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1.
对外贸易对经济增长的促进作用因不同的经济条件而有所不同。运用协整理论和误差修正模型,利用广东省1987到2005年的年度数据,对广东省的对外贸易和经济增长之间的长短期关系进行了实证检验。结果表明,广东省的经济增长和进口、出口之间存在着长期的稳定关系,在长期内,不但出口对广东省的经济增长有积极贡献,进口贸易同样对广东省的经济增长具有很强的促进作用。研究结果还表明,短期内存在出口到经济增长的单向因果关系,在长期则存在进口到经济增长的单向因果关系。依据实证检验的结果和相关理论分析,提出了重视、改善出口,扩大、优化进口的政策建议。  相似文献   

2.
中国农产品对外贸易与经济增长关系的协整分析   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
以国家统计局和中国海关总署发布的1984~2004年度统计数据为依据,采用协整分析技术,对中国农产品对外贸易与经济增长的关系进行了实证分析。实证结果表明:从长期看,我国经济增长与农产品出口、进口和农产品贸易之间存在长期稳定的关系,农产品出口明显地促进GDP的增长,而农产品进口对经济增长影响不显著。从短期关系来看,农产品出口和进口共同对经济增长起促进作用。同时针对我国农产品对外贸易发展中存在的问题,提出了相应的对策建议。  相似文献   

3.
本文利用深圳市1983-2004年的数据,对深圳市出口、进口与经济增长之间的关系进行了协整分析,格兰杰因果检验,并根据格兰杰定理建立了三者之间的误差修正模型。协整分析结果表明,出口、进口与GDP存在长期均衡关系;格兰杰因果检验表明GDP是进出口增加的原因,进出口增长不是GDP增长的原因;从增长率的角度来看,出口对GDP的增长具有更强的促进作用,而进口对GDP的增长的促进作用并不明显。  相似文献   

4.
湖北省对外贸易与经济增长关系的实证分析   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
以湖北省1981-2006年数据为样本,分别运用统计方法和计量方法分析了湖北省对外贸易与经济增长的关系。基本结论包括:湖北省货物出口和进口对经济增长的作用表现得并不稳定且不明显,产业结构变动对进出口产品结构的影响较明显;湖北省GDP增长与进口呈单向因果关系,与出口不构成显著的因果关系;从长期看,湖北省GDP与出口、进口之间存在协整关系,即存在着长期稳定的均衡关系,三者是协调一致、同步变动的。从短期来看,进口对经济增长起到了一定的促进作用,且这种促进作用要强于出口,但其本身也较小。  相似文献   

5.
近年来广东省对外贸易和GDP均呈现出强势发展势头,两者呈现出密切的关系.在对外贸发展与经济增长进行Granger因果检验并发现其间存在单向Granger影响的基础上,对外贸对经济增长的效应进行计量分析,发现出口对GDP的促进和拉动效应强于进口,进而就其原因进行分析,并提出政策建议.  相似文献   

6.
近年来加工贸易快速发展,促进了我国对外贸易和经济的增长。目前国内学者对加工贸易贡献作用的看法不一。通过从一般贸易的出口、一般贸易进口、加工贸易的出口、加工贸易进口四个方面对我国GDP增长做实证分析,得出相关结论:一般贸易进出口与加工贸易出口对经济增长有促进作用,加工贸易进口增长会使GDP出现负增长。  相似文献   

7.
《商》2015,(12)
直辖以来,重庆市对外贸易取得了巨大成就。通过对重庆市1993-2012年经济增长有关数据的分析和计量模型检验得出:GDP与出口、进口之间存在稳定的关系,出口和进口都对经济发展起着促进作用。经济增长主要由"三驾马车"中的消费和投资拉动,出口"发动机"的作用没有得到体现。因此,重庆市外贸发展潜力巨大,重视推动重庆市外贸发展对重庆市经济增长有重要的意义。  相似文献   

8.
重庆市对外贸易与经济增长关系的实证研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
对外贸易与重庆市GDP有着较强的相关性,且对经济增长有着较强的促进作用。但重庆市对外贸易的规模和水平尚处于起步阶段,所占经济总量比重较小,对经济增长的贡献率不高。针对以上分析,本文提出了提高进口贸易份额和开拓多元出口市场的建议。  相似文献   

9.
基于VAR模型的动态计量分析方法,对我国1978—2010年对外贸易与经济增长的关系进行实证分析。结果表明:我国的进出口对经济增长具有促进作用,出口的促进作用大于进口,进口对经济增长的促进作用主要表现在长期,在短期存在负向效应;而经济增长对出口并无显著影响,但却对进口具有显著的影响,且进口对出口也有较强的促进作用。因此,对外贸易和经济增长之间存在着相互影响、相互促进的关系,但这种关系具有不对称性。提出促进出口贸易发展,优化出口商品结构,重视进口贸易对国内经济增长的作用,积极提高国内消费和投资等对策建议。  相似文献   

10.
湖南省对外贸易与经济增长关系的协整分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
本文以湖南省1985-2005年度统计数据为依据,采用协整分析技术,对湖南省对外贸易与经济增长的关系进行了实证分析。实证结果表明:从长期看,湖南经济增长与湖南出口、进口贸易之间存在长期稳定的关系,进口明显地促进GDP的增长,而出口对经济增长影响不显著。同时针对湖南对外贸易发展中存在的问题,提出了相应的对策建议。  相似文献   

11.
Holding 88 percent of train media resources across China, based on "Time Cube", on the 2008 Intermedia Recommendation and Introduction Meeting on December 19, 2007, HTC announced its high-profile strategy of tour marketing and tapping the immeasurable potentials on the train. Meanwhile, HTC officially launched its brand new product Olympic Train on the meeting, providing a fabulous platform for all the brands that are prepared to do a smart marketing on the occasion of 2008 Olympic Games.  相似文献   

12.
In the end of 2007, Air China Limited (hereinafter "Air China") and Shanghai Airlines, formally joined Star Alliance at a ceremony held in the new Terminal Three at Beijing Capital International Airport. With the addition of the two Chinese airlines, Star Alliance now has 19 member carriers operating 17,000 daily flights to 897 destinations in 160 countries.  相似文献   

13.
The overall strategic relationship between U.K. and China is "better than ever", China- Britain relations have maintained good momentum, with increased high-level exchanges and the reinforcement of strategic mutual trust, with more room for growth in the future.  相似文献   

14.
Domino effects of the global finance agitation As the origin of the subprime crisis,US financial institutions lost USS45 billion last year,accounted for over half of the total US,EU & Japan loss.Since January 15th,Chtigroup released its financial statement of the 4th quarter,showing a net deficit of USS9.83 billion,which marked the hisoric high of its quarterly deficit.  相似文献   

15.
Under the guidance of the theme slogan of the 29th Olympic Games - One World One Dream, with dream, love and dedication as its theme, the 2008 Music Grand Ceremony & 1000 People Charity Concert on 100 days cotmtdown to Paralympic Gamesis officiaily launched on December 22, 2007. The 2008 Music Grand Ceremony is sponsored by China Disabled Persons' Federation, and co-hosted by National Paralympic Committee of China,  相似文献   

16.
Aseries of events that occurred in October 2007, are rewriting the history of China's energy industry: November 3 an Energy Law Committee asked the public for suggestions on improvements; forty top experts came together to form the National Energy Expert Advisory Committee on November 6; and the National Oil Reserve Center (NORC)became the nerve centre of oil reserves on November 18. Yet, behind the progress of these recent activities remains the fact that international oil prices still hover around a very high price of US$ 90/barrel, and China's oil imports are close to accounting for half of its total oil reserves.  相似文献   

17.
MUYANG GROUP     
With its headquarters in the historic city of Yangzhou,Jiangsu Muyang Group Co.,Ltd has since its founding in 1967 grown into a well-known group corporation whose activities cover research & development,project design,manufacturing,installation and services in a multitude of industries including feed machinery and engineering,storage engineering,grain machinery and engineering,environmental protection,conveying equipment and automatic control systems.  相似文献   

18.
2007 China Harbor Ten People elected the entrepreneurs who contributed a lot to port economy and enterprises this year trough their talent management.These ten people embody their social responsibility,professional skills,creative ability,and charming personality.Bearing full confidence in China's port economy,the port entrepreneurs are brave enough to explore a brand new area,so as to promote harbor economic development. At the very beginning of 2008,China Shipping Website,Dalian Maritime University,and China Port and Shipping In- stitute jointly select the 2007 China Harbor Ten People,demonstrate port entrepreneurs' stunning minds,disclose their secrets to success,and providing abundant experiences to others in harbor development.The top ten people are various excellence during the ups and downs harbor development.  相似文献   

19.
Since the normalization of the diplomatic ties between China and ) Japan, the bilateral economic relations have deepened continually. According to the statistic of Japan, China passed U.S. to become Japan's top trade partner as well as is the second largest export market for Japan and is the largest import resource for Japan. Japan companies such as Mitsui, Sumitomo, Sony and Panasonic, have set the subsidiaries in China and explored their scales. This year 2008 marks the 30th anniversary of the signing of the ChinaJapan Treaty of Peace and Friendship.  相似文献   

20.
The annual meeting of the World Economy Forum was held in Davos,a little town in Switzerland,on January 23rd to the 27th this year,with the theme"the Power fo Collaborative Innovation",over 2500 celebrates from ture political and cconomic circles of more than 80 countries and challengred logether to talk about the future of the global economy in 2008,A Forum for the problems and challenges that face whole world,some of the keywords which drew attention during the event were:the U.S.subprime mortgage crisis,soaring energy prices,the economic slowdown in the U.S.ermerging economic bodies,authority funds and the general unpredictable nature of the global economy.  相似文献   

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