金融消费者保护最新研究进展

次贷危机后,世界主要经济体纷纷进行金融消费者保护监管改革,下一步研究如何推动金融消费者保护工作的开展。基于此,对当前国内外学者围绕金融消费者保护的相关研究进行了梳理,并在此基础上探讨了当前研究的不足及未来研究方向。     

抗风险减赤字 金融交易税再引全球热议

国际金融危机后,金融交易税因为兼具组织财政收入与金融监管功能而备受关注,引发全球热议,并随欧洲主权债务危机的蔓延而升温。发达经济体与新兴经济体、欧盟成员国之间在金融交易税问题上存在意见分歧,争议不断。在法、德两国的积极推进下,欧盟内终于在2012年5月对开征金融交易税达成共识。开征全球性金融交易税是大势所趋,但现实中却存在重重困难,税收国际协调与合作的前景尚不明朗。     

货币危机:历史经验、当前形势与对策

个别国家的货币贬值可能诱发新兴经济体的信心危机,使得原来稳健的经济也受到冲击,归并逻辑可能使危机进一步扩散越南和其他国家金融脆弱性的问题其实早已显现。在当前诸多讨论中,笔者发现存在一些认识不够全面的地方,特别是在对越南危机传染的可能性、危机前的管理措施、危机出现时的救助手段等方面,都存在一些难以经     

金融业综合统计的国际实践及启示

十八届五中全会指出“把统筹金融业综合统计列为金融监管改革的重要内容之一”.国际金融危机后,主要发达国家和经济体积极弥补统计信息缺口,加强金融业综合统计体系构建,改进金融信息披露与共享机制,取得显著成效.在借鉴发达国家金融综合统计经验的基础上,结合当前我国金融业综合统计工作现状,提出应完善法律法规体系、加快推进统计标准化、构建综合统计信息平台、建立和发挥信息共享机制,以进一步推进和优化我国金融业综合统计体系.     

金融脆弱性理论的最新发展

对于一国金融体系脆弱的原因,当前理论界存在以下三种看法:一是认为一个经济体的金融部门如果存在实际汇率大幅升值、银行体系脆弱以及外汇储备水平较低,该经济体存在金融脆弱性;二是认为企业净值不足会导致信心崩溃,抵御危机能力削弱;三是认为在扭曲的产出税下,公共支出达到一定水平,金融体系会变得非常脆弱.     

国际银行监管改革对商业银行转型的影响

本轮全球金融危机暴露了发达经济体大型商业银行业务模式、发展战略方面存在的重大隐患。危机以来,全球主要经济体联手重构国际金融监管规则,主要目标之一就是通过严格审慎的监管纠正危机暴露出的这些根本性缺陷,构建有利于金融稳定的微     

欧盟金融监管改革视角下的卢森堡中央银行职能转变研究——兼论对我国中央银行加强宏观审慎管理的启示

<正>国际金融危机爆发之后,美国、欧盟、英国等世界主要经济体、相关国际机构以及G20峰会等重新审视了金融创新与金融市场系统性风险监管的必要性,纷纷出台了防范和治理金融风险和危机的改革方案,全面拉开了金融改革的序幕。作为欧盟的重要成员国之一,卢森堡积极参与到欧盟金融监管体系的改革,其中央银行的改革思路与举措引起了我们对国内央行职能定位的思考。     

基于Logit模型的新兴经济体主权债务危机预警研究

当前新兴经济体对全球经济增长贡献持续增加,在世界经济中的地位和作用日益突出。伴随新兴经济体经济规模的快速增长,其债务规模也在迅速扩大,随之而来的债务风险问题日益受到国际关注。特别是2008年以来,希腊等新兴经济体债务危机频频发生,对世界经济增长与金融稳定产生了巨大影响。因此,研究构建新兴经济体主权债务危机预警系统显得十分迫切和重要。本文阐述债务危机形成机理和影响,梳理债务危机相关理论和文献;讨论债务危机预警手段及相关标准选择,总结归纳多种研究模型和方法的优缺点,并说明本文采用Logit模型研究问题的依据和过程;基于Logit模型,选取拉丁美洲、亚洲、非洲共十个新兴经济体1980-2017年数据进行债务危机预警实证分析。研究结果表明,Logit方法能够以较高准确率发出预警信号,对新兴经济体债务危机有着良好预警能力;最后,本文根据研究结论给出相应启示与建议。     

国际金融体系的改革与发展趋势

国际金融危机的爆发,将现行国际金融体系存在的缺陷与弊端暴露得淋漓尽致,同时也凸显国际金融体系改革的必要性和紧迫性。在改革国际金融体系问题上,各经济体分歧的焦点主要集中于其在后金融危机时代国际金融体系之中的地位问题。充分认识国际金融体系的现状、特点与缺陷,深入剖析主要经济体关于国际金融体系改革的思路与分歧,有利于准确把握后金融危机时代国际金融体系变化的总体趋势、推进这一改革的进程。     

金融业综合统计的国际实践及对我国的启示

十八届五中全会指出“把统筹金融业综合统计列为金融监管改革的重要内容之一”.国际金融危机后,主要发达国家和经济体积极弥补统计信息缺口,加强金融业综合统计体系构建,改进金融信息披露与共享机制,取得显著成效.本文在借鉴发达国家金融综合统计经验的基础上,结合当前我国金融业综合统计工作现状,提出应完善法律法规体系、加快推进统计标准化、构建综合统计信息平台、建立和发挥信息共享机制,以加快建立“全面、统一、共享”的金融业综合统计体系.     

Who benefits from financial liberalization? Evidence from advanced and emerging market economies

In recent decades most countries have implemented significant reforms to foster financial liberalization. This article examines to what extent these reforms have benefited advanced economies and emerging market economies. We focus on four groups of countries: the G-7, other European countries, Latin America and East Asia over the period 1973–2006. We find evidence supporting the hypothesis that the different forms of financial liberalization affected growth differently in the four groups of countries. The main finding is that the benefits of financial liberalization are more important for advanced economies. In contrast, financial liberalization in emerging market economies has a weak positive impact on growth when its scope is limited, whereas full liberalization has been associated with slower economic growth.     

Economic Globalization and Financial Development in East Asia: A Panel Cointegration and Causality Analysis

This study examines the role of economic globalization in financial development in eight East Asian economies. The heterogeneous panel cointegration test reveals that cointegration is present among economic globalization, institutions, financial development, real gross domestic product per capita, and financial reforms. The Granger causality test results indicate that economic globalization has a significant causal influence on institutional quality, and institutional reforms have in turn facilitated and supported financial development, in particular of the banking sector in East Asia. Economic globalization is also found to have a favorable causal impact on stock market development without going through the institutional quality channel.     

Financial System Reform in Kazakhstan from 1993 to 2006 and Its Socioeconomic Effects

Voluminous theoretical and empirical literature examines the relation between financial-sector development and economic growth. However, previous studies have largely ignored progress in former Soviet Central Asian republics engaged in transition from socialist command economies to market economies. This paper seeks to fill this gap in the literature by considering Kazakhstan's experience with financial-sector liberalization and the socioeconomic effects of these reforms. We summarize the prereform economic circumstances prevailing in Kazakhstan, outline the major characteristics of its postcommunist financial system, and provide a detailed chronicle of financial-sector reform measures from 1993 to 2006. The paper focuses on the evolution of Kazakhstan's banking structure, policies adopted by the National Bank of Kazakhstan, and the approach taken to the privatization of state banks, as well as the steps taken to improve bank accounting standards and banking supervision. The development path of nonbank financial institutions and capital markets is also examined. We consider the outcomes of financial-sector reforms and their effects on the economy as a whole.     

The Impact of Deposit Dollarization on Financial Deepening

Banks in highly dollarized economies face risks that significantly affect their ability to perform their financial intermediation role. In these economies, dollarization plays a dual role: on the one hand, it provides a hedging instrument protecting the value of savings; on the other hand, it generates a currency mismatch on banks' balance sheets and increases default risk. Through these effects deposit dollarization can affect credit extension. This paper investigates the role of deposit dollarization on the financial depth of forty-four emerging market economies. Findings suggest that deposit dollarization has a consistent and negative impact on financial deepening, except in high-inflation economies.     

The impacts of Hong Kong’s Currency Board reforms on the interbank market

Among the economies with a Currency Board System (CBS), Hong Kong (HK) is probably the one with the largest and most developed financial sector, as well as the highest capital mobility. Hence, studying HK’s CBS is not only crucial to HK, but also important for the understanding of the modern CBS. This paper outlines the major monetary reforms in HK since the late 1980s. The impacts of these reforms and the 1997–1998 Asian Financial Crisis are then examined empirically. We focus on the differentials between the US and HK interbank interest rates. We assume the conditional-mean equation follows an autoregressive process and the conditional-variance equation follows a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity process. This model captures the time-varying level and volatility of the differential. In light of the empirical results we provide an assessment of the reforms in HK.     

全球金融危机后的场外金融衍生品市场变革

后金融危机时代的全球场外衍生品市场正处于深刻变革之中，各国政府、监管部门和金融行业改革场外衍生品市场的一系列举措对我国也有着重要的借鉴意义。文章对金融危机以来全球场外衍生品市场发展改革的情况进行了整理研究，并结合我国实际提出相关建议。     

Institutional development and bank stability: Evidence from transition countries

This paper takes advantage of the dynamic nature of institutional reforms in transition economies and explores the causal effects of those reforms on bank risk. Using a difference-in-difference approach, we show that banks’ financial stability increases substantially after these countries reform their legal institutions, liberalize banking, and restructure corporate governance. We also find that the effects of legal and governance reforms on bank risk may critically depend on the progress of banking reforms. A further examination of alternative risk measures reveals that the increases in financial stability among banks mainly come from the reduction of asset risk. Banks tend to have lower ROA volatility and fewer nonperforming loans after reforming the institutional environment. Finally, we split our sample into foreign and domestic banks and find that the enhancement of financial stability is more pronounced for domestic banks.     

Assessing time-varying stock market integration in Economic and Monetary Union for normal and crisis periods

In this paper, we examine the stock market integration process amongst 17 Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) countries from January 2002 to June 2013 over a normal period as well as for the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and Eurozone Debt Crisis (EDC) periods. We classify the economies in three groups (A, B and C) based on their GDP to examine whether the economic size influences financial integration. Seven indicators are used for the purpose, namely, beta convergence, sigma convergence, variance ratio, asymmetric DCC, dynamic cointegration, market synchronisation measure and common components approach. The results suggest that large-sized EMU economies (termed as Group A) exhibit strong stock market integration. Moderate integration is observed for middle-sized EMU economies with old membership (termed as Group B). Small-sized economies (termed as Group C) economies seemed to be least integrated within the EMU stock market system. The findings further suggest presence of contagion effects as one moves from normal to crisis periods, which are specifically stronger for more integrated economies of Group A. We recommend institutional, regulatory and other policy reforms for Group B and especially Group C to achieve higher level of integration.     

Global Liquidity and Financial Stress: Evidence from Major Emerging Economies

We examine the relationship between financial stress and global liquidity for the so-called fragile five emerging economies (Brazil, India, Indonesia, South Africa, and Turkey). By using an extensive set of variables that take into account the structural characteristics of these economies, we construct a financial stress index. We then use a Markov regime switching model to identify the high financial stress episodes. We examine periods of heightened financial stress and its relationship to high incidence of domestic and global disturbances. Finally, we construct a global financial liquidity index and assess the relationship between financial stress and global liquidity. Using a bivariate Markov regime switching VAR model, we find a regime-dependent relation between global liquidity and financial stress. Moreover, global liquidity shocks seem to strain these emerging economies in such a way that global illiquidity heightens financial stress.