东亚服务贸易与文化共融——中国东盟签署《服务贸易协议》浅析

2007年1月14日，来自中国、澳大利亚、新西兰、日本、韩国、印度以及东盟十国的领导人聚集于菲律宾第二大城市宿务，出席一系列会议，包括第10次中国与东盟领导人会议，第10次东盟与中、日、韩领导人会议以及第二届东亚峰会。这次盛会上，中国与东盟签署了《服务贸易协议》。这是中国在自由贸易区框架下与其他国家签署的第一个关于服务贸易的协议。服务贸易协议的签署意味着中国一东盟自贸区的建设跨过了一个重大障碍。     

加强合作共克时艰——访中国一东盟博览会秘书处秘书长郑军健

由中国商务部和东盟10国经贸主管部门及东盟秘书处共同主办的中国一东盟博览会，迄今已成功举办五届，成为中国一东盟自由贸易区内最具影响力的展会。第六届中国一东盟博览会将于今年10月20～24日在广西南宁举办。面对当前的金融危机，第六届博览会将采取哪些措施进一步推动中国一东盟合作，确保经贸实效？《经济》记者采访了中国东盟博览会秘书处郑军健秘书长。     

东盟经济受中国影响巨大

正穆迪(Moody's)在近日发布的一份报告中,对东盟(Asean)10个成员国与中国之间的经济关联度作出分析表明,如果中国经济增速出现明显调整,这一地区将"很容易受其影响"。中国目前是东盟最大贸易伙伴。2013年,在东盟全部对外     

中国——东盟自由贸易区,意义不只在贸易

第八次中国-东盟经贸部长会议8月15日在泰国首都曼谷召开,商务部部长陈德铭与东盟10国经贸部长共同签署了中国一东盟自贸区<投资协议>.这标志着双方成功完成了自贸区协议的主要谈判,自贸区将如期在2010年全面建成.     

打造中国-东盟自贸区升级版

2013年是中国与东盟宣布建立而向和平与繁荣的战略伙伴关系10周年。中国-东盟战略伙伴关系的建立标志着双方关系进入一个新阶段，由此中国-东盟关系全面提速。     

中国与东盟——手拉手地走下去

中国与东盟合作关系的发展是东亚合作进程中最为突出的亮点。2003年10月8日于印度尼西亚巴厘岛举行的第七次东盟与中国(10 1)领导人会议上，中国与东盟签署了《中华人民共和国与东盟国家领导人联合宣言》，宣布双方建立战略伙伴关系，标志着中国与东盟的关系进入了一个新的阶段。     

加强互利合作 共创美好未来

东盟九国（马来西亚、印度尼西亚、泰国、菲律宾、新加坡、文莱、越南、老挝、缅甸）和中国、日本、韩国12国领导人于去年12月15日和16日，中国－东盟10国领导人于12月16日在吉隆坡举行的非正式会晤，是东亚发展史上的一个重大创举，也是中国──东盟关系史上的一件盛事，是在世纪之交举行的一次历史性聚会，这必将对东亚各国未来和对中国──东盟友好合作关系的发展，产生重要而深远的影响。沧桑巨变与新的挑战自16世纪初西方殖民者闯进东南亚直到第二次世界大战，东亚多数国家和地区遭到空前的浩劫，陷入贫困的深渊。东南亚国家人民经过长…     

论WTO对《中国-东盟全面经济合作框架协议》的影响

《中国-东盟全面经济合作框架协议》是中国与东盟之间经济合作发展的里程碑式的协定，这是中国与其他国家签订的第一个关于区域自由贸易安排的文献，是中国在积极参与国际多边贸易体系的同时，努力加强与周边邻国的区域经济合作的一项重要举措。但是，中国与东盟的许多成员同时也是WTO成员方，因此WTO与中国-东盟自由贸易区的联系及影响是本文探讨的重点。     

中国-东盟自由贸易区的影响:浙江的视角

2001年11月,中国与东盟提出了在10年内建成自由贸易区(“10 1”自由贸易区)的目标,2002年11月,又与东盟签署了一系列经贸合作框架协议。2003年,关于建立自由贸易区的正式谈判启动。随着这一合作的进程,我国与东盟国家的经贸往来将更加密切,浙江作为中国东南沿海的重要省份,迎来了新的机遇与挑战。     

关于台湾与中国大陆经济合作及整合的思考

亚太各国和地区在APEC经济一体化缓慢进程中掀起了签订双方自由贸易协定的浪潮。2001年11月初，朱镕基总理在出席第五次东盟与中国领导人会议时指出，将在10年内建成中国——东盟10国自由贸易区；日、韩则希望建成10 3自由贸易区。中国内地也相继与香港、澳门签订了区     

International and Regional Cooperation: Asia's Role and Responsibilities

Asia has emerged from the global financial crisis as an important stabilizing force and an engine of global economic growth. The establishment of the G-20 gives Asian economies the global forum that they need to both represent their interests in global governance and deliver on responsibilities concomitant with their growing weight in the global economy. The region has a host of cooperation arrangements in APEC, ASEAN+3, and EAS (East Asian Summit), all with ASEAN as the fulcrum. They are huge assets, but they need to be repositioned to relate effectively to the G-20 process and other global arrangements. They also need to comprehend the politics of the changing structure of regional power. This paper discusses the challenges that Asia faces in aligning regional and global objectives in financial, trade, and other areas of cooperation, such as climate change and foreign investment. It argues that Asia is now a critical player in the global system and has a central contribution to make in strengthening global governance and international policy outcomes. The paper sets out ways to fill gaps in regional cooperation and link the agenda for regional cooperation more effectively to Asia's new role globally. This is essential to sustain Asia's superior growth performance, correct imbalances, and support the global economic system.     

自由贸易的形成及其在东亚的发展趋势

2003年12月12日,日本与东盟10国发表了旨在加强日本与东盟各国经济、政治和安全关系的《东京宣言》和《行动计划》,并首次提出了建立东亚共同体的概念。这次峰会预示着日本同东盟的区域经济关系将出现新的飞跃,是东亚自由贸易区发展进程中值得关注的新动向。本文从区域经济一体化的类型入手,深入探讨了WTO框架下自由贸易区在全球的发展状况及其原因,指出日本对东亚区域经济合作战略和方针的调整是东亚自由贸易区发展进程中值得关注的新动向,对东亚经济一体化进程将产生深远影响。     

亚洲石油大陆桥建设设想

本文提出了关于建设亚洲石油大陆桥设想的国际意义,以及我国参与建设的必要性,并构建了亚州石油大陆桥的基本框架,最后提出中国应采取的主要对策和措施.     

China's membership in the World Trade Organization (WTO) and the exports of the developing economies of East Asia: a computable general equilibrium approach

There is a general perception particularly among the developing countries of East Asia that China's WTO membership would spell bad news for their exports. The ASEAN countries in particular are quite concerned about its likely negative impact on their export and growth potentials. In this light, the main objective of this paper is to empirically assess the trade implications of China's WTO membership for these countries. Only few studies, using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) approach, have addressed the issue of China's WTO membership trade implications. Further, these studies have not adequately addressed the issue from the perspective of the developing countries of East Asia, particularly the ASEAN countries. Using the latest version of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model and based on the latest tariff reduction commitments by China, the results showed that, contrary to the current perception and previous studies, almost all of the developing countries of East Asia are likely to benefit from China's WTO membership overall, after allowing for anticipated price adjustments. Without the price adjustments, the Philippines and Singapore would have come out as net losers. These findings have confirmed the need for economic and export restructuring among the ASEAN countries and the importance of accelerating their economic integration. They have also highlighted the importance of promoting trade and investment cooperation between China and ASEAN countries.     

The impact of the ACFTA on ASEAN–PRC trade: estimates based on an extended gravity model for component trade

This article uses an extended gravity model to examine the impact of the free trade agreement between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the People’s Republic of China (PRC) on their trade flows and patterns. New determinants are utilized to capture the growing importance of global production sharing and intraregional trade in parts and components in East Asia. We show that the free trade agreement leads to substantially higher and more pronounced bilateral trade flows between ASEAN and the PRC than what a conventional gravity model predicts and the increase is concentrated in ASEAN countries that have stronger industrial linkages with the PRC.     

基于消费风险分担模型的中国——东盟金融合作程度的实证分析

自中国-东盟自由贸易区建成以来,中国与东盟的经贸联系日益加强,金融合作也取得了实质性的进展。本文运用衡量金融合作程度的主要方法——消费风险分担模型,对中国与东盟国家1999年-2010年的相关数据进行实证分析,得出中国与东盟金融合作程度较低,尤其是资本市场一体化程度尚处于初级阶段的结论,并对其成因进行解析,以期能够为进一步加强彼此合作提供参考。     

Regional Integration in East Asia: Achievements and Future Prospects

Economic integration in East Asia has been largely market driven. Attempts in the late 1980s to establish an East Asian regional economic grouping failed to materialize for a number of reasons. The financial crisis in 1997–1998 has strengthened the realization of regional countries that they need to have some self‐help mechanisms to overcome that crisis and to prevent future crises. This led to the development of several functional integration programs, including the network of bilateral swap arrangements known as the Chiang Mai Initiative. However, progress remains slow. The question that has arisen is how far these efforts need to be supported by institutional integration. Should the ASEAN Plus Three, the main regional cooperation process in East Asia involving the 10 South‐East Asian countries plus China, Japan, and South Korea, be deepened institutionally? Meanwhile, the region has seen the establishment of a new process, the East Asia Summit, involving the above 13 countries plus Australia, India, and New Zealand. How will these different arrangements contribute to East Asia's economic dynamism and prosperity as well as peace and political stability?     

New Asian Regionalism: Evidence on the Impact Ofthe Asean +3 Free Trade Agreement on Its Member Countries

The emergence of new Asian regionalisms such as ASEAN+3 (10 ASEAN countries plus China, Korea and Japan) and other bilateral, plurilateral and multilateral free trade agreements in recent years requires research into these important developments and their underlying fundamental trade-growth causation. Popular existing methodologies such as the CGE/GTAP, gravity theory and panel regression (Dollar and Kraay, 2004) may be inappropriate due to their limited scope, heavily calibrated structure, cross-section data or non-simultaneity features (see also other criticisms in Productivity Commission Report, 2003). The paper extends the gravity theory to time-series data and applies a new flexible modelling approach to construct a simultaneous-equation model of trade and growth for the ASEAN and the East Asia 3. Using data from the World Bank national accounts and CHELEM regional and international trade over the period 1968–2000, the paper then estimates the model by both standard (OLS and 2SLS) and improved Stein-like (2SHI) estimation methods to provide superior MSE impact estimates. Implications of the findings for ASEAN+3’s economic integration, trade policy and prospects for trade and welfare improvement for this important regional FTA will also be discussed.

     

Economic Impacts of Improved Connectivity for ASEAN: An Application of the Geographical Simulation Model

We compare the prioritized projects of the Master Plan on ASEAN Connectivity (MPAC) and the Comprehensive Asia Development Plan (CADP) by utilizing the Institute of Developing Economies/Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia Geographical Simulation Model. The prioritized projects of the MPAC mainly focus on specific hard or soft infrastructure projects connecting one remote area of an ASEAN member state to another and thus fail to capture the full potential of the infrastructure because of neglected important links within a state. On the other hand, the CADP emphasizes the importance of economic corridors or linkages between a large cluster and another cluster. Our simulation analysis shows that CADP projects will result in an addition to gross domestic product (GDP) of $US 1544bn over the period from 2021 to 2030 (in 2010 dollars) or an impact on ASEAN countries that is 12 times larger than MPAC projects. The results strongly suggest that the CADP projects should be adopted and implemented to fully realize the potential economic growth of the ASEAN countries. Moreover, the CADP will contribute more to narrowing the development gaps among the ASEAN countries than MPAC prioritized projects.     

Are Asian technology gaps due to human capital quality differences?

This paper adopts the meta-frontier framework using DEAP software to analyse the technological gap and level of catch-up of the three regions in Asia (namely, Southern Asia, Eastern Asia and ASEAN5) with respect to the Asian technology as a whole for the period 1980–2006. Countries in Eastern Asia displayed a technology gap ratio of 1.000 which posits that this region defines the best practice frontier for Asia. Meanwhile, countries in Southern Asia region displayed an improvement in technical efficiency and productivity relative to the Asian frontier but lagged in terms of technological advancement. All three regions recorded a lag in technological advancement with respect to the best practice frontier. In order to progress technologically, these countries should be equipped with the necessary infrastructure and human capital to encourage foreign investment and growth. The countries in Eastern Asia and ASEAN5 recorded the strongest productivity growth performance as a group when compared to the countries in Southern Asia. In Southern Asia and ASEAN5 region, the technology gap ratio is below 1.000 subsequent to the 1997/98 financial crisis. On the contrary, East Asia kept up with the benchmark frontier during most of the sample period inclusive of the period after the financial crisis.