财政透明度对腐败的影响研究——来自中国的证据

本文通过理论建模结合实证检验的方法,深入分析了中国财政透明度对腐败的影响.研究结果表明,财政透明度的提高能够抑制腐败,但目前作用相对有限,贸易开放度、民营化、公务人员工资及政府规模对腐败有显著负影响,教育水平和经济发展水平对腐败没有显著影响;夏普里值分解的结果进一步揭示了各变量对腐败的相对贡献度,财政透明度的相对贡献度较小但有逐渐上升趋势.     

腐败与经济增长双高之谜——对“金砖四国”实证分析

众多学者研究表明腐败对经济增长存在大小不等的负面影响,但也有一些国家存在高速经济增长同高腐败现象并存的"双高之谜";本文选择"金砖四国"作为"双高之谜"的研究目标国,选择影响经济增长的腐败及其他相关变量,在Mo建立的经济增长与腐败关系模型基础上建立分析模型,利用1994—2008年年度数据,实证分析腐败对"金砖四国"经济增长的影响并分析其原因;实证结果显示"金砖四国"存在"双高之谜"并非必然,也不显著,腐败对巴西和中国的经济增长影响是消极的,而对印度和俄罗斯的经济增长影响却是积极的。     

空间视角下我国城乡收入差异与经济增长的关联性研究

城乡间收入差异和经济增长的课题缺乏定量的实证研究,本文基于我国城乡收入差异现状,利用地级市的经济数据,分别采用O L S和空间计量模型进行回归分析,空间计量的引入是考虑到经济增长和城乡差异的空间自相关特征。结论表明在我国当前发展状态下,经济增长和城乡收入差异均有较为明显的空间自相关性,且二者之间存在着负相关:城乡收入差异对经济增长呈现出较为明显的阻碍作用,而随着经济的增长,城乡收入差异水平也逐渐下降,城乡间收入差距呈现出缩小的趋势。     

新时期统筹国内发展和对外开放的十大问题

经历32年的渐进式改革开放,我国对外贸易、外商投资、对外投资等全面发展,并融入全球经济主流。进入后危机时期,国内发展和对外开放都面临许多新的挑战与机遇。本文结合新时期的形势,按照科学发展观,提出了包括确立"中性"的外贸战略等统筹国内发展和对外开放的具体内容和路径。     

波动与增长:1952年～2010年中国省际人均GDP面板数据检验

利用滤波技术提供的处理数据的优点,建立波动与增长计量经济学模型,以研究中国经济波动与经济增长的相关关系,并运用现代流行的图形分析和矩分析对研究结果进行检验和验证,认为在1979年以前,波动对增长有负的溢出效应;1979年～1990年作为改革开放政策的过渡期,在这段时间内各地区的波动与增长关系先后发生改变;1990年以后,波动对增长具有正的溢出效应.     

外商投资的区域聚集及其对经济增长的影响分析:以江苏省为例

本文在现有理论文献的基础上,从经济规模、地区劳动力和土地面积多角度构建了外资利用水平的无量纲指标:业绩指数、人均指数、地均指数以及综合指数;提出用综合指数的离散系数来表征利用外资的区域聚集度;在此基础上,建立了计量经济模型,探讨外资聚集度对经济增长的影响。并以江苏省为例,展开实证分析。     

我国国际收支失衡及福利损失分析

我国持续的国际收支失衡反映了以往开放战略的缺陷,其导致的福利损失是巨大的。从国际货币体系中心与外围关系视角看,作为国际货币体系的外围国家,中国外向型经济扩张必然会导致目前的国际收支失衡,反映了中心与外围国家之间的不平等关系。实现国际收支基本平衡需要的不仅是外资、外贸等政策的调整,只有从国家经济发展战略的角度,重新审视以往的对外开放战略,树立科学的对外开放观,实施开放战略的转型,才能改变目前的国际收支结构,避免福利的巨大损失。     

Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in EP and IS Countries: The Role of Corruption

Corruption is understood as an act in which the power of public office is used for personal gain in a manner that contravenes the rules established by the governing structures of a society. This study attempts to offer an extension to the empirical model employed by Balasubramanyam et al. (1996 ) by analysing how FDI determines economic growth within the new growth theory framework when the degree of corruption is considered. Thus, the study seeks to examine the way in which corruption can have an impact on the economic growth of developing countries whose trade strategies differ (either IS and EP). It suggests that further insight can be gained by considering how corruption might interact with the trade policy in affecting economic growth. This is examined using a fixed‐effects, simultaneous equation model for 17 countries over the period 1994–2004. The results show that the level of corruption strongly and negatively influences foreign direct investment in both IS and EP countries. However, when the corruption index is interacted with domestic investment, the influence on foreign direct investment is positive and significant for IS countries only. The most interesting outcome of the study is the effect of the interaction term between foreign direct investment and the corruption perception index on economic growth, which is found to be greater in magnitude for the EP countries than for the IS countries.     

An analysis of the predictors of software piracy within Latin America

Corruption has become an increasingly salient issue in recent years due to the increasing pressure placed on top management teams of multinational firms to maintain high moral standards in all facets of their operations. The level and scope of corruption in a particular country is worthy of consideration as companies seek potential export markets and global partners. While macro-level academic research related to causes of corruption has burgeoned in the past decade, there is a lack of depth and breadth with respect to corruption research in Latin America. The current study analyzes patterns of software piracy (a notorious type of corruption) for 20 Latin American nations. Results indicate that economic growth, foreign direct investment, Internet usage, and development assistance relate to software piracy rates in Latin America.     

我国油气消费与经济增长关系实证分析

改革开放以来,我国经济建设取得了举世瞩目的成绩,经济的快速发展带动了能源消费的快速增长。本文选取1978-2010年我国石油和天然气消费数据与历年GDP总量数据,运用国际上广泛采用的协整理论和Granger因果关系检验,试图揭示我国油气消费与经济增长之间的内在关系,旨在为研究油气需求的影响因素以及油气价格的形成机制打下基础。     

International Validation of the Corruption Perceptions Index: Implications for Business Ethics and Entrepreneurship Education

International government and corporate corruption is increasingly under siege. Although various groups of researchers have quantified and documented world-wide corruption, apparently no one has validated the measures. This study finds a very strong significant correlation of three measures of corruption with each other, thereby indicating validity. One measure was of Black Market activity, another was of overabundance of regulation or unnecessary restriction of business activity. The third measure was an index based on interview perceptions of corruption (Corruption Perceptions Index or CPI) in that nation. Validity of the three measures was further established by finding a highly significant correlation with real gross domestic product per capita (RGDP/Cap). The CPI had by far the strongest correlation with RGDP/Cap, explaining over three fourths of the variance.Corruption is increasingly argued to be a barrier to development and economic growth. Business students often do not see ethics courses as being as relevant as other value-free disciplines or core courses. The data in this study suggests otherwise. Sustainable economic development appears very dependent on a constant, virtuous cycle that includes corruption fighting, and the maintenance of trust and innovation, all reinforcing each other.     

中国对外直接投资发展阶段研究

随着我国国际竞争力的不断增强和"走出去"战略的逐步实施,我国已经成为世界上主要的对外直接投资来源地。本文运用最新的经济统计数据,对我国经济发展水平和对外直接投资之间的关系进行实证研究,以此分析判断我国对外直接投资所处的发展阶段和未来趋势。结果表明:一方面,我国的对外直接投资与邓宁的投资发展周期理论相吻合;另一方面,我国现阶段的对外直接投资实际情况与理论预期还存在一定的差距,对外直接投资的发展阶段滞后于经济发展水平。     

零售商业圈区位选择及其问题规避

随着经济全球化和我国改革开放的进一步发展,大量国际性商业特别是跨国企业进驻中国市场。为了扩展商圈范围,提升企业竞争力,跨国商业企业往往选择那些具有优势的区位,以达到策略的可实施性和目标的可实现性。基于商圈实务理论,就沃尔玛超市进驻浙江省金华市这一实例,研究了沃尔玛商圈的范围及其实务,在此基础上指出沃尔玛超市在商圈扩张过程中应该规避的区位选择问题。