Toward Shared Prosperity:China's New Leap Forward in Social Protection

The foundation of the People’s Republic of China in1949 marked the realization of a dream strived for by millions of Chinese people over the preceding hundred years,i.e.,the dream of liberation.Since 1949,China has gone through two stages of historical development,in which it realized the dream of self-reliance and the dream of freedom from poverty,respectively.Having entered the third stage of its contemporary history,China is now striving to achieve a new dream of shared prosperity for all.Supported by statistical data,this paper argues that China has made a great leap forward in the field of social protection over the past 10-plus years.This new leap forward has quietly brought about enormous changes to the Chinese society.On one hand,it has stopped inequality from further deteriorating;on the other hand,it has created a benign environment for lessening human insecurity.     

A study on the tourism practitioners＇ perception of tourism impact： a case study of Hainan,China

This study examines the urban population of tourism practitioners perceptions of economic, environmental, and social impacts on cultural, convention, and sport tourism may have in Haikou and Sanya. Hainan, China. The study uses a modified Urban Tourism Impact （UTI） to examine economic, environmental, and social perceived impacts. Analysis of the data includes testing three models of structural relationships between tourism impacts and support for development in each of the tourism market sub-divisions through a confirmatory factor analysis. The results of this study show that the positive economic impacts consistently exert influence on predicting support for tourism development in all three models. However; the social impacts play a greater explanatory role with all three market segment, the negative environmental impacts play a role in determining support for sport tourism only. Differences have been found with those with a higher education level in predicting support for cultural tourism, but not convention or sport tourism.     

Pattem and mechanism of urban spatial growth in Nanjing City, 1979-2007

Urban spatial growth has become a hot topic of geographic science and urban research. Exploring the patterns and mechanisms of urban growth is the prerequisite to understand the urbanization process of China. The paper provides a spatial analysis method of using Remote Sensing （RS） and Geographic Information System （GIS）. and presents major patterns and mechanisms of urban spatial growth during the period from 1979 to 2007 in Nanjing City. Firstly, the paper introohwes the data, study area and methodology of the research. Then. the patterns of urban spatial growth are identified Subsequently, the main mechanisms of urban spatial growth are analyzed Finally some conclusions are drawn definitely. The features of urban spatial growth in Nanjing are as follows： during 1979-1988, urban spatial growth of each district was stow. and the inner growth was in excess of suburban growth; during the period of 1988-2000. urban growth of suburban was in excess of inner city. the most insensitive growth appeared in the southeast, and the growth of each aspect was relatively insensitive expect ecst and west; during the period of 2000-2007, urban growth of suburban was violent, the most insensitive growth appeared in the southeast. and the urban growth of each direction was insensitive except the west. The mechanisms of urban spatial growth are complex, the main ones of which are social and economic development. Besides. the guiding of urban planning and influence of urban spatial structure are quite obvious.     

The Impact of Innovation in Small Industrial Operations to Increased Competitiveness： Empirical Evidence

The present research work in the Small and Medium Enterprise （SME） and industrial sector explains the impact of the relationship among innovation in the SME operations of Aguascalientes to find the most competitive one; to this end, a questionnaire was intended for managers where the results have been analyzed using the statistical package Structural Equation Modeling Programs （EQS） support which through structural equations has responded to the objective. In this sense, it can be concluded that innovation has a positive relationship with the operations and in turn, this relationship shows a positive impact on the competitiveness of SMEs in Aguascalientes. For this study, a sample of 150 companies has been used.     

Talcott Parsons＇ AGIL Schema-based System Identification of Administrative Problems of North-East Vocational Education in Thailand

Talcott Parsons was a great well-known sociologist whose approach was based on system theory. He identified social system into subsystems which were A （Adaptation functions）, G （Goal gratification functions）, I （Integration functions）, and L （Latent pattern maintenance functions）. His approach was based on the concern for the stability or maintenance of social system. The aim of this research is experimentally to identify the social system of north-east vocational education＇s macro administrative problems in Thailand by utilizing AGIL schema. The writer has adopted the symbiosis or maintenance of socials system stance by utilizing this approach. The results of the research were, firstly, the major macro vocational education eight problems （sentences） and 27 sub-problems （sentences） and secondly, the 15 diagrams of above-mentioned problems and sub-problems after utilizing AGIL concepts （In this paper, the writer illustrated seven of them）. The study had been done using both secondary and primary data. The secondary data were collected from the written documents and from the internet concerning the vocational schools. In depth interview data were collected. Some respondents have been interviewed more than once. The total of 69 times in depth interview were collected. The researcher had utilized Japanese Kawakita Jiro Method of processing scattering paper clips from these primary and secondary data. In conclusion, the detail of main findings, system of sentences of the macro problems, some derived diagrams examples （After AGIL schema applying） and also implication from the main findings have been illustrated.     

Environmental Analysis of Packaging for Soft Drinks Using the Life Cycle Assessment Methodology

The knowledge of a product＇s life cycle is the first step on the search of sustainable development. The life cycle assessment （LCA） is an important method because it allows an environment accounting, where the extraction of natural resources and energy of the nature are considered and the ＂returns＂ to the same one and allows in evaluating relative potential the environment impacts generated. The present work had as objective to make an analysis of material and energy flows of the life cycle of three types of packaging for soft drinks： glass bottles of 390 mL, aluminum cans of 350 mL, and bottles of PET of 2,000 mL. The study considered processes since the extraction of raw materials for production of the packaging until the stages of recycling, after the consumption of the soft drink. For the research, an inventory analysis followed the LCA methodology. The main critical points of generation of negative environmental impact during the life cycle of each packaging had been the identified and quantified data in this study. The consumption of natural resources like water and other raw materials and energy, the generation of atmospheric emissions, solid wastes and wastewaters had been the analyzed categories. The results showed that, in accordance with the scenes and defined variables, the most important conclusion was that the bottle of glass presented a less favorable scene to the environment in comparison with other packaging.     

High Precision CAE Analysis of Automotive Transaxle Oil Seal Leakage

The manufacturing industry today due to worldwide competition is focused on shorter development cycle. In this situation, computer aided education （CAE） technology as a tool for simultaneous achievement of quality, cost and delivery （QCD） plays an important role. The hardware-software environment surrounding CAE has evolved. Though technological problems have been understood and general solutions have been derived and reflected in the CAE analysis software, research findings that boost the credibility of CAE have still not been incorporated fully enough into the development of design process. The real technical mechanism issue is not precisely capture. Therefore, it is important to clarify the real cause in CAE results through CAE simulation in order to assure product reliability and assurance. It is the aim of this study to realize the prediction of design analysis process through understanding of unclear technical mechanism in abnormal occurrences with the utilization of CAE simulation. In other words, it is the aim of this study to focus on issue in automotive transaxle oil seal leakage to understand, grasp, and visualize the main cause through usage of CAE analysis process. It is understood that the point of contact and pump volume was related and this could contribute towards seals quality design. Plus, the utilization of CAE analysis in prediction phase to realized design development is also possible     

Strategic Partnership Between Private Organizations and Universities： The Search for Regional Development Through Solutions for Hospital Management

The public power and the private enterprise, the main agents of national economic and social development, when cooperating strategically, promote increased functional efficiency of their activities. In order to highlight the relevance of such partnership, this article aims to analyze the potential of actions jointly developed by private organizations and Brazilian universities. The research problem is lined in the field of health, which hosted actions developed between the Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte （UFRN） and the Hospital Maternity Guiomar Fernandes （HMGF）, located in the city of Alexandria, in Rio Grande do Norte. The study emphasizes the shortcomings of this organization, the resolving power of the university in this scenario, and performs the analysis of the effects of this cooperation. The methodology used in this research was the case study in HMGF. With emphasis on fundraising and improving the informational management system, funding sources for projects of restructuring and expansion of the hospital were sought, as well as initiatives for developing hospital management softwares for small- and medium-sized organizations. As a result, the articulation between the university and the hospital provided the elaboration of a project for software development and the production of a project for physical restructuring and technological investment, aiming to expand the supply and quality of the hospital＇s services. The implementation of information systems, associated with investments in hospital infrastructure, providing increased efficiency in public assistance to the population, bringing both local and regional benefits, besides, providing the authorities with relevant data on the development of public policies.     

Assessment of natural resources and the policy of subsidies in grain production

Based on the analysis on the status quo of natural resources input in Brain production and on the policy of Brain subsidies, this paper puts forward a new idea - establishing grain subsidies through assessing the value of the natural resources in Brain production. The assessment of the natural resources in Brain production provides rationale and reference standard for the policy of Brain subsidies, which will promote the sustainable use of natural resources accordingly. This paper concludes： （1） it is necessary for the grain subsidies to assess the full value of natural resources, including economic value, ecological value and social value： （2） the government should give farmers direct subsidies or environment subsidies according to the economic and ecological value of natural resources in grain production, （3） the social value of natural resources can be realized by establishing the country social security system, taking the social value as the criterion for the payment for part of farmers＇ insurance.     

辽宁省人口、经济与环境协调发展的空间自相关分析

以辽宁省14市为研究对象,选取2005-2011年人口、经济和环境相关指标,利用SPSS16.0软件对数据进行主成分分析得出综合得分,计算辽宁省14市人口、经济与环境发展协调度,对全省和各市的协调发展状况进行空间自相关分析,实现对三者空间演化规律的探究。目前沈阳、大连在辽宁沿海经济带、沈阳经济区中的核心地位已经确立,但其带动作用仍然有限,各市发展不均衡,其辐射功能有待进一步增强,区域发展的过程虽有波动起伏,出现离散,但最终朝集聚趋势发展。     

中国东南半壁南北方地区人口空间分异格局及其影响因素

中国南北方地区发展不平衡问题凸显,人口南北空间分异现象引起了广泛关注。文章以1982—2020年5期人口普查数据为基础,采用泰尔指数、地理探测器等方法,探究中国东南半壁南北方地区人口空间分异格局及其影响因素。结果表明:(1)研究期内"南密北疏"的人口分布格局基本稳定,南方地区一直保持着人口规模和密度优势。(2)研究区人口分布的总体差异不断拉大,南北方地区内部差异的贡献占主导地位,其中南方地区内部差异比北方地区小,但上升幅度较大。(3)研究区人口具有向南迁移扩散的趋势,且人口密度变化的区域差异持续扩大,少部分区域人口快速增长,人口密度优势显著。(4)人口空间分异是自然环境和经济社会因素共同作用的结果,经济发展水平、创新能力和吸纳就业能力等是人口密度变化的主要因素,其中创新能力的影响作用不断增强。     

A new methodology for the logistic analysis of evolutionary S-shaped processes: Application to historical time series and forecasting

A new multi-logistic methodology to analyze long range time series of evolutionary S-shaped processes is presented. It conceptually innovates over the traditional logistic approach. The ansatz includes computing the residuals to an optimized multi-logistic trend curve least squares fitted to the time-series data. The elements of the residuals series are checked for autocorrelations and once detected the residuals series is further analyzed to search for eventual presence of underlying periodic structures using a truncated Fourier sine series. The method foundations ensures both a universal applicability and a capacity to disclose the existence of active clocks that can be possibly traced to the driving motors of the evolutionary character of the time series, due to the responsiveness of corresponding process to the development of economic cycles. On associating these two views, it is found that the methodology has a strong potential to improve the quality of short-term forecasts. These findings have been put to test through applications of the methodology to studying the time evolution of two commodities of strong economic and social importance (corn and steel) and good results were consistently obtained for both the analytical and forecasting aspects.     

基于公里网格评价法的市域主体功能区划与调整——以广州市为例

主体功能区研究是目前区域可持续发展研究中的热点与关键领域.以广州市为例,通过构建侧重于土地利用现状的指标体系,基于公里网格评价单元,利用GIS空间分析,根据资源环境重要度、现有开发密度、未来发展潜力进行次级分区,最后通过三维魔方图聚类和政策强制性区域的主体功能调整,探索面向村级单元实践的市域主体功能区划的方法.区划结果包括2个禁止开发区、3个限制开发区、3个重点开发区、1个优化开发区、1个后备土地区,其结构和布局与广州市城市发展战略一致,有利于广州市域协调发展.     

长三角城市群城市宜居水平时空演化及影响因素

在新型城镇化和生态文明建设背景下,城市宜居水平日益成为人们关注的热点问题。以2004—2017年长三角城市群城市宜居要素空间数据库为基础,首先运用熵值法和Moran's I指数探讨了长三角城市群城市宜居水平时空演变特征,其次利用面板数据模型分析其宜居水平演化的影响因素。研究发现:①从宜居水平的时间演变来看,长三角城市群城市宜居水平位序变化明显且中低水平城市提升较快,城市间差距不断缩小。②从宜居水平的空间演变来看,长三角城市群城市宜居水平参差不齐且空间相关性较弱。③各城市宜居水平在单一标准层下的地域分异与综合标准层下的地域分异存在显著差异,单一标准层下各城市均有其优势与不足。④自然地理环境与区位的优劣对宜居城市建设具有直接影响,社会经济方面,人均市政设施维护建设投资额、人均住宅房地产开发投资额、年末居民储蓄存款余额及人口密度与城市宜居水平呈正相关,而工业SO2排放量与城市宜居水平呈负相关。     

基于投影寻踪模型的河南城市化水平综合评价

在构建城市化综合评价指标体系的基础上,以河南省2001—2010年各地市单元为数据样本,引入投影寻踪综合评价模型将多维评价指标投影为一维投影数据,采用加速遗传算法优化投影指标函数寻求最佳投影方向,根据投影值的大小对河南省各地市城市化水平进行比较分析。研究表明：近10年来河南省各地市城市化水平均获得了不同程度的提升,尽管地区间城市化水平区域差异有所减缓,但两极分化趋势依然显著,以郑州为中心的中原城市群地区是河南省城市化进程的核心区,豫西北部地市高于豫东南部地市,加快推进豫东、豫东南部传统农区的城市化进程是实现河南地区间城市化水平协调发展的关键。     

武汉城市圈社会经济—资源—环境耦合的演化分析

都市圈社会经济—资源—环境的耦合协调机理已成为城市地理学研究的热点和前沿。建立都市圈社会经济—资源—环境耦合协调的演化度模型,基于时序数据分析了武汉城市圈社会经济—资源—环境耦合协调水平的演化特征：①1978—2009年社会经济发展水平不断提高,资源和环境水平震荡波动最终趋于平稳,资源环境系统对社会经济系统的响应和反馈较为明显,但有一定的时间滞后;②在规模分异上表现为由金字塔型结构向纺锤型结构演进的分异特征,在空间分异上表现为由核心边缘结构向等级圈层结构演进     

Vacant technology forecasting using new Bayesian patent clustering

Vacant technology forecasting (VTF) is a technology forecasting approach to find technological needs for given industrial field in the future. It is important to know the future trend of developing technology for the R&D planning of a company and a country. In this paper, we propose a new Bayesian model for patent clustering. This is a VTF methodology based on patent data analysis. Our method is composed of Bayesian learning and ensemble method to construct the VTF model. To illustrate the practical way of the proposed methodology, we perform a case study of given technology domain using retrieved patent documents from patent databases in the world.     

生态系统服务需求视角下的澳门城市 绿色基础设施管理研究

中国澳门是世界上人口密度最大的地区之一，随着 城市和经济的发展，其生态环境压力逐渐加大，人们对城市绿 色基础设施(Urban Green Infrastructure，UGI)提供的生 态系统服务需求也日益增长。基于RS、GIS技术并结合社会、 经济和自然等多源数据及实地调研，以统计分区为单元评估热 岛调节、雨洪调节、噪声消减、休闲游憩和景观美学5种生态 系统服务的需求程度并分析其关联和差异，最后以此为基础提 出需求视角下的UGI管理策略。研究结果表明：1)各类服务的 高需求区多分布在澳门半岛地区，离岛较少；2)多种服务需求 存在空间上的协同效应，针对各分区特征构建多功能型UGI可 有效改善需求；3)澳门有72.5%的人口处于较高的服务需求状 态，人们获取各类服务的公平性需要得到改善；4)通过聚类分 析得出5种不同需求特征的分区群，并从UGI建设、更新和保 护的角度提出涉及空间分布、功能优化和实施途径等方面的针 对性管理策略，加强UGI管理在生态内涵上的考量，补充以需 求为导向的管理思路。     

循环经济评价体系的建构及分析

一个时期以来,全球社会经济在迅速发展的同时,也产生了资源枯竭、环境污染和生态失衡危机。因此,持续发展、循环经济节约型社会成为发展的重要趋势。国内外学者和社会各界从不同角度对循环经济进行了讨论和研究,我国各级政府对发展循环经济也进行了有效的探索,但尚未形成决策层、学术界、企业界的共识和互动,对于循环经济系统的研究还没有达到定量和定性相结合的高度。鉴于此,本文借鉴国内外探索的最新成果,结合我国实际,对循环经济评价体系的内涵、建构及评价等问题进行了较为系统、深入的研究。