄业务的不断发展,邮政部门在人民银行的转存款规模呈大幅度递增趋势.目前,邮政储蓄转存款已成为人民银行的主要负债项目,邮政储蓄转存款利息支出已成为影响人民银行财务成果的主要因素之一.为了确保财务成果的真实性,切实加强财务管理,近期人行兰州中心支行组织开展了邮政储蓄转存款利息支出真实性专项调查活动.调查反映出邮政部门在办理邮政储蓄业务中存在一些较严重的违规违纪问题,需进一步采取措施加强管理,使其健康发展.     

邮政储蓄转存款利率调整后的影响

2003年9月1日，人总行颁布了《中国人民银行关于邮政储蓄转存款利率有关问题的通知》，大幅度降低邮政储蓄转存款利率，在金融机构中乃至社会上引起较大反响。     

对邮政储蓄业务的思考

2003年以来，人民银行对邮政储蓄转存款利率进行了两次下调，其目的是促使邮政储蓄机构逐步建立起自主经营、自我发展的经营模式。使邮政储蓄转存款不再存在利息优势，盈利能力明显降低。近两年邮政部门虽然开办了许多种中间业务，但起点低、发展慢、品种少、范围窄、更新慢，无论从指导思想上还是具体业务开拓上都存在着一定差距。     

对加强邮政储蓄监管工作的思考

一、邮政储蓄目前在经营中存在的主要问题 (一)混业经营,资金混合使用.在目前邮政体制下,邮政部门既经营邮政储蓄业务,又经营邮政汇兑业务,且未实行分账经营和分业考核,资金使用上界限不清,存在捆绑现象,经营出现挤占、挪用或套取汇兑资金用于转邮政存款的违规问题.     

海南省邮政储蓄转存款利率执行情况的分析

近年来,海南省邮政储蓄业务发展迅猛,储蓄存款余额已越居全省各金融机构储蓄存款余额的第四位。由于邮政储蓄转存款利率较高,引发了邮政储蓄存款利差收入的高增长势头,利差收入占整个邮政业务收入的比例也不断增长。本文对邮政储蓄业务基本情况、邮政储蓄转存款利率大幅下调后,社会各界的反应及邮政储蓄转存款业务中存在的问题、对策和建议展开探讨。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…